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If you watch the video here at full screen you can get a pretty good idea that #2's hat is indeed a Ralph Lauren Polo hat with the number 3 on the side.
http://www.nytimes.com/2013/04/19/us/fbi-releases-video-of-boston-bombing-suspects.html?hp&hp&_r=1&
I agree.....I can clearly see the 3 just as he is going out of frame, and the polo logo when he is walking away!