Hurricane ERNESTO-Cat 1 expect Cat 3 after leaving Cuba /Heads up FLORIDA, MERGED

[concernedperson]

Looks like this is going to be one of those that they won't know where it is really doing until the last minute - thus, no time for evacuation....... I am really sick of this crap!

My son is moving from Orlando to Sarasota on 8-31. I believe from the way the cone looked in Pharlap's post it would come in north of Tampa Bay. He may have to change his plans. Aren't you in Tampa Poco?

 

[Amraann]

Well SH******T

Yesterday it looked like it woudl go further west before turning North sparring the Keys.
Now it doesn't look that way at all.

 

[Peter Hamilton]

Hurricane Ernesto expectd to hit Tampa early Wed morning--if this happens,it will be Tampa's first hurricane since 1921

 

[Dark Knight]

http://hurricane.accuweather.com/hurricane/storms.asp?partner=accuweather&ocean=atlantic&storm=Ernesto&imagetype=move

 

[Amraann]

They just reported that school in the Keys is canceled for tomorrow.


Oh let the fun begin!

 

[englishleigh]

http://hurricane.accuweather.com/hurricane/storms.asp?partner=accuweather&ocean=atlantic&storm=Ernesto&imagetype=move

See where the "1" is over GA?? We live just to the west of that "1", right on the AL/GA line.

Oh, Sh**!!!! This is looking like another Opal. :doh:

 

[Peter Hamilton]

OPAL(1995) was a brutal one--130 mph?--hopefully,Ernesto will be more tame

 

[Dark Knight]

OPAL(1995) was a brutal one--130 mph?--hopefully,Ernesto will be more tame

If the Big E is a Cat 3, it would be about that strong.

 

[englishleigh]

OPAL(1995) was a brutal one--130 mph?--hopefully,Ernesto will be more tame

Opal came directly through our county in 1995 here in AL as a CAT-2. Our neighborhood looked like a war zone and we were without power for 6 days.

 

[Dark Knight]

See where the "1" is over GA?? We live just to the west of that "1", right on the AL/GA line.

Oh, Sh**!!!! This is looking like another Opal. :doh:

Well now I know where you live, so I can come visit sometime! :crazy:

Better say some of our Catholic prayers today.

 

[englishleigh]

Well now I know where you live, so I can come visit sometime! :crazy:

Better say some of our Catholic prayers today.

You'd be made welcome, DK, come on down!!

Definitely some rosaries in order for this.

 

[Dark Knight]

They just reported that school in the Keys is canceled for tomorrow.


Oh let the fun begin!

Why would they cancel tomorrow, unless it is to facilitate evacuations?

 

[Dark Knight]

You'd be made welcome, DK, come on down!!

Definitely some rosaries in order for this.

Awww, thank you!!! :blowkiss:

Hail Mary, full of grace, please don't let me get blown away, lol!

 

[englishleigh]

Awww, thank you!!! :blowkiss:

Hail Mary, full of grace, please don't let me get blown away, lol!

No kidding!!

 

[Dark Knight]

No kidding!!

I'll be praying for you if it heads your way. Everyone in it's path needs prayers, for sure!

 

[Amraann]

Why would they cancel tomorrow, unless it is to facilitate evacuations?

When the winds reach over 30MPH the school busses cannot go over the bridges.
They are already predicting a probable TS or hurricane watch for the Keys later today.
http://www.wunderground.com/tropical/at200605.public.html

"A tropical storm or Hurricane Watch may be required for portions of
the Florida Keys later today."

 

[Peter Hamilton]

englishleigh,when Wilma hit us last Oct,we were without power for Twelve Days--It was the strongest hurricane to hit PalmBeach county in 60 years--Winds gusted over 100 mph--an incredible experience--it was an actual "whiteout'--there were times when the wind sounded like Jet Engines--the sound was almost Ungodly--the power of nature

 

[Dark Knight]

When the winds reach over 30MPH the school busses cannot go over the bridges.
They are already predicting a probable TS or hurricane watch for the Keys later today.
http://www.wunderground.com/tropical/at200605.public.html

"A tropical storm or Hurricane Watch may be required for portions of
the Florida Keys later today."

Oh, wow, I didn't know that. I'd think it would usually be rather breezy there, with 30mph gusts not out of the question. But maybe not.

 

[Buzz Mills]

TIDES OF UP TO 3 FT ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS ARE EXPECTED ON JAMAICA
AND THE SOUTHWESTERN PENINSULA OF HAITI. TIDES OF 4 TO 6 FEET ABOVE
NORMAL ALONG WITH LARGE BATTERING WAVES ARE EXPECTED ON THE SOUTHERN
COAST OF EASTERN CUBA.

RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 6 TO 12 INCHES...WITH POSSIBLE ISOLATED AMOUNTS
OF UP TO 20 INCHES...ARE EXPECTED OVER HAITI...THE DOMINICAN
REPUBLIC...AND PORTIONS OF CUBA. THESE RAINS COULD CAUSE
LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES. RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF
3 TO 5 INCHES...WITH POSSIBLE ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 8
INCHES...ARE EXPECTED ACROSS PORTIONS OF JAMAICA.

REPEATING THE 1100 AM EDT POSITION...17.6 N...73.7 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTHWEST NEAR 9 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...75 MPH.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...997 MB.

AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER AT 200 PM EDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 500 PM EDT.

InfraRed Satellite Loop
http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/east/watl/loop-avn.html

InfraRed Satellite Loop--Zoom In
http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/flt/t2/loop-avn.html

Five Day Cone
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/refresh/graphics_at5+shtml/025529.shtml?5day?large

Tracker
http://www.hurricanetrack.com/Java2/westatl.html

 

[Pharlap]

Hi Buzz.....we have 2 threads on this....hehehehe

This map updates itself....

http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/refresh/graphics_at5+shtml/114506.shtml?5dayCoastal Watches/Warnings and 5-Day Cone

Click image to zoom in

Just on MSN mandatory evacuation in Cuba...