Hurricane ERNESTO-Cat 1 expect Cat 3 after leaving Cuba /Heads up FLORIDA, MERGED

[Dark Knight]

Bumping the SELF UDATING map....

Coastal Watches/Warnings and 5-Day Cone
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/refresh/graphics_at5+shtml/114506.shtml?5day

Click image to zoom in

lol, you really enjoy the SELF UPDATING map, don't you? :crazy:

 

[Beyond Belief]

Hmm interesting events on the 2 pm. It looks like its coming onland around the Miami-Ft Lauderdale area and when it reaches West Palm Beach will begin to to start its exit at abt Jensen Beach-Vero Beach area.

 

[Pharlap]

lol, you really enjoy the SELF UPDATING map, don't you? :crazy:

It didn't this time, wonder why...
2pm update is out.....

Coastal Watches/Warnings and 5-Day Cone

Click image to zoom in

http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/refresh/graphics_at5+shtml/114506.shtml?5day

 

[Dark Knight]

http://hurricane.accuweather.com/hurricane/storms.asp?partner=accuweather&ocean=atlantic&storm=Ernesto&imagetype=move

A hurricane watch has been issued for the southern Peninsula of Florida from New Smyrna southward on the east coast, and from south of Chokoloskee southward along the west coast. A hurricane watch remains in effect for all of the Florida Keys from Ocean Reef to the Dry Tortugas. A hurricane watch is also in effect for Anddros Island in the northwestern Bahamas, the Biminis and Grand Bahama Island. Hurricane warning is in effect for the southwestern peninsula of Haiti from the Haiti-Dominican Republic border westward to the southwest tip of Haiti. A tropical storm warning is in effect for the Cuban provinces of Guantanamo, Santiago de Cuba, Ranma, Olguin, Las Tunas and Camaguey and the Ragged Silands and Great Exuma Island in the central Bahamas. A tropical storm watch is in effect for the Cayman Islands

Once Ernesto emerges from Cuba later today, it will begin to turn more to the north as it moves around the edge of an area of high pressure located east of Jacksonville, Fla., in the mid-levels of the atmosphere and also begins to be picked up by an approaching upper-level trough digging into the Mississippi River Valley. This will take Ernesto to or very near South Florida by late Tuesday. Just how much the mid-level ridge of high pressure weakens will determine just how far east or west Ernesto tracks when it gets toward South Florida. Although the best case scenario now still favors a track northward across the Florida Peninsula, there is also the potential for Ernesto to pass just along or just off the east coast of Florida.
The fringe effects of Ernesto will be felt in South Florida by early Tuesday with conditions rapidly deteriorating as the day progresses as the outer squalls of Ernesto work northward. Strong winds and heavy bands of rain will be the main threat and even an isolated tornado or waterspout is possible. Rough surf will also pound the coast, especially in the Keys and along the southeast Florida coast, bringing the threats of storm surge and beach erosion.

As time progresses, the effects of Ernesto will work northward into central and northeastern Florida Wednesday and into southeastern Georgia and the low country of South Carolina by Thursday. In time, Ernesto will curve northeast up the East Coast of the United States and it is highly possible that it will be hurricane when it affects these areas as well.

More: http://hurricane.accuweather.com/hurricane/regions.asp?partner=accuweather&site=atl

 

[Dark Knight]

It didn't this time, wonder why...
2pm update is out.....

Coastal Watches/Warnings and 5-Day Cone

Click image to zoom in

http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/refresh/graphics_at5+shtml/114506.shtml?5day

Thanks for staying on top of it, you should work for the forecasters, lol!

 

[Dark Knight]

http://hurricane.accuweather.com/hurricane/storms.asp?partner=accuweather&ocean=atlantic&storm=Ernesto&imagetype=move

A hurricane watch has been issued for the southern Peninsula of Florida from New Smyrna southward on the east coast, and from south of Chokoloskee southward along the west coast. A hurricane watch remains in effect for all of the Florida Keys from Ocean Reef to the Dry Tortugas. A hurricane watch is also in effect for Anddros Island in the northwestern Bahamas, the Biminis and Grand Bahama Island. Hurricane warning is in effect for the southwestern peninsula of Haiti from the Haiti-Dominican Republic border westward to the southwest tip of Haiti. A tropical storm warning is in effect for the Cuban provinces of Guantanamo, Santiago de Cuba, Ranma, Olguin, Las Tunas and Camaguey and the Ragged Silands and Great Exuma Island in the central Bahamas. A tropical storm watch is in effect for the Cayman Islands

Once Ernesto emerges from Cuba later today, it will begin to turn more to the north as it moves around the edge of an area of high pressure located east of Jacksonville, Fla., in the mid-levels of the atmosphere and also begins to be picked up by an approaching upper-level trough digging into the Mississippi River Valley. This will take Ernesto to or very near South Florida by late Tuesday. Just how much the mid-level ridge of high pressure weakens will determine just how far east or west Ernesto tracks when it gets toward South Florida. Although the best case scenario now still favors a track northward across the Florida Peninsula, there is also the potential for Ernesto to pass just along or just off the east coast of Florida.
The fringe effects of Ernesto will be felt in South Florida by early Tuesday with conditions rapidly deteriorating as the day progresses as the outer squalls of Ernesto work northward. Strong winds and heavy bands of rain will be the main threat and even an isolated tornado or waterspout is possible. Rough surf will also pound the coast, especially in the Keys and along the southeast Florida coast, bringing the threats of storm surge and beach erosion.

As time progresses, the effects of Ernesto will work northward into central and northeastern Florida Wednesday and into southeastern Georgia and the low country of South Carolina by Thursday. In time, Ernesto will curve northeast up the East Coast of the United States and it is highly possible that it will be hurricane when it affects these areas as well.

More: http://hurricane.accuweather.com/hurricane/regions.asp?partner=accuweather&site=atlhttp://hurricane.accuweather.com/hurricane/regions.asp?partner=accuweather&site=atl

Hey!!! My map self-updates, too!!!!! :woohoo:

 

[Beyond Belief]

Lines are forming at gas stations. Per Gov Bush's recommendation.

 

[Shadow205]

Lines are forming at gas stations. Per Gov Bush's recommendation.

I just talked to a friend in St Lucie County. Several gas stations are already out of gas. Some are limiting the amount to $25 worth of gas.

 

[Pharlap]

Hey!!! My map self-updates, too!!!!! :woohoo:

Great, mine took a while to update itself at 2, but did....
NEATO............

Think the next update tonight will be over water.......auuug..and tomorrow
morning we'll see if Ernesto will:laugh: blow the pop stand......

 

[Beyond Belief]

I just talked to a friend in St Lucie County. Several gas stations are already out of gas. Some are limiting the amount to $25 worth of gas.

I got it yesterday......LOL


Dr Lyons was on the weather channel a few minutes ago, says it will turn into a hurricane after it exits florida and head to S. Carolina.

 

[Peter Hamilton]

yep,the Hurricane Center changed their mind again--first it was 120 mph,then 100 mph,then 85 mph,then 75 mph,now they say it won't even be a hurricane---just a good ol tropical storm--big relief--power will probably stay on now

 

[Dark Knight]

yep,the Hurricane Center changed their mind again--first it was 120 mph,then 100 mph,then 85 mph,then 75 mph,now they say it won't even be a hurricane---just a good ol tropical storm--big relief--power will probably stay on now

It looks to me like there will be enough interaction with land that it won't be more than a minimal hurricane or TS, either. But...those will still cause tornado outbreaks and flooding. People DO die in them.

It's sure a far cry from them thinking it would hit N.O. a few days, ago, sheesh!

 

[Beyond Belief]

I hope this thing doesn't decide to stall off the coast and build strength. The way it is will probably blow down all the dead limbs, up root trees because of all the water, knock out the power, and flood low lying areas, but yeah just a tropical storm.:bang:

 

[Florida]

"Greetings from South Florida! Y'all come down and see us, ya hear. "

Beyond Belief, why would someone want to come down here now?? Your tag line just gave me a laugh, from one So. Fla person to another!! They sure are keeping us on the hook here, aren't they?

 

[Peter Hamilton]

Florida,well 1000 people a day are still moving here--I guess hurricanes are a minor nuisance to them--

 

[Shadow205]

Florida,well 1000 people a day are still moving here--I guess hurricanes are a minor nuisance to them--

But there are some like me who got the heck out of there

 

[Peter Hamilton]

lol--yes--probably more like 1000 people move in and 200 people move out----anyway,this storm looks like hell at the moment,its falling apart--we might only get a bit of rain down here,if that

 

[Glow]

I'll take that! Only rain sounds good!



living and hoping to play the odds in Fla....

 

[Peter Hamilton]

Ernesto finally off Cuba--now 45mph gusting to 57 mph--expecting 60 to 70 mph winds by tomorrow morning

 

[Beyond Belief]

The storm seems to have shifted a little too the west, heading directly towards Lake Okeechobee. This new track leaves the coast to suffer the more powerful winds and rains of the east side of the storm.

Eveyone is welcome too come, but when we have a hurricane coming plan to be booted out. LOL