Hurricane Katrina to possibly become a Cat 4

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  • #301
aussieblue said:
Ok thank you mysteriew .... parish=county = what we call "shire", I think.

They live in Holden which is (on a map lol to the right of Baton Rogue)
Im trying to find their Parish, every place i go (web) i need to be a member or i end up at the wrong Holden.

Im thinking the Parish could be "Livingston"???? because it comes up Holden Livingston United States, on msn maps BUT when i sent them packages I didnt use Livingston in their address. So very confused here (as usual).

Holden doesnt even show on many maps.

Thanks for any help you can give me

~aussieblue

What zip code (5-digit number after "LA") did you use for the address? That will pinpoint their location.
 
  • #302
Local news just showed a reporter in Biloxi, Mississippi and she said the winds have picked up and they are getting the bands of rain. Being further south, New Orleans would have started earlier.
 
  • #303
mysteriew said:
Kgeaux is from Baton Rouge. She posted in this thread yesterday. She gave a little bit of details about what is happening in Baton Rouge. http://websleuths.com/forums/showthread.php?p=784301#post784301

**sighs of relief**
Thanks for the link mysteriew and i had been reading all the posts in this thread for news in that area, some how I missed that page of posts.

I keep hearing/reading names of areas that will be badly effected then rushing to all my maps here checking on where they are in prox to Holden. My head is spinning, i'm starting to feel quiet sick.

Everything looks closer on these maps lol
PLUS i have to convert everything from miles to km's etc etc

My thoughts go out to all who will be effected by this.

~aussieblue
 
  • #304
pjop said:
I put in Holden, LA in maps.com and what they show is Livingston Co. which is east of Baton Rouge which is closer to New Orleans than Baton Rouge.

OK so is Livingston Co the Parish then ???????

~aussieblue
 
  • #305
OK so is Livingston Co the Parish then ???????
That's what it looks like to me. I went to 411.com to search for a zip code for Holden and it still came up as Livingston so I'm guessing Holden is in Livingston Parrish/County.
 
  • #306
It is going to be really bad, for all of those areas. This hurricane has already killed something like 7 before it picked up strength. But the main fear is New Orleans. That is because it is below sea level and lies between a large lake and the Mississippi River. They don't know if the levee's will hold, and they think the storm surges will bring the water over the levee's. It sounds like Holden is between New Orleans and Baton Rouge. It is still very serious for your friends, but not as bad as New Orleans, as long as they are on high ground.
 
  • #307
Boatswain'sMate said:
What zip code (5-digit number after "LA") did you use for the address? That will pinpoint their location.

Im such an idiot, why didnt i think of the zip code (post code in aussieland)

Ok post code is 70744

~aussieblue
 
  • #308
aussieblue try this link. gives info about the storm, and at the bottom of the page links to video coverage of the hurricane.
http://www.wxnation.com/blog/
 
  • #309
Dark Knight said:
There were tornado warnings earlier. Yes, tornadoes happen with hurricanes. Especially relating to the outside bands of the storm, which are basically just severe thunderstorms, which is also, basically, what a hurricane is, a mass of severe thunderstorms rotating around a vortex, at first.
I just heard there is a plan(supposed) to blow the levees north of New Orleans, which would flood Monroeville, but take pressure off the lake and divert water from New Orleans. This, supposedely comes from someone in the Corp of Eng.. .mpi
 
  • #310
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I am here in Calif. and it is almost 4am. I am wide awake and cant sleep-- I am very worried for all of you affected by this. First and foremost, I am praying that all of you and your families and pets are in a safe place. Secondly, I am praying that any damage is minimal to your homes and towns.........
 
  • #312
mysteriew said:
aussieblue try this link. gives info about the storm, and at the bottom of the page links to video coverage of the hurricane.
http://www.wxnation.com/blog/

A big thanks to everyone for their help, I was totally going around in circles here.

My friends dont live in the town Holden but Holden is the closest town to them. Where they live is lowlying and it floods easily PLUS they are always getting hit by tornados (shakes my head, I've told them so many times to MOVE, flooding, tornados and GATORS, sheeeesh).
I believe they are closer to New Orleans than they are Baton Rouge which is why i have been so worried.

Thats a great link mysteriew, thanks.

~aussieblue
 
  • #313
YW. Try the webcams also. It is just getting light in Baton Rouge, so the view is getting somewhat better.
Some of the cams that worked last night, are now either not working at all, or are very dark. I suspect that they are losing power in some areas.
 
  • #314
According to my local news the eyewall is just now hitting land. The eyewall is where the strongest winds are. So it hasn't hit NO yet.
 
  • #315
Hurricane Katrina Makes Landfall in La.

By ADAM NOSSITER, Associated Press Writer


Hurricane Katrina slammed ashore early Monday and charged toward this low-lying city with 150-mph winds and the threat of a catastrophic storm surge.

Katrina edged slightly to the east shortly before making landfall near Grand Isle, providing some hope that the worst of the storm's wrath might not be directed at the vulnerable city. Martin Nelson, a meteorologist at the National Hurricane Center, said the northern part of the eyewall came ashore at about 5 a.m. central time.

Katrina's fury was quickly felt at the Louisiana Superdome, normally home of professional football's Saints, which became the shelter of last resort Sunday for about 9,000 of the area's poor, homeless and frail.

Electrical power at the Superdome failed at 5:02 a.m., triggering groans from the crowd. Emergency generators kicked in, but the backup power runs only reduced lighting and is not strong enough to run the air conditioning.
 
  • #316
  • #317
HURRICANE KATRINA INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 26A...CORRECTED
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
6 AM CDT MON AUG 29 2005

CORRECTED TIMES TO 6 AM CDT

...EXTREMELY DANGEROUS CATEGORY FOUR HURRICANE KATRINA PREPARING
TO MOVE ONSHORE NEAR SOUTHERN PLAQUEMINES PARISH LOUISIANA...
...HURRICANE-FORCE WIND GUSTS OCCURRING OVER MOST OF SOUTHEASTERN
LOUISIANA...IN THE NEW ORLEANS METROPOLITAN AREA...AND AS FAR
EAST AS THE CHANDELEUR ISLANDS...

A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE NORTH CENTRAL GULF COAST
FROM MORGAN CITY LOUISIANA EASTWARD TO THE ALABAMA/FLORIDA
BORDER...INCLUDING THE CITY OF NEW ORLEANS AND LAKE PONTCHARTRAIN.
PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD HAVE BEEN
COMPLETED.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING AND A HURRICANE WATCH ARE IN EFFECT FROM
EAST OF THE ALABAMA/FLORIDA BORDER TO DESTIN FLORIDA...AND FROM
WEST OF MORGAN CITY TO INTRACOASTAL CITY LOUISIANA.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS ALSO IN EFFECT FROM DESTIN FLORIDA
EASTWARD TO INDIAN PASS FLORIDA...AND FROM INTRACOASTAL CITY
LOUISIANA WESTWARD TO CAMERON LOUISIANA.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

AT 6 AM CDT...1100Z...THE CENTER OF MAJOR HURRICANE KATRINA WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 29.1 NORTH... LONGITUDE 89.6 WEST OR ABOUT
MIDWAY BETWEEN GRAND ISLE AND THE MOUTH OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER.
THIS IS ALSO ABOUT 70 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF NEW ORLEANS
LOUISIANA AND ABOUT 95 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF BILOXI MISSISSIPPI.

KATRINA IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH NEAR 15 MPH... AND THIS
MOTION IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE TODAY. A GRADUAL TURN TOWARD THE
NORTH-NORTHEAST AT A SLIGHTLY FASTER FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED
LATER TONIGHT AND ON TUESDAY. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...KATRINA WILL
MOVE ONSHORE THE SOUTHERN COAST OF PLAQUEMINES PARISH NEAR EMPIRE
AND BURAS LOUSIANA WITHIN THE ENXT HOUR...AND REACH THE
LOUISIANA-MISSISSIPPI BORDER AREA BY EARLY AFTERNOON. CONDITIONS
WILL CONTINUE TO STEADILY DETERIORATE OVER CENTRAL AND SOUTHEASTERN
LOUISIANA...SOUTHERN MISSISSIPPI...AND SOUTHERN ALABAMA THROUGHOUT
THE DAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 145 MPH...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. KATRINA IS A STRONG CATEGORY FOUR HURRICANE ON THE
SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE. SOME FLUCTUATIONS IN STRENGTH ARE LIKELY
PRIOR TO LANDFALL...BUT KATRINA IS EXPECTED TO MAKE LANDFALL AS
A CATEGORY FOUR HURRICANE. WINDS AFFECTING THE UPPER FLOORS OF
HIGH-RISE BUILDINGS WILL BE SIGNIFICANTLY STRONGER THAN THOSE NEAR
GROUND LEVEL.

KATRINA REMAINS A VERY LARGE HURRICANE. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND
OUTWARD UP TO 120 MILES FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 230 MILES. DURING THE PAST HOUR...A
SUSTAINED WIND OF 56 MPH WITH A GUST TO 85 MPH WAS REPORTED AT NEW
ORLEANS LAKEFRONT AIRPORT...AND A SUSTAINED WIND OF 74 MPH WITH A
GUST TO 96 MPH WAS REPORTED AT THE NAVAL AIR STATION IN BELLE
CHASSE LOUISIANA.

THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE RECENTLY REPORTED BY AN AIR FORCE
RESERVE UNIT RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT WAS 918 MB...27.11 INCHES.

COASTAL STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 18 TO 22 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE
LEVELS...LOCALLY AS HIGH AS 28 FEET...ALONG WITH LARGE AND DANGEROUS
BATTERING WAVES...CAN BE EXPECTED NEAR AND TO THE EAST OF WHERE THE
CENTER MAKES LANDFALL. SOME LEVEES IN THE GREATER NEW ORLEANS AREA
COULD BE OVERTOPPED. SIGNIFICANT STORM SURGE FLOODING WILL OCCUR
ELSEWHERE ALONG THE CENTRAL AND NORTHEASTERN GULF OF MEXICO COAST.
NOAA BUOY 42040 LOCATED ABOUT 50 MILES EAST OF THE MOUTH OF THE
MISSISSIPPI RIVER RECENTLY REPORTED WAVES HEIGHTS OF AT LEAST 47
FEET.

RAINFALL TOTALS OF 5 TO 10 INCHES...WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF
15 INCHES...ARE POSSIBLE ALONG THE PATH OF KATRINA ACROSS THE GULF
COAST AND THE TENNESSEE VALLEY. RAINFALL TOTALS OF 4 TO 8 INCHES
ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE OHIO VALLEY INTO THE EASTERN GREAT LAKES
REGION TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY.

SCATTERED TORNADOES WILL BE POSSIBLE TODAY OVER SOUTHEASTERN
LOUISIANA... SOUTHERN MISSISSIPPI...SOUTHERN ALABAMA...AND OVER
THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE.

REPEATING THE 6 AM CDT POSITION...29.1 N... 89.6 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTH NEAR 15 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS...145 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 918 MB.
 
  • #318
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  • #320
Strike Probabilities

LOCATION A B C D E
PENSACOLA FL 15 1 1 X 17
MOBILE AL 49 X X X 49
GULFPORT MS 72 X X X 72
BURAS LA 99 X X X 99
NEW ORLEANS LA 74 X X X 74

COLUMN DEFINITION PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 1AM TUE
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM 1AM TUE TO 1PM TUE
C FROM 1PM TUE TO 1AM WED
D FROM 1AM WED TO 1AM THU
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 1AM THU
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
 
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