We know the start and end location of the incident, and the time range in terms of start and finish times of incident. According to the suspect, when she arrived at the end location she had a head injury (this can be verified with blood evidence in the trunk).
What we know:
- incident timeline: 7:45PM t0 8:28PM
- incident locations: 1900 blk 385 ave, and just off Highway 21 on 460th Ave
- 69% abduction murder victims are deceased in less than 1 hour
- incident time for Mollie: 43 minutes
- travel time between locations: 15-18 minutes
- suspect's time to assault Mollie excluding travel time: 25 minutes
Given the information that we know, the timeline does not allow for a third location, and indeed we know that police are not searching a third location. We do know that the suspect's home was searched, but that does not mean that investigators believe that Mollie was at the dairy farm. According to the information that has been released by police, there are two locations: 385 Ave, and 460 Ave.
Why, without any related facts from police, would we introduce a third location to the timeline where Mollie allegedly received sharp object injuries?
According to the suspect the only injury Mollie suffered at the time he arrived just off Highway 21 on 460th Ave is a head injury. Granted he is most likely lying in much of his statement, but blood evidence should easily identify Mollie's injuries when she was in the trunk.
He may have memory failure between abduction and body location, but according to the suspect, she had one injury at the time his memory recovered. She was found with multiple sharp object injuries, so those must have occurred after his memory recovered.
Otto, I must agree to disagree with you, as I see a flaw in your posit, and your always impeccable reasoning and logic. (I am not being snarky, as I really do respect your posts!)
The arrest warrant affidavit only gives us a time range for the crime of Homicide. While the affidavit lists a litany of actions, nowhere does it say that EVERYTHING enumerated in the warrant occurred before 20:28 on the day in question. Presumably, maybe per the FitBit data, MT is believed by LE to have been deceased by this upper time limit of 20:28. Per your assement, I agree that the victim died within an hour of her "initial" encounter with CR, as the statistics and circumstance support this observation.
The rest of the timeline for the remainder of the crime is, therefore, open ended, until further LE confirmation. CR COULD have gone to multiple other locations, on multiple days, before going to the final dump site. He could have gone to the now infamous closed hog finishing facility to abuse and finish off his victim, or just to look in the trunk to see what he did. This COULD be the reason for a digital footprint at this site, or maybe he just drove by it. There is no way to tell for certain at this time. The travel time could be MUCH longer than 15 to 18 minutes. Arguments about the "risk" of happenstance LE intervention are meaningless, as this DID NOT HAPPEN. Fortune favors the bold.
The way CR describes the scene in the trunk, in the affidavit, sounds like a tableau of a completely incapacitated or already deceased victim. I agree that he describes a bloody head wound, which because of the bleeding indicates that she lived for a time before death, after the initial assault. Dead bodies don't actively bleed.
I think that CR's claim of "blocking out" his memories is a way of communicating to LE that he does not want to talk about the worst of what he did, for any number of reasons. For me, this indicates the opposite of your posit, in that the worst was done to the victim before the end of the "block out". The "multiple sharp force" injuries may have been delivered pre- and post-mortem. A possible first killing wound delivered at the time of the assault on 385th, other multiple wounds delivered post-mortem after CR realized he had escalated too quickly, and killed his victim, this done in a burst of anger and frustration, possibly st a secondary crime scene like the "hog farm". Alternatively, ALL multiple stab wounds could have been administered to the victim at the 385th site, or at a secondary crime scene.
Also, the only apparent cause of death that could be definitively determined after 33 days of decomp in the elements could be based on multiple cuts to bone, giving a presumptive preliminary finding of multiple sharp force trauma to be the primary cause of death, with other causes lost to decomp, or yet to be determined by further analysis. It is possible that the remains have not yet been interred, pending further forensic study (think of the way they lay out a cleaned skeleton for analysis in the TV show "Bones").
While I find your timeline interesting, I think that it is too early to make such detailed conclusions.
Sorry, with the most of respect for your conclusions.