- Joined
- Jul 29, 2018
- Messages
- 11,190
- Reaction score
- 74,052
Just wondering along with you. Could it have been something as simple as the initial sketch appearing so young, and the voice recording (which LE would have, even if they only released it later) seeming so much older? That, combined with the blurry video image also appearing older (as the original age description of OBG indicated) could have led to discarding the initial sketch, if so, a foolish mistake. LE are human and do the best they can, but maybe it was not something as significant as an alibi, but just heading off in the wrong direction because of things they thought they heard of saw, age-wise. Just my opinion. MOO
I don't know if it was a foolish mistake; a mistake, but only too logical. They should have not totally discarded the possibility, but it is hindsight. A mistake easily made, thought; I think in cases like this, once they determined it was a SA, they were looking for prior offenders in the area (logical). And then someone saw OBG who likely resembled one, so they went that route. Logically, if a young child is killed near the home/in the home, you suspect family members first; likewise, if there is a SA coming from (probably) unknown person, and most killers would not know the attacked (statistics), they are looking for people with prior convictions for such things. So an alibi provided by a trusted person would be trusted in this situation. I mean, we all want Harry Holes who think out-of-the-box, but IRL, there are simply dozens or more of possible suspects and few witnesses, so the police tries to think logically, I guess. The chance of YBG being the offender was probably super low in their mind, as statistically, he did not quite fit the expectations; so they went with OBG, and realized their mistake much later. I hope they can do something with the information now.