I am very disappointed for the people of Iran that I think we've been misled as to how much this will help them. I hope I'm wrong and they can overthrow the government, but it's so complex there with how the Mullahs are connected to the Revolutionary Guard, and then the regular military and various police forces. In Venezuela they had an opposition government that had apparently won the elections, ready to take over if Maduro was dethroned, But I don't see anything as organised as that being ready for Iran? How many of the people in Iran actually want this Shah's son to come in and form a government? But a small chance against a weakened government is more of a chance than they've had for decades, so I hope they can succeed.
Apparently there are three groups in Iran. Those who supported Khamenei, those who didn't, and a grey area in between. It is hard to tell who are the majority at the moment. There are thousands in the streets, beating their chests in sorrow (as per linked article).
"We are dealing with polarisation when it comes to the social fabric in Iran.
The public mood is a mixture of different sentiments. Part of society is in support of the political establishment, and as state TV footage shows, there are many people taking to the streets in Tehran and other cities across the country, such as Mashhad and Qom.
Then, we have another segment of society where we see public dissatisfaction. Last December, we witnessed protests driven by economic hardship that people were facing, which later moved into other social and political spheres.
So, there are three camps of people: a group of pro-government people, people dissatisfied with the performance of the political establishment, and a grey zone in between.
Regardless of all these camps, there is a sort of frustration and anxiety considering that Khamenei’s killing happened while the country was under attack.
In June last year, Iran experienced a war, but now the scope and scale are not comparable – the stakes are higher."
Iran declares 40 days of mourning and launches attacks after supreme leader's killing; Israel strikes Tehran.
www.aljazeera.com