Hey everyone!
I’ve been going through this case again and tried putting together a small theory. I know many of you here understand this case way better than I do, and I’m definitely not blaming anyone — just sharing thoughts.
I’m sure I’ve missed a lot of points and left a bunch of loopholes open… but still, what do you guys think?
What did I get wrong, what (if anything) sounds right, or is my whole theory just total nonsense?

Would love to hear your honest thoughts!
1. The Killer Feels Local — Not a Random Outsider
He entered through the skate-park side window, moved through the house confidently, stayed HOURS after the murders, used the family’s computer, ate ice cream, changed clothes, bandaged himself, slept on the sofa, etc.
This isn’t a “smash and grab.”
This feels like:
someone familiar with the Setagaya park layout
someone who knew that side was dark + quiet
someone comfortable enough to stay inside a murdered family’s home for a long time
This is very rare behavior.
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2. Killer’s Shoes: Slazenger (Made in Korea, rare in Japan)
Police said the killer wore Slazenger sneakers — not very common in Japan in 2000.
These were:
usually sold through sports shops
often purchased by tennis players or people active in sports
also available in Harajuku’s Takeshita Street (famous for Korean imports)
Which connects to the next point…
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3. Komazawa Olympic Park + University Connection
Miyazawa house → Komazawa Olympic Park → Komazawa University are all in the same broader area.
Komazawa Park in 2000 was:
heavily used by local college tennis teams
used by junior sports circuits
filled with students practicing skateboarding (outside the courts)
a hangout area for young athletes
It’s extremely close to Setagaya.
My thought:
Someone who used this area daily (tennis player or student) could have easily known the quiet window entry route, the blind spots, nighttime silence, etc.
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4. The Sweatshirt Evidence (ONLY 10 Sold in ALL of Tokyo!)
This is a big detail that doesn’t get enough attention.
The killer left behind a light gray/purple sweatshirt. Police confirmed:
ONLY 10 pieces of this model were ever sold in Tokyo
ONLY 4 stores sold them (Ogikubo, Aoto, Seiseki-sakuragaoka, Hachioji)
Police found only 1 of the 10 buyers after the case.
9 purchasers remain unidentified.
One of these 9 has to be the killer.
Now here’s the important geographic clue:
The Ogikubo store is one of the closest to Komazawa/Setagaya area
Not next door, but close enough for a university student or athlete to visit on weekends — especially since Ogikubo is a popular youth shopping area.
This puts a potential suspect profile:
young male
active in sports
knows the area
shops in youth districts (Ogikubo, Harajuku)
possibly lives alone (no one noticed him returning injured or in different clothes)
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5. Behavioral Clues Look Like an “Inexperienced but Physically Fit” Offender
He:
left his OWN blood everywhere
left clothes
left fingerprints
left bandages
used the PC
stayed hours
left the knife in the wounds
took nothing valuable except small money
This is not a professional hit.
This is someone young, impulsive, physically strong, and not very knowledgeable about forensic science.
A military person would NEVER leave so much DNA.
A gang member would not stick around for hours.
A random burglar would NOT kill 4 people (including kids).
But a young athletic guy, maybe 18–25, who lost control, possibly had an emotional trigger?
That fits surprisingly well.
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6. Why a Tennis Player Could Fit (NOT accusing anyone, just logic)
✔ Strong build → matches the injuries
Yasuko’s injuries indicate a strong killer who used blunt force + choking + stabbing.
✔ Slazenger shoes → common in tennis players
Slazenger was widely used in tennis communities.
✔ Sweatshirt sold in youth stores → matches a student/college-age guy
All 4 stores were “young men’s casual fashion” shops.
✔ Komazawa Park proximity → routine familiarity with the area
Tennis players practiced there daily.
✔ Age profile matches police estimate (15–35, maybe younger side)
Junior tennis circuits (late teens / early 20s) fit perfectly.
✔ Possible emotional trigger
What if the Miyazawa father told some group of local skateboarders / park kids / sports guys to reduce noise?
This incident is documented.
A hot-headed young athlete could snap — especially if he felt insulted or humiliated.
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7. Motive Possibilities (Not facts, just logical scenarios)
Scenario A: Noise Conflict With Local Youth
This is one of the few ACTUAL documented real-world tensions near the house.
What if the killer was part of that youth group?
Scenario B: Personal Grudge Against Mikio
Something said earlier in the park?
Something about the noise complaint?
A confrontation?
Scenario C: Aimless young man → explosion of violence
No motive, just rage and breakdown.
This has happened before in Japanese cases.
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8. The Knife Purchase Angle
Someone purchased the same chef knife around the time of the murder.
Police said:
One person’s image appeared in the Kichijoji supermarket (north exit)
But they couldn't confirm him
Several buyers were identified but not the killer
This again places the killer in the Tokyo youth districts, possibly traveling for school, sports, or weekend outings.
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MY CONCLUSION
When I combine ALL clues:
rare sports shoes
rare sweatshirt (only 10 sold)
purchasing knife in trendy youth area
familiarity with Setagaya route
comfort inside house
physical strength
emotional/impulsive brutality
no forced motive
long stay after crime
parks, universities, sports links in same radius
→ The “young Japanese male, possibly a local student or athlete (tennis/skateboarding)”
profile fits WAY more neatly than the military theory.
I know I’m not bringing anything new here — this case is 20+ years old and thousands of people have already thought of thousands of possibilities. I’m also just trying to look at it from a slightly different angle. Maybe I’m wrong, maybe the whole theory is useless, but I still wanted to share it and hear what you all think.