Could you please elaborate on second paragraph above? I'm note sure I'm capturing the point and would like to understand your view.
Ok on lurking and targeting the area, the complex, apartment but really can't see it as started "only" as a burglary. It seems to me he knew well its target. Too short time, the checks, difficult to change the plan and not even leaving any trace.
Will do, apologies I didn’t do so before. The primary motive of the offender is something I’ve changed my mind on numerous times over the years, including before CB was identified as the sole prime suspect. For obvious reasons I’ve always considered stranger abduction to be the only plausible scenario. It doesn’t surprise me that the Germans say it was, but it is devastating that the perpetrator was the worst of the worst.
It’s a hard one to judge because CB was a prolific burglar who has a history of assaulting children, including children that he doesn’t know.
I think the primary motive would have influenced his behaviour after the abduction. The re-registering of the car perhaps indicates that he was trying to cover his tracks quickly because the Jaguar has significance to the crime. Perhaps if the crime was premeditated re-registering his car would have been before the fact & not after the fact.
IMO his visibility in the area may suggest he wasn’t lurking with the intention to commit a major crime. Perhaps he’d have been far less obvious.
The previous OC intrusions with the window & shutter being opened is identical to what happened in 5a. Same MO, same area, same time, same pattern. Very unlikely to not be the same offender. I think his ‘day job’ was to lurk around multiple complexes in that region, waiting for the opportunity to steal.
A week before, Pamela Fenn from the apartment above, caught a man in the act & watched him flee out of an opened window.
Even as I write this I’m not 100%. 80/20 I’d say.
It may well be that whilst lurking his objective was looking for opportunities to steal & at some point that week the crime became premeditated. He comitted other intrusions-sexual offences specifically when major football matches were on. The night of the abduction the European cup Semi-final was being played. That said he was also known to target these times to steal. The 28 unsolved (shocker) incidents of a man breaking into young girls bedrooms may well have been CB. If so it’s also possible the motive was terrifying.
What are your thoughts?
