• #40,221
My feeling is, and I hate saying this, that it was a sexual predator.
Could be...I just so much hope that it wasn't for that reason. yecch
 
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We may not understand the motive, but it appears that removal of NG was the objective. We know very little about her daily life. Did she volunteer for organizations? Did she belong to any other groups who met regularly other than the church livestream watching group? Could she have encountered something she wasn’t meant to see or know about? If she was targeted, knowledge of NG’s circle of associates and affiliations is an important angle to understand.
 
  • #40,224
  • #40,225
My feeling is, and I hate saying this, that it was a sexual predator.
That's what I've thought from the beginning.

I think all the ransom stuff is bogus, opportunists.

I think this was someone who wanted to attack and take an elderly lady. I don't think he necessarily even knew who she was, besides a woman living alone. He could live close, or could work in the area - tradesman, delivery driver, postal worker, landscaper, etc. etc. He's probably like the wallpaper, someone that wouldn't stick out.

I think she died the night of, or soon after, and her body has been stored, possibly in a freezer. Maybe because he wants to keep it, but probably because he was in no way expecting the intense media and LE presence. The whole county is like a kicked ant nest. Disposal would be very difficult right now.

MOO
 
  • #40,226
That's what I've thought from the beginning.

I think all the ransom stuff is bogus, opportunists.

I think this was someone who wanted to attack and take an elderly lady. I don't think he necessarily even knew who she was, besides a woman living alone. He could live close, or could work in the area - tradesman, delivery driver, postal worker, landscaper, etc. etc. He's probably like the wallpaper, someone that wouldn't stick out.

I think she died the night of, or soon after, and her body has been stored, possibly in a freezer. Maybe because he wants to keep it, but probably because he was in no way expecting the intense media and LE presence. The whole county is like a kicked ant nest. Disposal would be very difficult right now.

MOO
I like your thinking and your theory, the only extra point is that I think she was taken to the desert the first night ( died), sorry to say.
No freezer.
JMO
 
  • #40,227
  • #40,228
My feeling is if random sexual predator or burglary (gone wrong) were the likely motives, then we wouldn't have seen federal warrants being issued and federal prosecutors at the home yesterday. Nor would the Sheriff have been essentially relegated to mumbling to himself for the past 3 weeks.

Those are state matters.

JMO.
 
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  • #40,229
I keep thinking about her grandchildren. My grandparents are my entire world, and I know I am theirs too. Losing one so young is heartbreaking enough....but in such a sudden, violent way? To me, that is unimaginable. It is the kind of shock & trauma that lingers...I'd imagine for a lifetime. What is it doing to their young minds? Thankfully they have amazing and caring parents who will make sure they get every bit of support, love, & professional help they need.

Another night praying for them all.
 

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  • #40,230
I like your thinking and your theory, the only extra point is that I think she was taken to the desert the first night ( died), sorry to say.
I think it depends how long he wanted to keep her, or her body.

Given that he didn't just attack her in her home but went to the trouble of taking her, that suggests he wanted to take his time with her.

It's possible that the desert was the plan, but by then it was all over the news and he had to change it up.

He could have thought that she was just a random woman, and that leaving the door open would just lead people to think she'd wandered off.

Instead, he's taken the much beloved mother of a much beloved presenter of morning television, and it's international news. And messing with the cameras meant that this was treated as an abduction from the start.

A quiet drive out to the desert for disposal is suddenly not an option.

MOO
 
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But there are lots of easier marks than NG was.....jmo
How so?

An elderly medically compromised woman with hearing aides living all alone in a secluded, set-back $1M home in an upscale neighborhood, with no dog, and minimum security? In an incredibly dark area of town (I was stunned to see how dark that low light ordinance makes all of Tucson), in a town with no street cams that record? Old neighbors spaced apart (most interviewed say they don't lock doors or have cameras) with no sight lines and privacy landscaping.

If I was a worker that spent time on that property and moonlighted in B&E or had a cousin on a crew that would be seem like an easy score. Even for a nighttime robbery. Maybe workers saw a safe or something else in the house (witnessed NG go into bedroom and retrieve cash to pay for the job)...erroneous assumptions are often made in these cases by room temp IQ criminals.

Quite possible they never even heard of Savannah and just saw this for face value (an old lady with presumable money living alone in a very opportunistic setting). When podcasters went to Nogales and interviewed people, no one knew about NG or even who Savannah was. Still a possibility this was random and then all the fanfare, attention and fake ransoms (we had the once arrest for that) came.

Now I still think it may be targeted w/o having any other evidence/info to go on, but I am not at all dismissing the above random scenario, which seems just as plausible to me.
 
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I think it depends how long he wanted to keep her, or her body.

Given that he didn't just attack her in her home but went to the trouble of taking her, that suggests he wanted to take his time with her.

It's possible that the desert was the plan, but by then it was all over the news and he had to change it up.

He could have thought that she was just a random woman, and that leaving the door open would just lead people to think she'd wandered off.

Instead, he's taken the much beloved mother of a much beloved presenter of morning television, and it's international news. And messing with the cameras meant that this was treated as an abduction from the start.

A quiet drive out to the desert for disposal is suddenly not an option.

MOO
It was, that night, before sunrise. jmo
 
  • #40,235
Very telling...
What's it telling you? i always believed the house was no longer a restricted crime scene after the first couple of days. I was never quite sure why people thought that LE still had dominion over it. So, what is it telling you?

For me, it says The family has finally come to some kind of terms that the stuff of life has to be addressed. A property to maintain and protect. A plan for what the heck they are going to do with it if Nancy isnt found deceased and they have to wait out the 5 year statute for her to be declared dead. The cost of the maintenance and who pays and how much? Can a POA be invoked ( assuming she had one) so her assets can be used? Life stuff, mundane stuff that has to be dealt with. Offering the reward and the donation the other day was SG's way of saying...we need to wrap this up a bit. JMO. Media will start relocating and in less time than you think, i feel SG will return to NBC. One door is closing...and now she must reopen the other one...JMO
 
  • #40,236
New video Brian Entin-

 
  • #40,237
DBM - duplicate media
 
  • #40,238
More on the 911 call:

The gist:

Jacob Owens a journalist from KVOA News 4 Tucson, took to X to report, "Here near the end of Day 25 into the search for 84 year-old Nancy Guthrie. Pima County Sheriff Chris Nanos tells me that a 911 call from the night of Guthrie's abduction, about a woman hanging out a car window a few miles from her home and screaming, was found to be NOT related."



How were they so quickly able to identify and dismiss the car with a screaming woman but they don't know anything about NGs kidnapper?
 
  • #40,239
It was, that night, before sunrise. jmo
It was, but that would mean he'd only have her for a couple of hours at most, once you factor in driving time from her home to a secondary location, then out and back from the dump site before dawn. That's a lot of work for not much time with her.

It's entirely possible, of course.

MOO
 
  • #40,240
There’s always someone to prey on the vulnerable
I did a dive looking at some of these former cases in Tucson. There are a few, and I couldn’t find arrests in first one.




I’ve only read parts of this, but it is by Ann Burgess.

If a sexual assault is your theory, the case studies mentioned in this paper are interesting.

Title: Elderly Victims of Sexual Abuse and Their Offenders.
 
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