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Do you think jury will go with M2?
No. 2 jail house informants who didn't know each other said that TS told them he hit MHJ first. Smith knew she would die if he kept attacking and he continued, along with Anthony, 18+ times. That proves premeditation.
1 hit & she died could be argued 2nd degree, but not at least 18 separate strikes. Even if he didn't do any of them he would still be guilty.