Russische destroyers en landingsschepen gedetecteerd bij Japan - op weg naar Oekraïne?
Russian destroyers and landing ships detected near Japan - heading for Ukraine?
Four Russian landing ships (Alligator and Ropucha class) have sailed through the Tsugaru Strait, the Japanese Ministry of Defense announced yesterday. The ships were followed by a Japanese P-3C Orion maritime patrol aircraft. One of the ships has fourteen vehicles on deck. The other ships have any vehicles below decks.
It concerns the following four ships of the Pacific Fleet:
• Oslyabya (Ropucha II)
• Admiral Nevelskoy (Ropucha II)
• Peresvet (Ropucha III)
• Nikolay Vilkov (Alligator)
In addition to the landing ships, other Russian naval vessels also passed through the Tsugaru Strait and the Soy Strait on March 10, 11 and 14. These included six Russian destroyers and three submarines. On March 11, Japan was already
concerned about the passage of the Russian ships, followed by a Japanese destroyer and minesweeper.
To Ukraine?
The question, of course, is what Russia intends to do with the landing ships. According to an
intelligence update from the British Ministry of Defense, Russia is struggling with the offensive operation due to heavy Ukrainian resistance and Russia is moving units from, among others, the Pacific Fleet.
A spokesman for the Japanese defense was asked , according to international news agency Reuterswhether the ships are on their way to Ukraine, "that is possible," the spokesman replied.
This is not to say that these ships are actually going in that direction. The journey from Vladivostok in eastern Russia to Sevastopol in Crimea is almost 11,000 km. At the usual speed of these ships of about 10 knots, the ships (if continuously at sea) would arrive in Crimea in late April or early May.
That is far, but not impossible. However, there is one major obstacle: the Bosphorus is closed to Russian naval ships and so they will not be able to go to the Black Sea. Does Putin want to force passage, possibly together with a number of frigates, in the Mediterranean? You could, but it's risky. And does that risk outweigh the added value of another four landing ships?
However, it is also possible that the ships are on their way to Tartus, Syria, which has been cut off from Russian transport by naval vessel since the closure of the Bosphorus.
Perhaps most likely, however, the ships are on their way back to home base Vladivostok.