interesting stuff, thank you
Good thinking re the window intruder theory. It is a red herring, and not even because of a possible unlocked door, but just on its face. The evidence doesn't support it.
There are conflicting stories about the butler's pantry door. In one version, one of JR's friends told arriving police at 6:00 AM that the door was ajar. In another version, the door had been left open by a crime scene tech. In yet a third version, JR and one of the officers checked all the downstairs doors together and all were locked, as John (and later, Patsy) said. Both Schiller and Steve Thomas say an officer checked all the doors from the outside; all were secure. Multiple sources say that Officer French checked all the doors from the inside and found them all locked. But, a couple of police officers told Newsweek they had found one door unlocked. So - ? I think all the doors were locked. That's the consensus; and, otherwise, any unlocked one would have been a main focus of the investigation. Plus, Officer French’s statement deserves particular weight IMO because he was first on scene and immediately searched the house for any point where a kidnapper could have exited.
maybe "consensus" isn't the right word, since there are conflicting accounts, but it sounds like it's what the preponderance of evidence (available to
us) points to. i agree officer french's statement gets extra weight. as does JR's for the reasons i laid out. plus, i agree with the heuristic that if someone had found a door unlocked we would have heard about it, loudly and unambiguously, and the investigation would have focused on it instead of the window. the three of them, especially taken together, are pretty convincing.
about the opposing claims...
one of JR's friends told arriving police at 6AM that the butler's pantry door was ajar. officer french would have seen whether that was true when he checked all the doors. he found all of them closed and locked. presumably, when he came back, there would have been some discussion like "did somebody shut and lock the butler pantry door after you found it ajar?" if someone had, then the claim that it had been ajar would be confirmed, and the investigation very likely would have focused on it. also, french's later statements that the doors were all locked would have had the qualifier that "but so-and-do said the pantry door was open and they shut and locked it before we got there". apparently neither of those things happened. so most likely everyone's response at that point was that no one had shut and locked it. conclusion: the door was never ajar. the friend was mistaken. didn't get a good look at it, or imagination got away from them or something. or maybe they were just passing along someone else's speculation they'd overheard and mistaken for fact.
butler pantry door being left open by a crime scene tech.... that would have been later in the day, wouldn't it? only after it had become a murder investigation? certainly after officer french's initial 6 AM check. ... whatever the relevance of the tech possibly leaving it open, it doesn't seem like it can tell us anything about the state of the doors at 6 AM.
couple of police officers telling newsweek they found an unlocked door... do you have more specifics on that? are the officers named in the report? were they there on the scene that day? do they say which door was unlocked and when they found it that way?
Exactly. Officer French checked the windows, too, and found all of them locked except for two small ones in the basement left open for Christmas lights cables to pass through. Neither window was large enough to be a point of entry. Patsy, I don't know but, IIRC, John told police all the windows were locked. One other location had to be checked, JBR's balcony. However, the frost on it was pristine, and her balcony door was locked.
ok. yeah, it's getting pretty hard to imagine how the small foreign faction could have gotten into the house.
I agree; IDI is problematic in many ways. There is one other possibility for it, though. What if an intruder had a key? The Ramseys had given keys to family, to housekeepers, and to various workmen. Don Paugh, Linda Hoffman-Pugh, and Mervin Pugh were cleared (though doubts persist among case followers). Other people with keys were interviewed and cleared, but I don't recall whether all were interviewed. And, of course, a key could have been copied or stolen.
right. and the kind of people who would have been given keys would also tend to be good fits for knowing about JR's bonus, knowing their way around the house, etc. and the combination of those two points breathes some life into IDI. but my understanding is (as you say) those people were looked at closely by police, early on. as one would assume they would be.
a key being copied or stolen is possible, and opens the door (pun intended) to more suspects. but not necessarily
good, additional suspects, since you still need to explain the perp's insider knowledge and familiarity with the house. and anyone who copied or stole a key would likely be close to someone who had been given one. friend or family member. therefore possibly already on LE's radar, or at least right on the edge of it.