Tropical Storm Stan
- Thread starter Buzz Mills
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Dark Knight
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Whoops, I mean SE, not SW. :doh: There are 2 tropical waves that will likely affect the SE this week, actually, if they organize and strengthen.poco said:
Dark Knight
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My boss says the same thing, lol! :doh:Casshew said:
Buzz Mills
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Wind speed is increasing
TROPICAL STORM STAN ADVISORY NUMBER 10
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
4 PM CDT MON OCT 03 2005
...STAN CONTINUES TO STRENGTHEN...
AT 4 PM CDT...2100Z...THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL
STORM WARNING FOR THE GULF COAST OF MEXICO FROM EAST OF PUNTA EL
LAGARTO TO CHILITEPEC. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA
WITHIN 24 HOURS.
A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE GULF COAST OF MEXICO
FROM CABO ROJO SOUTHWARD TO PUNTA EL LAGARTO. ALTHOUGH HURRICANE
CONDITIONS ARE NOT EXPECTED TO REACH THE COASTLINE WITHIN THE NEXT
24 HOURS...TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WILL ARRIVE WELL IN ADVANCE
OF THE CENTER...AND PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY
SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION IN THE WARNING AREA.
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
AT 4 PM CDT...2100Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM STAN WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 20.0 NORTH... LONGITUDE 92.6 WEST OR ABOUT 240
MILES... 385 KM... EAST-NORTHEAST OF VERACRUZ MEXICO.
STAN IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-SOUTHWEST NEAR 7 MPH
...11 KM/HR...AND THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE OVER
THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 60 MPH... 95 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. CONTINUED STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24
HOURS...AND STAN COULD BECOME A HURRICANE TONIGHT OR TOMORROW.
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 85 MILES
...140 KM FROM THE CENTER.
THE LATEST MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE ESTIMATED FROM AIRCRAFT
RECONNAISSANCE DATA IS 995 MB...29.38 INCHES.
COASTAL STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 2 TO 4 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE
LEVELS...ALONG WITH LARGE AND DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES...CAN BE
EXPECTED NEAR AND TO THE NORTH OF WHERE THE CENTER MAKES LANDFALL.
STAN IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE 5 TO 10 INCHES OF RAINFALL OVER PORTIONS
OF SOUTHEASTERN MEXICO...WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 15 INCHES
POSSIBLE THROUGH THURSDAY.
REPEATING THE 4 PM CDT POSITION...20.0 N... 92.6 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST-SOUTHWEST NEAR 7 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS... 60 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 995 MB.
AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL
HURRICANE CENTER AT 7 PM CDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT
COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 10 PM CDT.
FORECASTER FRANKLIN
Stan appears to have an excellent chance of becoming a hurricane by the time it makes landfall sometime Wednesday:
http://tinyurl.com/9jxzw
http://tinyurl.com/6fmsy
TROPICAL STORM STAN ADVISORY NUMBER 10
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
4 PM CDT MON OCT 03 2005
...STAN CONTINUES TO STRENGTHEN...
AT 4 PM CDT...2100Z...THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL
STORM WARNING FOR THE GULF COAST OF MEXICO FROM EAST OF PUNTA EL
LAGARTO TO CHILITEPEC. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA
WITHIN 24 HOURS.
A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE GULF COAST OF MEXICO
FROM CABO ROJO SOUTHWARD TO PUNTA EL LAGARTO. ALTHOUGH HURRICANE
CONDITIONS ARE NOT EXPECTED TO REACH THE COASTLINE WITHIN THE NEXT
24 HOURS...TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WILL ARRIVE WELL IN ADVANCE
OF THE CENTER...AND PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY
SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION IN THE WARNING AREA.
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
AT 4 PM CDT...2100Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM STAN WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 20.0 NORTH... LONGITUDE 92.6 WEST OR ABOUT 240
MILES... 385 KM... EAST-NORTHEAST OF VERACRUZ MEXICO.
STAN IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-SOUTHWEST NEAR 7 MPH
...11 KM/HR...AND THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE OVER
THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 60 MPH... 95 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. CONTINUED STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24
HOURS...AND STAN COULD BECOME A HURRICANE TONIGHT OR TOMORROW.
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 85 MILES
...140 KM FROM THE CENTER.
THE LATEST MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE ESTIMATED FROM AIRCRAFT
RECONNAISSANCE DATA IS 995 MB...29.38 INCHES.
COASTAL STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 2 TO 4 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE
LEVELS...ALONG WITH LARGE AND DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES...CAN BE
EXPECTED NEAR AND TO THE NORTH OF WHERE THE CENTER MAKES LANDFALL.
STAN IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE 5 TO 10 INCHES OF RAINFALL OVER PORTIONS
OF SOUTHEASTERN MEXICO...WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 15 INCHES
POSSIBLE THROUGH THURSDAY.
REPEATING THE 4 PM CDT POSITION...20.0 N... 92.6 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST-SOUTHWEST NEAR 7 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS... 60 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 995 MB.
AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL
HURRICANE CENTER AT 7 PM CDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT
COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 10 PM CDT.
FORECASTER FRANKLIN
Stan appears to have an excellent chance of becoming a hurricane by the time it makes landfall sometime Wednesday:
http://tinyurl.com/9jxzw
http://tinyurl.com/6fmsy
Buzz Mills
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- Jul 18, 2004
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TROPICAL STORM STAN ADVISORY NUMBER 11
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
10 PM CDT MON OCT 03 2005
...STAN STRENGTHENING OVER THE BAY OF CAMPECHE...COULD BECOME A
HURRICANE SOON...
A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE GULF COAST OF MEXICO
FROM CABO ROJO SOUTHWARD TO PUNTA EL LAGARTO. ALTHOUGH HURRICANE
CONDITIONS ARE NOT EXPECTED TO REACH THE COASTLINE WITHIN THE NEXT
24 HOURS...TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WILL ARRIVE WELL IN ADVANCE
OF THE CENTER...AND PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY
SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION IN THE WARNING AREA.
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE GULF COAST OF
MEXICO FROM EAST OF PUNTA EL LAGARTO TO CHILITEPEC. A TROPICAL
STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS ARE EXPECTED
WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 24 HOURS.
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
AT 10 PM CDT...0300Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM STAN WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 19.9 NORTH... LONGITUDE 93.4 WEST OR ABOUT 190
MILES... 305 KM... EAST-NORTHEAST OF VERACRUZ MEXICO.
STAN IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 7 MPH...11 KM/HR...AND A
WESTWARD TO WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD MOTION IS EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT 24
HOURS.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO NEAR 65 MPH...100
KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST
DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS...AND STAN COULD BECOME A HURRICANE BY
EARLY TUESDAY.
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 85 MILES
...140 KM FROM THE CENTER.
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 990 MB...29.23 INCHES.
COASTAL STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 2 TO 4 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE
LEVELS...ALONG WITH LARGE AND DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES...CAN BE
EXPECTED NEAR AND TO THE NORTH OF WHERE THE CENTER MAKES LANDFALL.
STAN IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE 5 TO 10 INCHES OF RAINFALL OVER PORTIONS
OF SOUTHEASTERN MEXICO...WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 15 INCHES
POSSIBLE.
REPEATING THE 10 PM CDT POSITION...19.9 N... 93.4 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST NEAR 7 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 65 MPH.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 990 MB.
AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER AT 1 AM CDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 4 AM
CDT.
FORECASTER PASCH
http://tinyurl.com/9jxzw
http://tinyurl.com/6fmsy
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
10 PM CDT MON OCT 03 2005
...STAN STRENGTHENING OVER THE BAY OF CAMPECHE...COULD BECOME A
HURRICANE SOON...
A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE GULF COAST OF MEXICO
FROM CABO ROJO SOUTHWARD TO PUNTA EL LAGARTO. ALTHOUGH HURRICANE
CONDITIONS ARE NOT EXPECTED TO REACH THE COASTLINE WITHIN THE NEXT
24 HOURS...TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WILL ARRIVE WELL IN ADVANCE
OF THE CENTER...AND PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY
SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION IN THE WARNING AREA.
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE GULF COAST OF
MEXICO FROM EAST OF PUNTA EL LAGARTO TO CHILITEPEC. A TROPICAL
STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS ARE EXPECTED
WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 24 HOURS.
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
AT 10 PM CDT...0300Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM STAN WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 19.9 NORTH... LONGITUDE 93.4 WEST OR ABOUT 190
MILES... 305 KM... EAST-NORTHEAST OF VERACRUZ MEXICO.
STAN IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 7 MPH...11 KM/HR...AND A
WESTWARD TO WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD MOTION IS EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT 24
HOURS.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO NEAR 65 MPH...100
KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST
DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS...AND STAN COULD BECOME A HURRICANE BY
EARLY TUESDAY.
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 85 MILES
...140 KM FROM THE CENTER.
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 990 MB...29.23 INCHES.
COASTAL STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 2 TO 4 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE
LEVELS...ALONG WITH LARGE AND DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES...CAN BE
EXPECTED NEAR AND TO THE NORTH OF WHERE THE CENTER MAKES LANDFALL.
STAN IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE 5 TO 10 INCHES OF RAINFALL OVER PORTIONS
OF SOUTHEASTERN MEXICO...WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 15 INCHES
POSSIBLE.
REPEATING THE 10 PM CDT POSITION...19.9 N... 93.4 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST NEAR 7 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 65 MPH.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 990 MB.
AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER AT 1 AM CDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 4 AM
CDT.
FORECASTER PASCH
http://tinyurl.com/9jxzw
http://tinyurl.com/6fmsy
Buzz Mills
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- Joined
- Jul 18, 2004
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- 23
HURRICANE STAN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 13A...CORRECTED
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
7 AM CDT TUE OCT 04 2005
CORRECTED FOR DISTANCE FROM VERACRUZ
...STAN NEARING THE MEXICAN COAST...
A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE GULF COAST OF MEXICO
FROM PALMA SOLA SOUTHWARD AND EASTWARD TO CHILITEPEC. ALL
PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD HAVE ALREADY BEEN
COMPLETED.
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NORTH OF PALMA SOLA
TO CABO ROJO.
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
AT 7 AM CDT...1200Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE STAN WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 18.7 NORTH... LONGITUDE 94.7 WEST OR ABOUT 105 MILES...
195 KM... EAST-SOUTHEAST OF VERACRUZ MEXICO.
STAN IS MOVING TOWARD THE SOUTHWEST NEAR 10 MPH... 16 KM/HR. A
CONTINUED SOUTHWESTWARD MOTION WITH A GRADUAL DECREASE IN FORWARD
SPEED IS EXPECTED TODAY. ON THIS TRACK... STAN IS EXPECTED TO MAKE
LANDFALL WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT SEVERAL HOURS.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 80 MPH...130 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. STAN IS A CATEGORY ONE HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON
SCALE. SOME FLUCTUATIONS IN INTENSITY ARE POSSIBLE BEFORE
LANDFALL.
HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 15 MILES... 30 KM...
FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP
TO 105 MILES...165 KM.
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 979 MB...28.91 INCHES.
STAN IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE 5 TO 10 INCHES OF RAINFALL OVER PORTIONS
OF SOUTHEASTERN MEXICO...WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 15 INCHES
POSSIBLE.
COASTAL STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 2 TO 4 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE
LEVELS...ALONG WITH LARGE AND DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES...CAN BE
EXPECTED NEAR AND TO THE NORTH OF WHERE THE CENTER MAKES LANDFALL.
REPEATING THE 7 AM CDT POSITION...18.7 N... 94.7 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...SOUTHWEST NEAR 12 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS... 75 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 979 MB.
THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL
HURRICANE CENTER AT 10 AM CDT.
FORECASTER FRANKLIN/KNABB
http://tinyurl.com/9jxzw
http://tinyurl.com/6fmsy
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
7 AM CDT TUE OCT 04 2005
CORRECTED FOR DISTANCE FROM VERACRUZ
...STAN NEARING THE MEXICAN COAST...
A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE GULF COAST OF MEXICO
FROM PALMA SOLA SOUTHWARD AND EASTWARD TO CHILITEPEC. ALL
PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD HAVE ALREADY BEEN
COMPLETED.
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NORTH OF PALMA SOLA
TO CABO ROJO.
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
AT 7 AM CDT...1200Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE STAN WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 18.7 NORTH... LONGITUDE 94.7 WEST OR ABOUT 105 MILES...
195 KM... EAST-SOUTHEAST OF VERACRUZ MEXICO.
STAN IS MOVING TOWARD THE SOUTHWEST NEAR 10 MPH... 16 KM/HR. A
CONTINUED SOUTHWESTWARD MOTION WITH A GRADUAL DECREASE IN FORWARD
SPEED IS EXPECTED TODAY. ON THIS TRACK... STAN IS EXPECTED TO MAKE
LANDFALL WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT SEVERAL HOURS.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 80 MPH...130 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. STAN IS A CATEGORY ONE HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON
SCALE. SOME FLUCTUATIONS IN INTENSITY ARE POSSIBLE BEFORE
LANDFALL.
HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 15 MILES... 30 KM...
FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP
TO 105 MILES...165 KM.
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 979 MB...28.91 INCHES.
STAN IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE 5 TO 10 INCHES OF RAINFALL OVER PORTIONS
OF SOUTHEASTERN MEXICO...WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 15 INCHES
POSSIBLE.
COASTAL STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 2 TO 4 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE
LEVELS...ALONG WITH LARGE AND DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES...CAN BE
EXPECTED NEAR AND TO THE NORTH OF WHERE THE CENTER MAKES LANDFALL.
REPEATING THE 7 AM CDT POSITION...18.7 N... 94.7 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...SOUTHWEST NEAR 12 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS... 75 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 979 MB.
THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL
HURRICANE CENTER AT 10 AM CDT.
FORECASTER FRANKLIN/KNABB
http://tinyurl.com/9jxzw
http://tinyurl.com/6fmsy
Buzz Mills
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- Joined
- Jul 18, 2004
- Messages
- 23,626
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- 23
HURRICANE STAN ADVISORY NUMBER 14
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
10 AM CDT TUE OCT 04 2005
...STAN MAKES LANDFALL SOUTHEAST OF VERACRUZ NEAR PUNTA ROCA
PARTIDA...
A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE GULF COAST OF MEXICO
FROM PALMA SOLA TO CHILITEPEC. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN
EFFECT FROM NORTH OF PALMA SOLA TO CABO ROJO.
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
AT 10 AM CDT...1500Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE STAN WAS LOCATED JUST
INLAND NEAR LATITUDE 18.6 NORTH... LONGITUDE 95.1 WEST OR ABOUT 85
MILES... 135 KM... EAST-SOUTHEAST OF VERACRUZ MEXICO.
STAN IS MOVING TOWARD THE SOUTHWEST NEAR 7 MPH...11 KM/HR. A
DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 80 MPH...130 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. STAN IS A CATEGORY ONE HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON
SCALE. STAN IS EXPECTED TO WEAKEN RAPIDLY AS IT CONTINUES TO MOVE
INLAND DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 15 MILES... 30 KM...
FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP
TO 105 MILES...165 KM.
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 979 MB...28.91 INCHES.
COASTAL STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 2 TO 4 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE
LEVELS...ALONG WITH LARGE AND DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES...CAN BE
EXPECTED NEAR AND TO THE NORTH OF THE LANDFALL LOCATION.
STAN IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE 5 TO 10 INCHES OF RAINFALL OVER PORTIONS
OF SOUTHEASTERN MEXICO. RAINFALL OF 10 TO 15 INCHES...WITH
ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 20 INCHES...IS POSSIBLE OVER THE
MOUNTAINOUS TERRAIN IN THE STATES OF VERACRUZ AND PUEBLA. THESE
RAINS COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES.
REPEATING THE 10 AM CDT POSITION...18.6 N... 95.1 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...SOUTHWEST NEAR 7 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS... 80 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 979 MB.
AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL
HURRICANE CENTER AT 1 PM CDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT
COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 4 PM CDT.
FORECASTER FRANKLIN
http://tinyurl.com/9jxzw
http://tinyurl.com/6fmsy
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
10 AM CDT TUE OCT 04 2005
...STAN MAKES LANDFALL SOUTHEAST OF VERACRUZ NEAR PUNTA ROCA
PARTIDA...
A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE GULF COAST OF MEXICO
FROM PALMA SOLA TO CHILITEPEC. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN
EFFECT FROM NORTH OF PALMA SOLA TO CABO ROJO.
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
AT 10 AM CDT...1500Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE STAN WAS LOCATED JUST
INLAND NEAR LATITUDE 18.6 NORTH... LONGITUDE 95.1 WEST OR ABOUT 85
MILES... 135 KM... EAST-SOUTHEAST OF VERACRUZ MEXICO.
STAN IS MOVING TOWARD THE SOUTHWEST NEAR 7 MPH...11 KM/HR. A
DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 80 MPH...130 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. STAN IS A CATEGORY ONE HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON
SCALE. STAN IS EXPECTED TO WEAKEN RAPIDLY AS IT CONTINUES TO MOVE
INLAND DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 15 MILES... 30 KM...
FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP
TO 105 MILES...165 KM.
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 979 MB...28.91 INCHES.
COASTAL STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 2 TO 4 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE
LEVELS...ALONG WITH LARGE AND DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES...CAN BE
EXPECTED NEAR AND TO THE NORTH OF THE LANDFALL LOCATION.
STAN IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE 5 TO 10 INCHES OF RAINFALL OVER PORTIONS
OF SOUTHEASTERN MEXICO. RAINFALL OF 10 TO 15 INCHES...WITH
ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 20 INCHES...IS POSSIBLE OVER THE
MOUNTAINOUS TERRAIN IN THE STATES OF VERACRUZ AND PUEBLA. THESE
RAINS COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES.
REPEATING THE 10 AM CDT POSITION...18.6 N... 95.1 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...SOUTHWEST NEAR 7 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS... 80 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 979 MB.
AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL
HURRICANE CENTER AT 1 PM CDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT
COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 4 PM CDT.
FORECASTER FRANKLIN
http://tinyurl.com/9jxzw
http://tinyurl.com/6fmsy
Buzz Mills
New Member
- Joined
- Jul 18, 2004
- Messages
- 23,626
- Reaction score
- 23
TROPICAL STORM STAN ADVISORY NUMBER 15
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
4 PM CDT TUE OCT 04 2005
...HEAVY RAINS CONTINUE AS STAN MOVES FARTHER INLAND...
AT 4 PM CDT...2100Z...THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS DISCONTINUED ALL
COASTAL WARNINGS.
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
AT 4 PM CDT...2100Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM STAN WAS LOCATED
INLAND NEAR LATITUDE 17.8 NORTH... LONGITUDE 95.6 WEST OR ABOUT 105
MILES... 170 KM... SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF VERACRUZ MEXICO.
STAN IS MOVING TOWARD THE SOUTHWEST NEAR 6 MPH... 9 KM/HR... AND
THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE UNTIL THE CIRCULATION
DISSIPATES OVER THE MOUNTAINS OF EASTERN MEXICO WITHIN THE NEXT 12
TO 24 HOURS.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 50 MPH... 85 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS...PARTICULARLY OVER ELEVATED TERRAIN. STAN IS EXPECTED TO
CONTINUE TO WEAKEN DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 50 MILES
... 85 KM FROM THE CENTER.
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 992 MB...29.29 INCHES.
STAN IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE 5 TO 10 INCHES OF RAINFALL OVER PORTIONS
OF SOUTHEASTERN MEXICO. RAINFALL OF 10 TO 15 INCHES...WITH ISOLATED
MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 20 INCHES...IS POSSIBLE OVER THE MOUNTAINOUS
TERRAIN IN THE STATES OF VERACRUZ...PUEBLA...AND OAXACA. THESE
RAINS COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES.
REPEATING THE 4 PM CDT POSITION...17.8 N... 95.6 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...SOUTHWEST NEAR 6 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS... 50 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 992 MB.
THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL
HURRICANE CENTER AT 10 PM CDT.
FORECASTER FRANKLIN
http://tinyurl.com/9jxzw
http://tinyurl.com/6fmsy
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
4 PM CDT TUE OCT 04 2005
...HEAVY RAINS CONTINUE AS STAN MOVES FARTHER INLAND...
AT 4 PM CDT...2100Z...THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS DISCONTINUED ALL
COASTAL WARNINGS.
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
AT 4 PM CDT...2100Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM STAN WAS LOCATED
INLAND NEAR LATITUDE 17.8 NORTH... LONGITUDE 95.6 WEST OR ABOUT 105
MILES... 170 KM... SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF VERACRUZ MEXICO.
STAN IS MOVING TOWARD THE SOUTHWEST NEAR 6 MPH... 9 KM/HR... AND
THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE UNTIL THE CIRCULATION
DISSIPATES OVER THE MOUNTAINS OF EASTERN MEXICO WITHIN THE NEXT 12
TO 24 HOURS.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 50 MPH... 85 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS...PARTICULARLY OVER ELEVATED TERRAIN. STAN IS EXPECTED TO
CONTINUE TO WEAKEN DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 50 MILES
... 85 KM FROM THE CENTER.
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 992 MB...29.29 INCHES.
STAN IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE 5 TO 10 INCHES OF RAINFALL OVER PORTIONS
OF SOUTHEASTERN MEXICO. RAINFALL OF 10 TO 15 INCHES...WITH ISOLATED
MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 20 INCHES...IS POSSIBLE OVER THE MOUNTAINOUS
TERRAIN IN THE STATES OF VERACRUZ...PUEBLA...AND OAXACA. THESE
RAINS COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES.
REPEATING THE 4 PM CDT POSITION...17.8 N... 95.6 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...SOUTHWEST NEAR 6 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS... 50 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 992 MB.
THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL
HURRICANE CENTER AT 10 PM CDT.
FORECASTER FRANKLIN
http://tinyurl.com/9jxzw
http://tinyurl.com/6fmsy
Buzz Mills
New Member
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- Jul 18, 2004
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- 23,626
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- 23
TROPICAL DEPRESSION STAN ADVISORY NUMBER 16
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
10 PM CDT TUE OCT 04 2005
...STAN IS NOW A RAINMAKER...
AT 10 PM CDT...0300Z...THE BROAD CENTER OF CIRCULATION OF TROPICAL
DEPRESSION STAN WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 17.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE
96.8 WEST...OVER THE STATE OF OAXACA MEXICO.
THE DEPRESSION HAS BEEN DRIFTING SOUTHWESTWARD NEAR 3 MPH...6 KM/HR.
LITTLE MOTION IS EXPECTED BEFORE DISSIPATION.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 35 MPH... 55 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS MAINLY OVER WATER WELL REMOVED FROM THE CENTER. STAN IS
FORECAST TO WEAKEN OVER THE HIGH TERRAIN OF MEXICO.
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1000 MB...29.53 INCHES.
STAN IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE 5 TO 10 INCHES OF RAINFALL OVER PORTIONS
OF SOUTHEASTERN MEXICO. RAINFALL OF 10 TO 15 INCHES...WITH ISOLATED
MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 20 INCHES...IS POSSIBLE OVER THE MOUNTAINOUS
TERRAIN IN THE STATES OF VERACRUZ...PUEBLA...AND OAXACA. THESE
RAINS COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES.
REPEATING THE 10 PM CDT POSITION...17.3 N... 96.8 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...SOUTHWEST NEAR 3 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1000 MB.
THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT
4 AM CDT.
FORECASTER AVILA
http://tinyurl.com/9jxzw
http://tinyurl.com/6fmsy
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
10 PM CDT TUE OCT 04 2005
...STAN IS NOW A RAINMAKER...
AT 10 PM CDT...0300Z...THE BROAD CENTER OF CIRCULATION OF TROPICAL
DEPRESSION STAN WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 17.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE
96.8 WEST...OVER THE STATE OF OAXACA MEXICO.
THE DEPRESSION HAS BEEN DRIFTING SOUTHWESTWARD NEAR 3 MPH...6 KM/HR.
LITTLE MOTION IS EXPECTED BEFORE DISSIPATION.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 35 MPH... 55 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS MAINLY OVER WATER WELL REMOVED FROM THE CENTER. STAN IS
FORECAST TO WEAKEN OVER THE HIGH TERRAIN OF MEXICO.
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1000 MB...29.53 INCHES.
STAN IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE 5 TO 10 INCHES OF RAINFALL OVER PORTIONS
OF SOUTHEASTERN MEXICO. RAINFALL OF 10 TO 15 INCHES...WITH ISOLATED
MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 20 INCHES...IS POSSIBLE OVER THE MOUNTAINOUS
TERRAIN IN THE STATES OF VERACRUZ...PUEBLA...AND OAXACA. THESE
RAINS COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES.
REPEATING THE 10 PM CDT POSITION...17.3 N... 96.8 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...SOUTHWEST NEAR 3 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1000 MB.
THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT
4 AM CDT.
FORECASTER AVILA
http://tinyurl.com/9jxzw
http://tinyurl.com/6fmsy
Buzz Mills
New Member
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- Jul 18, 2004
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- 23,626
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- 23
TROPICAL DEPRESSION STAN ADVISORY NUMBER 17
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
4 AM CDT WED OCT 05 2005
...STAN DISSIPATING OVER THE MOUNTAINS OF SOUTHEASTERN MEXICO...
...STILL CAPABLE OF PRODUCING ADDITIONAL HEAVY RAINS AND FLOODING...
AT 4 AM CDT...0900Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION STAN WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 16.9 NORTH... LONGITUDE 97.3 WEST... OVER THE
STATE OF OAXACA MEXICO.
THE DISSIPATING DEPRESSION HAS BEEN MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-SOUTHWEST
NEAR 6 MPH... 9 KM/HR... AND THE REMNANT LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM IS
EXPECTED TO MOVE VERY SLOWLY OVER THE MOUNTAINS OF SOUTHEASTERN
MEXICO THIS MORNING.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 30 MPH... 45 KM/HR... WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. STAN IS DISSIPATING OVER THE MOUNTAINS OF SOUTHEASTERN
MEXICO.
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1006 MB...29.71 INCHES.
STAN IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE ADDITIONAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 2
TO 4 INCHES OVER PORTIONS OF SOUTHEASTERN MEXICO. ISOLATED MAXIMUM
STORM TOTAL AMOUNTS OF 15 TO 20 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE IN ASSOCIATION
WITH STAN. THESE RAINS COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS
AND MUD SLIDES.
REPEATING THE 4 AM CDT POSITION...16.9 N... 97.3 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST-SOUTHWEST NEAR 6 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS... 30 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1006 MB.
THIS IS THE LAST PUBLIC ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER ON THIS SYSTEM.
FORECASTER KNABB
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
4 AM CDT WED OCT 05 2005
...STAN DISSIPATING OVER THE MOUNTAINS OF SOUTHEASTERN MEXICO...
...STILL CAPABLE OF PRODUCING ADDITIONAL HEAVY RAINS AND FLOODING...
AT 4 AM CDT...0900Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION STAN WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 16.9 NORTH... LONGITUDE 97.3 WEST... OVER THE
STATE OF OAXACA MEXICO.
THE DISSIPATING DEPRESSION HAS BEEN MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-SOUTHWEST
NEAR 6 MPH... 9 KM/HR... AND THE REMNANT LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM IS
EXPECTED TO MOVE VERY SLOWLY OVER THE MOUNTAINS OF SOUTHEASTERN
MEXICO THIS MORNING.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 30 MPH... 45 KM/HR... WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. STAN IS DISSIPATING OVER THE MOUNTAINS OF SOUTHEASTERN
MEXICO.
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1006 MB...29.71 INCHES.
STAN IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE ADDITIONAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 2
TO 4 INCHES OVER PORTIONS OF SOUTHEASTERN MEXICO. ISOLATED MAXIMUM
STORM TOTAL AMOUNTS OF 15 TO 20 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE IN ASSOCIATION
WITH STAN. THESE RAINS COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS
AND MUD SLIDES.
REPEATING THE 4 AM CDT POSITION...16.9 N... 97.3 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST-SOUTHWEST NEAR 6 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS... 30 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1006 MB.
THIS IS THE LAST PUBLIC ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER ON THIS SYSTEM.
FORECASTER KNABB
Buzz Mills
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If Stan forms back up and makes landfall again, it could be a massive storm. Stan has already caused severe flooding.
http://tinyurl.com/6fmsy
http://tinyurl.com/6fmsy
Buzz Mills
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- Jul 18, 2004
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- 23,626
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- 23
Hurricane Stan kills 162 in Mexico and Central America
TECPAN, Guatemala (Reuters) - Huge mudslides, flooding and torrential rains from Hurricane Stan have killed at least 162 people in Central America and southern Mexico, rescue workers said on Wednesday.
Relentless rain pounded mountain villages and urban shanty towns across the impoverished region, and hillsides collapsed under four days of downpours.
The death toll more than doubled on Wednesday when rivers burst their banks in southern Mexico, and emergency teams found dozens more victims buried under banks of mud in remote Guatemalan towns. By the evening, the death toll in Guatemala stood at 79 people, but the government said that figure could rise. Unconfirmed reports said hundreds may have been killed in an isolated region in the west of the country.
http://tinyurl.com/a4ljo
TECPAN, Guatemala (Reuters) - Huge mudslides, flooding and torrential rains from Hurricane Stan have killed at least 162 people in Central America and southern Mexico, rescue workers said on Wednesday.
Relentless rain pounded mountain villages and urban shanty towns across the impoverished region, and hillsides collapsed under four days of downpours.
The death toll more than doubled on Wednesday when rivers burst their banks in southern Mexico, and emergency teams found dozens more victims buried under banks of mud in remote Guatemalan towns. By the evening, the death toll in Guatemala stood at 79 people, but the government said that figure could rise. Unconfirmed reports said hundreds may have been killed in an isolated region in the west of the country.
http://tinyurl.com/a4ljo
Buzz Mills
New Member
- Joined
- Jul 18, 2004
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- 23,626
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- 23
Stan wreaks havoc on Mexico:
60 more bodies found in Guatemala
Regional death toll from flooding reaches 231
Thursday, October 6, 2005; Posted: 6:30 p.m. EDT (22:30 GMT)
GUATEMALA CITY (AP) -- Rescue workers in Guatemala said they pulled at least 40 bodies from a massive mudslide and found 20 more dead in a swollen river Thursday, raising to at least 231 the number of people killed from five days of pounding rains in Central America and Mexico.
Officials expected the death to toll to climb as they searched for more than 150 others who were missing following the landslide in Solola, a town close to Lake Atitlan, 60 miles (100 kilometers) west of the capital, Guatemala City.
http://www.cnn.com/2005/WEATHER/10/06/stan.ap/index.html
Stan's Path
http://tinyurl.com/755hc
60 more bodies found in Guatemala
Regional death toll from flooding reaches 231
Thursday, October 6, 2005; Posted: 6:30 p.m. EDT (22:30 GMT)
GUATEMALA CITY (AP) -- Rescue workers in Guatemala said they pulled at least 40 bodies from a massive mudslide and found 20 more dead in a swollen river Thursday, raising to at least 231 the number of people killed from five days of pounding rains in Central America and Mexico.
Officials expected the death to toll to climb as they searched for more than 150 others who were missing following the landslide in Solola, a town close to Lake Atitlan, 60 miles (100 kilometers) west of the capital, Guatemala City.
http://www.cnn.com/2005/WEATHER/10/06/stan.ap/index.html
Stan's Path
http://tinyurl.com/755hc
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