KrysJP
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I'm new here so be gentle with me! I'd like to offer my thoughts - it's only a rough scenario without exact details - feel free to rip it apart as it may give me other directions to lean toward.
Sarai had had money problems, possibly marital problems too. Her husband and/or brother were offered the chance to make some money. All it involved was Sarai and her friend delivering a package from Istanbul to Amsterdam, no chance of them getting caught. When put to Sarai and her friend that they could have the trip of a lifetime with all expenses paid, be able to sort out their debt problems and maybe have enough left over to take the boys to Disneyland, they agreed. After no doubt being hesitant at first, Sarai got excited that she would also be able to indulge her newly discovered passion for photography and maybe even meet up with some of her fellow IGers. Her friend got cold feet and backed out. A second scenario is that Sarai was offered the deal and discussed it with her husband who agreed this would be a way to solve their money problems.
All flights were booked and paid for in the US. All goes well in Istanbul. Sarai meets her contact, collects the package and safely delivers it to Amsterdam. I don't think Ammer is involved, but I do think he and his fellow countrymen badmouthed Turks. Sarai returns to Istanbul and decides to bring forward her flight home as she isn't so trusting of her contacts now.
On the day before she is due to fly home, somewhere in the Galata district she meets up with her contact at a pre-arranged time to collect her earnings. (I haven't thought out how she was able to keep in touch with her contacts other than maybe she was given a turkish mobile.) A second member of the smuggling gang was assigned to follow her and snatch back the payout when the opportunity arose. She could hardly go the police and say she'd had her bag snatched - what was in the bag madam? - my phone, ipad and $10000!. As Taylan/Tarkan who may or may not have had sex with her hadn't bothered showing up, what was she going to do now, maybe she'd take a stroll along the waterfront. She walks along the water side of the road whilst the gang member, not believing his luck that she's made it so easy for him, follows at a distance on the other side of the road. Is it possible that the other side of the road is not covered by cameras as Sarai was not able to be tracked once she had crossed the road? Once she had, the gang member sees his opportunity and attempts to snatch back the payout which Sarai has put inside her jacket. Who would expect such a little lady to put up such a big struggle and be able to make so much noise and so the rock comes into play. Without generalising, life can be cheap in Turkey. Cool, calm and collected, the gang member stuffs the jacket and it's contents inside her bag without noticing her driving licence fall out of her pocket. He makes an attempt to conceal the body/frame the local down and outs and he's on his way out of there.
When Sarai doesn't arrive home as planned, her husband/brother try contacting her IG friends, who don't know her whereabouts. They now know something has gone wrong with the job but can hardly go the police about it, can they? All they can do is go to Istanbul themselves and be co-operative with but not helpful to the investigators.
Just some other observations along my way :
I think it was last year, there was a street art festival in Tarlabasi which, given her love of graffitti could have drawn her to stay in the area. (If I was on my first trip abroad I would have had to show some photos immediately and worry about editing them later. There should have been some amazing art for her to photograph in her area).
I would be very interested to know how she travelled to and from the airport each time. The cheapest way I have found to do it is to pre-book a transfer on the internet. Did she do this, take a taxi, take public transport or did someone chauffeur her?
As far as her message about going to the Asian side, I've met several tourists there who think that Galata, Taksim etc are the European side and as soon as you cross the water, ie cross the Galata Bridge to Sultan Ahmet, Sirkeci, Cankuratan, they are on the Asian side. If she was "the most uninformed tourist there" maybe she had this idea.
I've always thought that the DNA taken from 22 people was to rule them OUT as suspects rather than to rule them IN. I imagine most of these are the wall-dwellers.
Maybe Taylan/Tarkan felt obligated to meet with her once she was in his city. They met for coffee a couple of times, he may have got lucky. IF he did, I bet he won't be so keen on opportunistic sex with a passing acquaintance in the future.
Maybe her phone and i-pad being taken was not a deliberate action but incidental. They could well be at the bottom of the Bosphorous.
In the beginning, reports stated that the friend had backed out as she was not working at the time. Her facebook pages states "Personal Wedding Coordinator · New York, New York · 2004 to present".
I don't believe she was killed by a serial killer, but I'm surprised this hasn't been discussed - http://haber.mynet.com/sarai-seri-katilin-5-kurbani-mi-677185-guncel.
I find this exchange from webstagram interesting :
forward #saraisierra #lastweek #action #search #help #the_citylife #all_shots #instagramhub #instagramers #please #tragic #helpme 2w .
devonmiles1981 If you have seen her please let me know, she was last seen in #istanbul to check out the asian side of the city but never returned and all her stuff was still in her room @sahhrudd was the last person to see her. Please help us to find this lovely woman and mother of 2 kids. We pray for her and her family that she will return home safely!! 2w.
devonmiles1981 #ighelp #person #miss #family #look #searching 2w.
devonmiles1981 #come #home #safe #bless #pray 2w.
surndrdabooty How did you know @sahhrudd was the last person to see her, 6 days ago? 1w.
devonmiles1981 @surndrdabooty that is old info, i was told by steven not to mention his name no more, more names have showed up if you follow the news which i assume you follow 1w
welcome, and AWSOME speculating, BUT why would she have Tylan meet her by the bridge IF your saying she was supposed to meet with the perp?