Chester
Well-Known Member
- Joined
- Jan 22, 2011
- Messages
- 496
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I seriously doubt his sentence for the crimes he has been charged with will be anything near 18 to 24 months.I'd say very lucky.
He's got away with sexually motivated offences dating back at least two years until this. Even his theiving record seems more deviant than financial. I know police resources might not stretch to nicked laptops but sex toys and photos should have triggered alarms
Libby's body hasn't been found and without that it's his dodgy story to his sister against the police (the Libby coming on to him was his big mistake there - always going to be unlikely in those circumstances even less so when his previous history was revealed, fear of her being sick in his car would have been a better lie for whatever evidence that was covering).
Without that there is no way of reaching the proof beyond reasonable doubt.
He'll possibly serve 18 months to two years for first offence burglary and flashing and be out to disappear and reoffend.
So I'd say he's been very lucky and cunning.
He will reoffend imo. Occams razor explanation changes with every new bit of info. The last piece in the jigsaw was his demeanor in court on unrelated charges.
His location that night (why a student area, there are better places to get consenting sex), the time (possibility of bus and first wave of students coming home), the nature of his previous offences (creepy by anyones standards he'd be well aware that fear and upset are the reactions to flashing not a date) and finally his demeanor in court (not normal for an innocent person nor your average guilty first time offender)
His alleged choice of burglary booty does not make him lucky or unlucky.
If found guilty he is very likely to be offered counselling as part of his sentencing, that can prove to be effective for people with his particular brand of paraphilia. So the reoffending this is not a given. This also has nothing to do with him being lucky or unlucky.
"His demeanour on unrelated charges"? Is there a text book way to react? He'd been questioned for 96 hours, most people would be numb in those circumstances. If he had broken down and sobbed would you be less convinced of his guilt? How are the charges unrelated if you have used them to decide his guilt despite a complete lack of evidence? Again nothing to do with being lucky or unlucky.
With today's Police resources stretched as they are getting away with minor crimes is nothing to do with luck, it's a numbers game. Not many Police Officers, lots of crimes.