Logistics.
While I believe there is a lot to be gained from trying to ascertain what the motive is behind any given unsolved murder case, I much prefer to look at the logistics of how a crime was able to take place. With many serial killers, there simply is no underlying fundamental reason; or "motive" for doing what they do, other than from pure enjoyment and self gratification.
It's precisely for that reason why I believe that rather than focusing primarily on the potential motive behind why SL was abducted and then murdered, I favour looking at exactly how the culprit was able to do what they did and how they evaded being caught out.
In the first instance, it doesn't matter "why," but rather "how" it all transpired. The "why" then becomes important further down the investigative line.
So, let's do exactly that, by asking the question; How was someone able to abduct SL and make her stay gone?
Let's start with the actual factual evidence. (putting any and every "eye witness" account to the side for a moment)
Evidence point 1...
SL's company car was found in Stevenage Road.
That's a definitely ascertained fact.
So, who put it there? (don't worry about "when" just yet)
The answer is either;
1) SL
2) the person who abducted her
3) an accomplice to the person who abducted her or,
4) someone unconnected to SL's disappearance.
Let's look at each of those 4 options based in conjunction with the actual evidence.
The car was found...
1) unlocked driver's side door
2) locked passenger side door
3) seat set back from SL's regular driving position; ergo, to accommodate someone taller
4) Handbrake off
5) SL's purse found inside
6) no keys
So, when we combine that factual data with the 4 viable options relating to "who" could have put the car there, we can then build a picture of statistical likelihood.
For example, let's take option 1; SL drove the car and left it in Stevenage Road?
Okay, but does that tie in with the list of 6 factual pieces of data from the other list?
No, it doesn't
Unless SL deliberately wanted to make herself disappear by faking her own abduction, then it makes no sense whatsoever for her to leave the car the way she did.
I think that based on overwhelming statistical likelihood; SL wasn't the person who drove the car to leave it in Stevenage Road across the road from number 123.
So that leaves option 2, 3, or 4.
Option 4; someone unrelated to the disappearance parked the car in Stevenage Road?
Well considering that the driver completely vanished and has never been found, then again, it's beyond the realms of probability for someone completely innocent to have left the car where it was found.
So, that leaves us with either option 2 or 3 as the correct answer.
Now the idea that there was more than one person involved with the abduction of SL, is something that cannot be either proven or disproven at this juncture.
However, based on the fact that only the driver's door was unlocked and the passenger door was locked, this suggests that only ONE person drove the car and parked it in Stevenage Road. Otherwise, BOTH the doors of the car would have been unlocked or locked. By having one door unlocked and the other locked, it strongly implies there having been only ONE driver.
Therefore, while there may have indeed been an accomplice, we can be almost certain that only 1 person actually drove the car to Stevenage Road
Therefore, the only person who could have viably parked the Fiesta in Stevenage Road, has to be either the abductor, or an accomplice.
That's a fact.
And now we're getting somewhere.
One useful tip when trying to flush out the truth, is that when looking at a case like the abduction of SL, don't think like a cop and be bound by restriction and limitation... but instead, think like the killer.
How did the killer manage to do what they did in a practical sense, regardless of any motive they may or may not of had.
Note that anything and everything that may or may not have happened the night before SL's disappearance, is wholly subjective and based on supposition and conjecture. It frankly leads us nowhere, and clouds the pathway to actually analysing the actual evidential data.
So,. now we have established that someone connected with SL's disappearance MUST have parked the white Fiesta where it was later found, it then opens up a much broader range of questions that need to be addressed.
Some of which I will continue with in my next post...
We have established that someone involved with the disappearance of SL must have driven the white Fiesta and left it in Stevenage Road.
That's a factual piece of data from which to progress and expand upon.
Whilst it does not prove that it was actually the abductor who parked the car (it may have been an accomplice) we can suggest with a degree of confidence that it is more likely and probable that the person who parked the car was the same person who abducted SL.
Again, that's not a fact, but it's highly probable compared to the idea of more than one person having been involved.
So, let's continue...
When the car was left, where did the suspect go?
1) walked to a location within walking distance, without the use of a vehicle (they stayed within close proximity)
2) walked to a location within walking distance, and got into a vehicle and drove off.
3) walked to a location within walking distance, and got into a vehicle driven by an accomplice
4) walked to a location within walking distance and hailed a taxi in the street
5) walked to a cab/taxi office
6) walked to a bus stop
7) walked to a train station
8) they got into a vehicle parked within very close proximity to the Fiesta
9) they got into a vehicle parked within very close proximity to the Fiesta, where an accomplice was waiting.
10) they went into a property within very close proximity to the Fiesta.
At first glance, it would seem that any of the above are viable options.
However, when we add the fact that SL had to have physically been somewhere, then we can dismiss some of the above options as being highly improbable.
But let's put that on hold for a moment while we ask the next question; WHERE was SL at the time the abductor drove and parked the Fiesta in Stevenage Road?
Well, rather crucially, seeing as though the driver's door was unlocked and the passenger door was unlocked, then unless SL was sitting in the passenger seat and then got out of the car via the driver's door AFTER the abductor got out of the driver's seat first, then the abductor must have put SL somewhere else (other than the car) PRIOR to them having driven and parked the car in Stevenage Road.
And so, when we combine this fact with the list of 10 viable options for where the abductor may have gone after they parked the car, then it would seem highly probable that when the abductor exited the Fiesta, they must have gone to the location where SL was situated.
The next question is to ask; where could SL have been placed prior to the abductor driving her car and leaving it in Stevenage Road?
We need to now look at timeframe and work out the "logistics" of how far away from Stevenage Road could SL have been left between the time she was abducted, to the point the car was left in Stevenage Road.
But this we can look at in my next post...