MeoW333, here are some answers for you from your recent post. All we really know for certain is this; Morgan went to the concert. Morgan left the building and tried to return. Morgan lost her purse somehow. Morgan was never seen again. Thats all we know. That may not be all LE knows however. Im sure they checked the phone and anything else they could for prints. We dont know if the bag was lost, stolen or left behind. Just that there was a purse. And thats all we know for certain. Everything else is speculation, guesses or hearsay. Even what was or wasnt inside the purse.
You asked if maybe the prep was someone shed been talking to online; I dont know. Could be. But I do know that LE took her computer and had their IT experts go over it in detail. They know every post she made on every social network going back as far as they wanted to look. (LE said they had two officers monitoring the web for info on Morgan.) They know what she did if anything, in chat rooms and with e-mails. What sites she surfed, literally everything. But it doesnt stop there. They would have checked every computer she had been communicating with if they thought there was a reason. Her friends, her parents, anyone or everyone. Im sure they got a court order to tap her cell phone as well as her parents phone too (parents most likely gave the ok for their phone). We will never know, but they could have requested a tap on her friends phone, her brothers, or anyone they wanted to know more about. I know people have some doubts, but LE is all over this thing. They are waiting for one conclusive thing before they move. I dont know what, but its something.
What reinforces my belief that Morgan wasnt taken against her will are several things. Of course it just my opinion but I see nothing in what little we know to change my way of thinking. And you have to remember we only know for certain what I covered above. But here it is;
At the first press conference LE said they were not certain that there was a crime and asked for the publics help in coming forward. Predators like to hunt on familiar ground. If someone had been stalking Morgan at VA TECH they would have grabbed her there, not three hours away. OK, you say, so maybe someone grabbed her locally. This is a ridiculous argument. UVA is a college town. There are people everywhere and more so on a week-end with a concert. I have friends that went to see Jimmy Buffet last week-end at JPJ. They said the entire parking lot and lots across the street were lit up like the mid day sun. That the parking lot was full of vendors selling t-shirts and everything else. Before they went in and after they came out to a lesser degree but still plenty of action. Friends joined them late and commented on the fact that it was a party in the parking lot and Buffet was just taking the stage, so a lot of folks never went in. So if people were everywhere last week-end, no doubt at the show Morgan saw it was the same way. I remember reading in an article early on that the college had put large lights like those used for football games in the lot where she supposed lost her purse. It was very well lit. All of this plus the fact that UVA has over 200 blue light phones across the campus and the area make me think that a perp was not going to risk grabbing someone, especially on a concert night. A blue phone is a phone attached to a pole that flashes a blue light when activated and links to the colleges police department. I think there is one on the bridge where she was seen. Morgan would have known what blue phones are because VT has them as well. Add to that the fact there was no worries about a serial killer or rapist in Cville because there had been no incidents. Its crazy to think someone would grab a girl on that night of all nights with all the activity. Its this kind of rational that makes me think she was comfortable with what went down in the beginning and later turned bad.
I firmly believe that LE knows a ton more than they are telling us and thats ok. We dont need to know. The comments about no clear cut video information I think, are mis-leading. My friend who went to JPJ last week-end said there were cameras everywhere. Many hidden from public view. Inside and out. That there was no way they couldnt have shots of Morgan. He is former FBI, so I know his slant on that is solid. Also, I think LE took the camera and the friends cameras as well. There is something on film, either what she had on or someone in the background that LE wants not to get out. Most likely details about her hair, wardrobe, jewelry etc. that they dont want made public. This way they can determine who really did see her and who didnt. I know folks were told to look for a camera at the search but that does mean anything. A lot of things seemingly dont mean anything, except to the men and women who are searching for Morgan; and those are the only ones who really matter.
http://www.strikeind.com/images/codeblue1.jpg
Everything you mention does make perfect sense on how you came to a conclusion that she may have went off with someone willingly at first and then things later turned out bad.
The arena having cameras, i would think they would have to have a ton of them to protect themselves from potential liability suits, if anything.
Nothing shows up on Morgan's computer as to hint she was talking to anyone to meet up with.
Not much said about existing cameras inside the arena, with good reason. If it exists the possibility a perp was watching her inside the arena, started talking to her, she returned the talking to him equally, perhaps there was some sort of attraction to eachother they had, and she was to meet up with him outside of the arena. (going with the scenario she had possibly met a guy at the concert)
This would explain why the calls on her cell phone aren't there, there's nothing on her computer, she was meeting up outside with a guy she had met while possibly inside the arena.
She goes outside the arena, and the guy isn't outside there although he is supposed to be. She gets stuck outside. Her friends call to check up on her (they probably know she was leaving to meet up with someone, yet not necessarily who). They suggests different entrances for her to try to get back inside. She does this to no avail.
She continues to wander around the surrounding area. She either meets up with the guy from earlier, or a different "party" and goes with them, then something bad happens and she is not heard from again (possible scenarios)..
Possibility of her pocketbook floating around out there along with other items missing. Her cell phone and wallet LE have, turned in with the purse?
If she had met a guy at either during the concert, or later on, would it also explain why his number wouldn't be on her cell phone?
The sole purpose of ditching her cell phone would be so it wouldn't be pinged. Her father said it was common for her battery to fall out of the phone, so possibly it fell out somewhere and no one had ever taken it out.
Understandable of LE not to release photos or videos of exactly what Morgan was wearing that night, or it would be hard to tell if all the "witnesses" were telling the truth. Process of elimation for potential sightings of Morgan.
Presence of numerous emergency blue light phones in the area, well lit area where purse was found with spotlight used for the football games, vendors in the parking area. Were the vendors for Jimmy Buffet in the same area they would be for Metallica? Do they always or mostly use the same area for vendors every concert?
It really would make it hard for a predator to snatch her away in the presence of a lot of people, and with all the emergency phones, and extra lighting brought in for the Lannigan Field area it would be well lit. The last sighting had to be around 9:30pm, and i am guessing they have her on a camera from a bank or somewhere at the end of Copeley Rd bridge to Ivy rd. The timeline is very tight, until 9:30pm, i think the only reliable proof that would lock that in would be a video of her.
If she was walking by herself, and made it to Ivy rd, where would she have headed? Did she meet up with someone after the Copeley Bridge rd area? Up until that point, if various witness accounts of her outside the arena are true, and the BB players she talked to, she was still "okay" and not showing signs of distress that would be noticeable to witnesses (making a scene or picking up a blue light phone). If she did borrow someone's phone to make a call, that person may likely be key to where she was headed. She may have mentioned in small talk in order to use their phone, very important. LE ask witnesses who Morgan may have asked to borrow their cells to come forward.