Posts respectfully snipped and combined by me...
Anything to keep from finishing my taxes, but
actually, the God's honest truth is as GA, CA and KC would all say:
"I have no idea".
I'm coming off of a weekend of doing word-count and condordance stats on the Anthony depositions. Sort of like the "Statement Analysis" stuff at http://www.statementanalysis.com/ but more on the statistics and psychology side of things. I wasn't sure if it was quite ready to be thread-worthy, and then the DP came back on the table-- so I'm distracted again.
I'm extremely eager to read your report on the statistics and psychology side of things.
Part of the reason I am particularly eager is that very recently, I followed the same link to the Mark McClish's Statement Analysis site you mentioned above. Once there, I clicked on the link to Analysis of Some Famous Cases, and then chose the Caylee Anthony analysis to read.
Long ago, when I first read KC's statements to LE, I'd already registered nearly all of the peculiarities that he pointed out (the odd verb tense changes, the sudden dropping of pronouns, the overuse of substianting words like "absolutely" etc.). I'd recognized all those peculiarities but I didn't know what to make of them. McClish's analysis of those same things was informative and worthwhile, and very likely reliable--but NOT so reliable that without further proof I'd bet what's left of my IRA on any one of his
conclusions. LOL
Nevertheless, I was hopelessly captivated by McClish's premise. I decided to check out a couple more of his "High Profile Case" analyses, and had the same reaction as above: I believed he was very probably right, BUT I WOULDN'T BET serious money on any conclusion--let alone assume guilt or innocence--based on it. To put it better, and more succinctly, the speech issues he analyzed were indicators of dishonesty, but not PROOF. Not to me. There is always a perfectly logical, innocent, explanation for verbal "tics" like overusing "Absolutely" or dropping pronouns, particularly when one is under extreme stress in a completely unfamiliar situation.
Coincidences abound, I told myself.
Until I read his comparison between the last sentence on JonBenet Ramsey Ransom note and a sentence in the Ramsey's Christmas Message. That one brought me straight up out of my chair. Here are the two sentences:
Ransom Note:
"If we monitor you getting the money early, we might call you early to arrange an earlier delivery of the money and hence a earlier delivery of your daughter."
Xmas Message
"Had there been no birth of Christ, there would be no hope of eternal life, and, hence, no hope of ever being with our loved ones again."
I'm a novelist--a wordsmith--and in my "professional" opinion, those two sentences share so many idiosyncracies and distinguishing characteristics that there's no doubt they were composed by the same author.
How sure am I? I'm so sure that I'm sickened because I have always believed John and Patsy Ramsey were innocent victims who'd been put through hell on earth by the murder of their daughter and crucifixion by the press. I'm so sure that I'd bet serious money on it.
