OldSteve
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Anything is possible but some things are more probable.
The probability of someone fooling Allison into opening the door to a stranger is far less than the probability of her opening her door to someone she knew and trusted.
LE believes she knew her attacker. They are monitoring someone she knew from her past.
http://www.abc15.com/news/region-northeast-valley/scottsdale/allison-feldman-update-scottsdale-woman-found-dead-in-home-had-head-injury-documents-say
ETA: in your Aunts case, with her husband being a Preacher, the intruders probably thought there was a large amount of money in the house. This would not have been the case with Allison. Also, Allison had lived alone for years and was a smart girl. I'm sure she would not have opened her door after dark, and it gets dark here around 6:30 - 7:00 pm.
One thing runs thru my mind is that she might have mistakenly thought it was her BF at the door, and opened it without looking.. how well can you see who's at her door from inside her house?