Thanks for this timeline, so this means technically the last time Isabel was seen by anyone else that can be verified is around 9 p.m. on the night of the 20th, which widens the time frame during which something could have happened to her - especially if her immediate family is not telling the truth and made up the scenarios with showers/hair-braiding and going to bed. I wonder if by some chance Isa left the ball park with someone else? I've so far believed the family was telling the truth about being at home with her late evening, but we don't have actual proof of that, so it's good to know about LE checking the traffics cams.
My post is totally conjecture. I don't know how much of this has appeared elsewhere. I've read bits and pieces which came together this way for me. I'm just trying to make sense out of what we have at this point. This is mostly "what if" and "maybe" so bear with me.
I've had a similar opinion to makayla's for a long time. But, I never assumed that the boys would have actually known everything that happened. I thought it would be relatively easy to keep them out of the loop.
This is just a theory. I don't even know if I believe it, but I can imagine it being a possible scenario and explaining several things.
I still feel that LE has been pointing us toward family involvement since very early in the case. And I believe that they do have a reason.
My scenario begins with the possibility that LE might have surveillance video (Moore's) which shows no one entering or exiting through Isa's window that night. But, what if it also showed the screen being pushed out from the inside, or a family member removing it from the outside early Saturday morning? This could be a reason that LE would focus immediately on the parents, and that Sergio might decide that maybe the window isn't really the entry point, after all.
But, is it possible that the scent dog and other testing shows that Isa was NEVER in that bed that night? They couldn't reasonably say that her bedding was changed after they found Isa missing and before calling 911. What if LE knew immediately that Isa was not sleeping in that bed, and the missing screen was staged?
What if the middle room was usually a guest room? Maybe no one has slept there recently. If it wasn't used since Becky had last cleaned, maybe that would explain the lack of latent prints. Maybe no one stopped to think that a child's room would usually have her prints all over the furniture. Here we get back to the "where does Isa usually sleep" question, so I won't go any farther on that.
If she didn't sleep there that night, this would mean that the "abduction" would have been planned and not just discovered. It could be a hoax (the "plan" Becky mentions) or it could be a coverup for something that happened the previous evening (maybe at the ball field).
I don't know if there are any independent reports on how many cars they took to the ballgame. My thought is that the family could have come home from the ball field in separate cars, with the boys being told that Isa was with the other parent.
When they got home, the boys could be told that Isa was already in bed and sleeping in the middle bedroom that night. (maybe explains the son thinking Isa was wearing pajamas, if he didn't actually see her in bed that night.)
It wouldn't be possible to stage this kind of an "abduction" unless the kids were kept separate that night. There could be several other ways to keep them separate, like saying "Isa was tired" and someone dropped her off earlier to stay with friends or relatives, but that would create a more complicated deception.
If something was planned on Friday night (or earlier), this would be the safest way to stage an "abduction". There would be NO possible record of anyone removing Isa from that house (hence the "Go for it" and the confidence in LE finding nothing).
If LE considers this to be a possible theory, it could be the reason that they searched the wash area near the ballpark. They could have gotten a tip about suspicious activity in the area that night. It could be disposal of a body or handing Isa off to someone else. If it was a hand off, then that person had many hours to get out of Tucson before Isa was even reported missing.
Obviously disposal of a body or live hand off is totally open to debate. I keep holding out hope that Isa is alive, based partly on how Becky acts. I have trouble believing that she could remain this calm unless she really knows Isa is OK. After 5 weeks I would be absolutely frantic.
I have a possibly related question. Have we seen new photos of Isa's little white dog since the "abduction"? Maybe you have already discussed this. But if Isa is with someone who is taking care of her, wouldn't she be much less homesick if she had her puppy with her? I'm sure LE has checked on the dog.
I also paid close attention to the words used in a May 15 AP interview. Hawke said "She left through the power, through assistance of someone else; either somebody took her or, um, ENTICED her...". You can't ENTICE a dead body, so I still hope that Isa may be alive.