The following is speculation based on SS’s statements to msm:
I think KR was waiting by her car at 12:15 am, probably alone, for SS. At 11:00 pm when SS and “others” were in KR’s car, they made plans for KR to drive SS home. They separated when they got out of the car, but did they agree to meet back there at 12:15? KR texted her Mom around 11:30 and asked if she could have a curfew extension and she would leave the party at 12:15. Mom said okay.
I think SS went back to KR’s car 10 minutes late. SS said she said goodbye to KR in person at 12:25 and told her she was getting a ride with someone else. She said she felt KR was too intoxicated to drive. That would have left KR alone and vulnerable at or near her car about 8 minutes before her phone was shut off or died. Thoughts?
I was pondering some of these this morning, to also include a voluntary disappearance. I can't explain why the possibility of a voluntary disappearance moved up my list other than maybe a gut feeling. Also, #3 is one I've thought more about today. Exactly when she left is not really known since LE has stated they've yet to hear from anyone who saw her leave. Along those lines, though, if she left earlier I can't explain the 12:33 ping showing her phone in the area. #5 gives me pause. If most of the high schoolers she knew had curfews might they have left earlier leaving mostly an older crowd she didn't really know?
The voluntary disappearance is one that has hit me today. Could she be somewhere else? LE has to have looked at bank or credit activity.
If you put it like this it sound plausible. It could have gone like this. I read nowhere SS and KR made a solid arrangement to meet each other at 12:15 at KR's car (where was it parked btw). As SS seems so "pointy" about the timeline in her statements, why would she leave away an agreement like this out of her statements. It would have made her whole story much more logical. But my guess is she didn't show up at all or couldn't find KR and just left, being maybe "wasted" herself. This would mean the saying goodbye in person at 12:25 didn't took place.This could be the reason for the phone call from KR to SS at 12.36 (still strange because KR phone supposedly shut off or died just before that, correct me if I'm wrong) where KR asks "where are you"? I'm sure LE checked this last call, but nobody knows what was actually said. And Kiely ended up alone...all kind of things could have happened.
This is my current theory as well:
- KR makes plans to drive SS home
- SS finds another ride *without* telling KR or saying goodbye
- KR waits around, then around 12:25 (10 min after they were supposed to meet) calls SS to ask where she is because it's time to go home but SS is nowhere to be found
- when she finds out KR is missing, SS tries to "soften" the story of how she left KR there alone by saying she said goodbye in person before leaving, but in the process messes up the timeline by placing the phone call at 12:36 (11 minutes after supposedly saying goodbye), perhaps before finding out that KR's phone last pinged at 12:33
MOO. (Not trying to disparage anyone, just to figure out possible explanations for the timeline inconsistencies.)
Great sleuthing! Not sure I can add much and I don't want to be duplicative in my musings, but here are my thoughts:
A. I think something got messed up with communication between some teens about leaving and who was driving, etc.
B. I suspect intoxication from one substance or another is the root behind confusing recollection and miscommunication
C. I wonder if KR had in fact hooked up with an older crowd, or an older person at the party (she may have expected)
D. That may have happened after her younger friends had already left - perhaps she intentionally stayed behind
E. She could, as someone opined earlier, turned off (or airplane mode) her phone to avoid tracking by Mom to stay longer
F. An older crowd may have meant harder drugs, more sexual advances, and access to more places (e.g. houses, bars)
G. She may have lost track of time, she was having a lot of fun, it got very late, and then finally decided to leave
H. How and when she left is such a mystery, but I now suspect she did one of four things very late at night:
- left alone and did not head home - but perhaps to Reno or initiated some other grand 'voluntary departure' plan
- left with someone else (either one driving her car) - and together they initiate KR's voluntary disappearance
- left with someone else offering to drive her car - maybe his/her buddy was driving another car to wherever
- left with others, but KR was driving her own car - they went to wherever (a house, casino, bar, a park, etc.)
The more the teens at the party don't talk, the more I suspect KR stayed late at the party with an older crowd. In fact, there may very little picture or video taking with an older crowd (more stealthy in their partying). So LE has very little despite their pleas.
And I think Reno has something to do with an 'after Prosser party scenario'... maybe they drove back roads there.
And why KR and her car have not been found of course is the big question... If H3 or H4 above, then its likely a sad ending. If its H1 or H2 then there is hope she is still alive as long as she is able to survive whatever is happening to her or that she's doing.
ALL IMO!!!
Edited to clean up typos, clarify points.