Below is a for and against for some of the more possible scenarios. They are in no particular order. Just to avoid confusion from the below family and friends know to the extent possible that the husband was not involved; however I have included it on here because I understand it must be considered in this sort of exercise. For me, all the other scenarios are on the table. For the public I understand that all scenarios, including 1, are on the table. Some of the below may be injected with my biases but I do believe that what the family knows of Susan and her behaviors, patterns, etc. is vital and in certain cases just as important as facts.
Anyhow please add to stuff is obviously missing here. Pardon the formatting.
(1) Husband is involved in disappearance
a. For:
i. Would have had time and privacy to do something without others knowing (lives alone with her).
ii. Husband was last known person to see and talk with her. Prior person to see and talk with her could have been up to a few days prior.
[/INDENT]b. Against
i. Husband's character - individuals who know husband best - including family, friends, coworkers - contend that he would not be capable of injuring his wife. No past violent behavior noted.
ii. Motivation - no recent personal problems or conflicts noted by family, friends or neighbors. Married 35 years, and have a good relationship. They love each other and take care of one another.
iii. No evidence found by police or police scent dogs at or inside their house or cars this would be the likeliest location of incident.
iv. Husband has checked out with normal patterns in the period leading up to her going missing - was at work at normal hours, was at gym at normal times. Verified by police. Nothing unusual from his pattern.
v. Open: Possible spotting of Susan on video at shopping center morning of disappearance (police are confirming on surveillance) - which would place her at shopping center the day she went missing, making it very unlikely the husband could have been involved, as he has been verified to be working out in the morning and then at work all day.
(2) Susan planned and left on her own
a. For
i. Limited leads and she has not been found to date after searches of the local areas. No one known to have seen anything weird or strange at shopping center;
ii. Open: Possible spotting of Susan driving in shopping center on video (confirming) - in this scenario she would have driven her car there (most likely).
b. Against
i. Her purse, wallet, and ID were found at shopping center; her wallet was missing credit cards and approximately $50-$100. There has been no credit card activity - meaning that she has very limited funds and no ID. No evidence of stashing money leading up to incident.
ii. No indications or discussion leading up to disappearance about her being unhappy or wanting to leave family. No unrecognized phone numbers on records; no emails to unrecognized people. Nothing found at the house unusual.
iii. She would have no place to go. No known friends or acquaintances that have been unaccounted for. Very limited number of friends (mostly family).
iv. Personality - very shy and private person who did not like change. New things would have made her very nervous. No prior incidences of her leaving unexpectedly.
v. No indications of abusive relationship - by family members, friends. Per their son, there was never any violence that he was aware of. Also, see husband's character above.
vi. Was excited and had been waiting for a grandchild for a number of years - grandchild due in early July.
vii. It is not believed she would have been savvy enough to hide indications of her departure leading up to going missing.
(3) Susan became mentally confused or disoriented
a. For
i. She is older (but not that old) at 59.
ii. Her family has a history of dementia. Her mom had dementia in her 70s.
b. Against
i. No past signs of such a state; especially to the degree that would cause her to go missing for this length of time.
ii. Searches in the surrounding areas have not found anything (other than her wallet at shopping center, and her car/purse at shopping center). Her car was found. She would not be able to walk too great a distance given that she had a hip replacement a few years ago. Typically walking distance for her was 1-2 miles.
iii. Dementia - Susan showed no signs previously of dementia, and family history has shown up at an older age (70s).
iv. Have checked some of the local homeless shelters and locations as they become known, to the extent possible, and have not had any luck.
v. Husband did not note any issues with Susan before he left in the morning - she appeared to be fine and normal.
(4) Suicide
a. For
i. Could fit the profile - was very private and withdrawn at times to outside world and had a hard time interacting with new people.
ii. Possible sighting on video of her driving her car in shopping center (confirming). She would have had to drive the car there herself under this scenario.
b. Against
i. No signs of depression leading up to incident.
ii. No talk or discussion out of the ordinary leading up to incident.
iii. Was excited and had been waiting for a grandchild for a number of years - grandchild due in early July.
iv. Known circumstances do not support this - given her personality, family speculates that if she were to hurt herself, it would be at her home while she was alone.
v. Searches in the surrounding areas have not found anything (other than her wallet at shopping center, and her car/purse at shopping center). She would not be able to walk too great a distance given that she had a hip replacement a few years ago. Typically walking distance for her was 1-2 miles.
(5) Kidnapping/Abduction
a. For
i. Car was found unlocked. Purse was found in car. Wallet was found a short distance away heading out towards street missing cash and credit cards. Susan would not leave these items unattended.
ii. Possible sighting on video of her driving her car in shopping center (confirming). Places her at shopping center (but not direct evidence of kidnapping).
b. Against
i. Roseville - Sun City area is in general a safe area.
ii. Shopping center has activity, even at 7am in the morning. Starbucks is in shopping center. No one has noted seeing anything or anyone strange, that we know of.
