Hello Bart, Billy, Sutton, Bessie and everyone. This is my first post but I read through the entire BigFooty thread as it occurred and I enjoyed it very much. I have also read this thread. Discussing unresolved mysteries is one of my new interests and I have been focusing on the Claremont Serial Killer and the Original Night Stalker. Everything in my comments is my opinion but I feel very certain about some points.
General Thoughts
1. It had to be a taxi driver. 100%
1A. CSK did not choose his targets ahead of time. He had no way of knowing that those particular girls would go to those particular venues on those nights since the girls did not give notice to any single linked source. He also had no way of knowing that those particular girls would end up in vulnerable positions by separating from their groups or hailing rides. Therefore he would have needed to make many visits to the abduction zone, and sometimes he would have aborted because he wouldn't have found a target who was vulnerable and met his basic target profile on every occasion. A taxi affords this opportunity.
1B. All three girls were looking for cabs. This was confirmed for two of the girls. SS phoned a taxi, JR stood at taxi rank, CG left friends to hail a taxi.
1C. All other circumstance and evidence favor taxi. A taxi provides an easy means for approaching and abducting the girls. A taxi was seen near CG's body dumping site, on Pipidinny Rd, on the night she disappeared. There are multiple ways that the girls could have been disabled later -- including picking up an accomplice to "share the cab".
1D. Other mechanisms are unlikely for specific reasons. Other means would have been loud (blitz) or resulted in more conspicuous activity that would have been reported (offering many rides before the perfect three victims accepted). Also, it would be strange for the girls to have accepted rides from non-cabs given that they were headed to specific non-public residential destinations that wouldn't have been on anyone's normal route.
2. CSK stopped killing because he was investigated. >50%
2A. The murders did not stretch long enough for age or life changes to be very probable factor. The murders only spanned a year and a half and there were three victims during this short period. I don't think it's likely that the killer was successfully focusing on and managing a relationship during this period. His killings were late on Friday nights and he obviously would have been coming home at very odd hours on the following days. His potential spouse would have possibly reported this behavior that perfectly corresponded with the dates of the widely-publicized killings. Other life changes could include an injury, move or death. We have no reason to believe that any of these occurred. To me, the specific and varied scene locations suggest that the killer was a native or long-time local, as opposed to a traveler or transplant. He knew the outer areas and the nightlife area, and the roads on multiple sides of the city. In my own sprawling urban hometown, this is the mark of a native or long-time local. Someone with this profile would be less likely to have moved after the crimes compared to a transplant, so I think it's likely that the killer is still in Perth and has stopped killing for some reason.
2B. Random targeting and vicious methods suggest a pathological killer who would not be satiated organically.
2C. The investigation covered an enormous amount of suspects and was/is unrelenting and collected DNA for future use. If he wasn't on record, the killer could/might have changed his Modus Operandi or location and committed another murder in Perth without having to worry that his crime would be pre-empted or traced back to him easily. For example, he could have abducted a girl off the street in another upscale area or even changed tact and abducted a girl who hailed a taxi outside of the nightlife scene. But if he was on record, he would be wary of having his movements triangulated or his DNA matched to the new scene.
POIs
1. SR/PW >50%
- Have a cab
- Were investigated
- Natives or long-term locals who would have been familiar with general locations of all sites
- Both have histories of associations with death and sexual deviancy
- SR had a nonsensical story related to the SS crime
- SR's intelligence and PW's alibi do not seem like significant factors
- Match description of attempted Princess Rd abduction
- CSK was known to have called one of the victim's parents. PW called another parent multiple times.
- PW collected newspaper clippings on the crimes...
- SR was suspected in his girlfriend's death, and he collected "trophies" from that death in the form of pictures
- SR & PW together profited as a team from the death of the first girlfriend by essentially 'splitting' her equity in the property
2. LW
- I don't know enough to speak about this suspect at length...
- Hasn't it been said that he kept a gun in his car? Has a gun ever been mentioned in the context of the crimes?
- Seems like a well-known and recognizable character in the area who would have been noticed and remembered.
3. Judoman 0%
- Does not have a cab
- The killer did not know the victims!
- Was not one of the people reported to be at CBV even though he's well known
- Lives a full, functional life
- Not a native or long-term local of Perth
4. MM (Mystery Man) 0%
- Did not have time to get into a car
- Does not have a cab
5. Droc (Noel Coward) & TT (Taxi Tony) 0%
- Exhibits all the signs of an unworthy, unreliable attention-seeker
- Matched claims to existing, known details and connected dots with incredible claims that the killers alternately confessed to him, groomed and recruited him, led him to a secret factory lair, etc.
- Offered no unreleased details that were later confirmed by police
- Story makes no sense. Snuff films do not exist. A junkie ring would have been caught.
Minor Notes
1. CSK's intelligence does not seem to be a major factor in the case. At no point was calculus, trigonometry or extreme cunning necessarily involved. The number of crimes was so small that luck, incompetence by law enforcement, or simply sticking to a plan could have easily prevented detection. Unintelligent people are not cartoon characters. They can be quite capable of forming friendships, succeeding in major ventures, hiding their intentions, living good lives, etc. CSK seems to have been rash and destructive like any other run-of-the-mill serial killer. He did not hide the bodies where they could never be found, he collected trophies, he struck the exact same block three times, he called the parents and made other alarmingly stupid moves.
2. WAPOL clearly does not have useful DNA. They would have been able to eliminate the POIs they have been stuck on. The bodies were exposed for far too long for DNA to be viable.
Questions
1. Which other non-canonical Perth crime do you think was most likely to have been committed by the CSK? Julie Cutler, cemetery rape, attempted abduction on Princess Rd, bashing behind CBV, or something else? I find it highly unlikely that CSK did not commit an earlier crime in Perth.
2. What were WAPOL's specific words regarding the blitz attack theory?
3. Do we have any further description of PW's calls to the victims' parents?
4. Other than SR's intelligence, what leads people to believe that SR couldn't/didn't act alone?
5. Did SR routinely drive his cab in Claremont?
6. What were the significant shifts or changes after the 3rd killing in terms of new/favorite suspects and police actions?
General Thoughts
1. It had to be a taxi driver. 100%
1A. CSK did not choose his targets ahead of time. He had no way of knowing that those particular girls would go to those particular venues on those nights since the girls did not give notice to any single linked source. He also had no way of knowing that those particular girls would end up in vulnerable positions by separating from their groups or hailing rides. Therefore he would have needed to make many visits to the abduction zone, and sometimes he would have aborted because he wouldn't have found a target who was vulnerable and met his basic target profile on every occasion. A taxi affords this opportunity.
1B. All three girls were looking for cabs. This was confirmed for two of the girls. SS phoned a taxi, JR stood at taxi rank, CG left friends to hail a taxi.
1C. All other circumstance and evidence favor taxi. A taxi provides an easy means for approaching and abducting the girls. A taxi was seen near CG's body dumping site, on Pipidinny Rd, on the night she disappeared. There are multiple ways that the girls could have been disabled later -- including picking up an accomplice to "share the cab".
1D. Other mechanisms are unlikely for specific reasons. Other means would have been loud (blitz) or resulted in more conspicuous activity that would have been reported (offering many rides before the perfect three victims accepted). Also, it would be strange for the girls to have accepted rides from non-cabs given that they were headed to specific non-public residential destinations that wouldn't have been on anyone's normal route.
2. CSK stopped killing because he was investigated. >50%
2A. The murders did not stretch long enough for age or life changes to be very probable factor. The murders only spanned a year and a half and there were three victims during this short period. I don't think it's likely that the killer was successfully focusing on and managing a relationship during this period. His killings were late on Friday nights and he obviously would have been coming home at very odd hours on the following days. His potential spouse would have possibly reported this behavior that perfectly corresponded with the dates of the widely-publicized killings. Other life changes could include an injury, move or death. We have no reason to believe that any of these occurred. To me, the specific and varied scene locations suggest that the killer was a native or long-time local, as opposed to a traveler or transplant. He knew the outer areas and the nightlife area, and the roads on multiple sides of the city. In my own sprawling urban hometown, this is the mark of a native or long-time local. Someone with this profile would be less likely to have moved after the crimes compared to a transplant, so I think it's likely that the killer is still in Perth and has stopped killing for some reason.
2B. Random targeting and vicious methods suggest a pathological killer who would not be satiated organically.
2C. The investigation covered an enormous amount of suspects and was/is unrelenting and collected DNA for future use. If he wasn't on record, the killer could/might have changed his Modus Operandi or location and committed another murder in Perth without having to worry that his crime would be pre-empted or traced back to him easily. For example, he could have abducted a girl off the street in another upscale area or even changed tact and abducted a girl who hailed a taxi outside of the nightlife scene. But if he was on record, he would be wary of having his movements triangulated or his DNA matched to the new scene.
POIs
1. SR/PW >50%
- Have a cab
- Were investigated
- Natives or long-term locals who would have been familiar with general locations of all sites
- Both have histories of associations with death and sexual deviancy
- SR had a nonsensical story related to the SS crime
- SR's intelligence and PW's alibi do not seem like significant factors
- Match description of attempted Princess Rd abduction
- CSK was known to have called one of the victim's parents. PW called another parent multiple times.
- PW collected newspaper clippings on the crimes...
- SR was suspected in his girlfriend's death, and he collected "trophies" from that death in the form of pictures
- SR & PW together profited as a team from the death of the first girlfriend by essentially 'splitting' her equity in the property
2. LW
- I don't know enough to speak about this suspect at length...
- Hasn't it been said that he kept a gun in his car? Has a gun ever been mentioned in the context of the crimes?
- Seems like a well-known and recognizable character in the area who would have been noticed and remembered.
3. Judoman 0%
- Does not have a cab
- The killer did not know the victims!
- Was not one of the people reported to be at CBV even though he's well known
- Lives a full, functional life
- Not a native or long-term local of Perth
4. MM (Mystery Man) 0%
- Did not have time to get into a car
- Does not have a cab
5. Droc (Noel Coward) & TT (Taxi Tony) 0%
- Exhibits all the signs of an unworthy, unreliable attention-seeker
- Matched claims to existing, known details and connected dots with incredible claims that the killers alternately confessed to him, groomed and recruited him, led him to a secret factory lair, etc.
- Offered no unreleased details that were later confirmed by police
- Story makes no sense. Snuff films do not exist. A junkie ring would have been caught.
Minor Notes
1. CSK's intelligence does not seem to be a major factor in the case. At no point was calculus, trigonometry or extreme cunning necessarily involved. The number of crimes was so small that luck, incompetence by law enforcement, or simply sticking to a plan could have easily prevented detection. Unintelligent people are not cartoon characters. They can be quite capable of forming friendships, succeeding in major ventures, hiding their intentions, living good lives, etc. CSK seems to have been rash and destructive like any other run-of-the-mill serial killer. He did not hide the bodies where they could never be found, he collected trophies, he struck the exact same block three times, he called the parents and made other alarmingly stupid moves.
2. WAPOL clearly does not have useful DNA. They would have been able to eliminate the POIs they have been stuck on. The bodies were exposed for far too long for DNA to be viable.
Questions
1. Which other non-canonical Perth crime do you think was most likely to have been committed by the CSK? Julie Cutler, cemetery rape, attempted abduction on Princess Rd, bashing behind CBV, or something else? I find it highly unlikely that CSK did not commit an earlier crime in Perth.
2. What were WAPOL's specific words regarding the blitz attack theory?
3. Do we have any further description of PW's calls to the victims' parents?
4. Other than SR's intelligence, what leads people to believe that SR couldn't/didn't act alone?
5. Did SR routinely drive his cab in Claremont?
6. What were the significant shifts or changes after the 3rd killing in terms of new/favorite suspects and police actions?