I don't understand the logic behind this search area. Joe would know hiking uphill is away from camp and the wrong way.
Most people would push onward downhill, not uphill. Especially so late in the day, when it would start becoming dark.
If he and his pal set off on foot from Rainbow Trout Ranch, and were reported to have been initially running along the Fdr 250:
- If they headed west they would continue on that road --- west and flat-ish
- If they headed east they would run into the 17 --- east and flat-ish
- To their immediate south would be the Conejos River, and the continuation of the valley floor, plus more cliff type drops --- south and down.
- To their immediate north would be a very steep climb up a mountain, and once they reached the plateau it would be a steady continuous climb in elevation for MANY miles before they eventually reached this reservoir --- north and up.
- If that was the destination, the trail that parallels the creek that flows down from the reservoir would be the easiest way to get up there (after he finally hiked up to it)
- IF he followed it up to the reservoir he would be hiking and climbing, not jogging.
If I leave with a friend to go running and we are headed in the same direction, and I pull ahead I would assume my buddy is still behind me. If he veered off the road to go poddy, he wouldn't go too far. From RTR and 30 minutes, where would I be in either direction? If I passed back by my buddy on my way back, he would turn around too. Because it was a timed run, not a distance run (meaning, no matter how far you got, the turn around point is 30 minutes). If I did not see my buddy, the pivotal search area would be between my turn around point and the last point I saw my buddy....
Did Joe have a watch? A phone? Anything other than the clothes he was wearing? Where is all his "stuff"? Why isn't every possible tidbit of known information out there being shared? Why don't we even know where they were actually running and where the 30 minute turn-around point was?
My point is, I personally suspect something much more complex than a jogger lost in the woods. I absolutely suspect foul play that occurred even BEFORE arriving to RTR. They need to search between CO and CA. JMO
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