Based on the attached data, only 3 states has of yet tested over 20% of their per capita population. Clearly we dont we have a clue based on data.
Due to the overwhelming data coming out of hospitals, we believe we have extensive community transmission that will eventually translate into some percentage of deaths.
The perception I got from the presser, and was horrified is that we might be ok with a 1% fatality rate so everyone get back to work.
The speakers at today's press briefing made it clear there are a few states much more dramatically affected and that is why federal resources are prioritizing their needs. The number of people tested for the virus is irrelevant. They are going by the number of people positive or presumptive positive and the anticipated health care anticipated. Why should manufacturing of sterile masks by 3M in Valley Nebraska shut down if nobody has died here and there is no health care shortage here but more than 12,000 cases are in New York State and hospitals are overwhelmed. That makes no sense to me.
The source for data should only be the CDC. Their data shows most extensive community transmissions have been in highly concentrated populated areas. Bryan Pitts just announced on Nightline that New York has replaced Washington as the epicenter in the U.S. The feds have sent 400 more ventilators to NYC. As well it should. I'm all for the military hospital ships going to California and New York.
JMO
From the CDC: Coronavirus Disease 2019 (COVID-19) - Transmission
Situation in U.S.
Different parts of the country are seeing different levels of COVID-19 activity. The United States nationally is currently in the initiation phases, but states where community spread is occurring are in the acceleration phase. The duration and severity of each phase can vary depending on the characteristics of the virus and the public health response.
- CDC and state and local public health laboratories are testing for the virus that causes COVID-19. View CDC’s Public Health Laboratory Testing map.
- All 50 states have reported cases of COVID-19 to CDC.
- U.S. COVID-19 cases include:
- Imported cases in travelers
- Cases among close contacts of a known case
- Community-acquired cases where the source of the infection is unknown.
- Three U.S. states are experiencing sustained community spread.
- View latest case counts, deaths, and a map of states with reported cases.