About those death rates.
Collectively, the risk for symptomatic people is about 1%. Or 3 million Americans.
Yes, it's predominately older people.
But, in America, it could well be 1% of 40-60 years old - immense grief for their families, productive lives cut short, people at the peak of their medical and scientific careers included. 1% of the people at most churches. Higher percentages if the person is a nurse, doctor, respiratory tech, ambulance worker, fireman, EMT, policeman, lab tech. It's already hard to recruit.
0.25-0.5% of 30 year olds. One out of every 200-400 30-somethings you know. Optimistically, 1 out of 500 30-somethings - as people who are into true crime, isn't that a lot? It's vastly more than the murder rate. If you
I hope I'm preaching to the choir. But young people are going to be surprised at how this affects them. Warn them - I know most of them are over on reddit. Perhaps you have no means of getting to them - but try.
Anyway, 8-9% of the over-80's, maybe 10% (or higher if we can't get them beds, massive antibiotics, saline and...ventilators). Fine, most 80 year olds are prepared to die. 70 year olds should get ready.
Because 2-3% of them will die. I am unable to get an appointment with a lawyer to make a minor change to my will/trust. But I'll persist and try to do that. I know that I will get this eventually and don't know how lucky I'll be.
The strain on the medical system will gradually up the deaths of younger people (as in Italy).
Calling doctors and nurses out of retirement (until they die?) is not really sustainable. Your own doctor or nurse, if s/he's over 40, is likely to be seriously considering retirement. The older nurses and doctors are literally giving their lives for yours, if you go to a hospital. I am personally considering the ethics of going to a hospital, should I get sick. And I will get sick eventually, unless I sit it out for 18 months and get vaccinated (can you imagine the scaling up to give 330,000,000 vaccines in a nation with no real chemical industry?)
Lots to think about. Tell everyone you know to stay home. Prepare to stay home for 2 more months.