I would be suspicious of anyone who talks to a girl he didn't know on the street, who he claims was very drunk, and then proceeds to follow her when she moves on. What was he planning to do in that situation? Take her home? Who does that in the early hours of the morning? The motives for a young male to follow a drunk female wandering alone at 1AM in the morning are usually singular IMO. That seems to be the sort of scenario that you would expect to end badly, no matter if intentions were good or bad. We have his behavior on record, we don't have JMs. The allegation about JM interacting with HG apparently came from this guy. I would be curious to know if he was interviewed before or after the videos were released. If you discount his claims about what happened after she left the field of view then you would have JM returning to the bar and buying his drinks without interacting with her on the street, which would be consistent with the time stamp information. And if he was buying drinks for HG there would have had to have been some social interaction preceding that which went considerably beyond just "Hi!". You could see that maybe happening if they met INSIDE the bar, but not outside it.
Inside the bar we apparently have one witness who claims to have seen them inside, even though the doorperson checking ID didn't see either of them re-enter. And then you have the doorperson who claimed to have seen them outside after closing. But again, there are issues with the doorpersons overall account, since she claims to remember JM clearly from his behavior outside the club which caused her to remember seeing him walk by later with HG outside, but not see the exact same guy walk back into the club right past her minutes later, so according to her he didn't come back in. My guess is that she developed that account BEFORE the CC transaction involving JM inside the bar was known, and if that is true then her account could be impeached.
We also have the claims that the bar owner said that there was another customer who looked vaguely similar to HG at the bar that night. It is possible that JM may have been interacting with her, might have bought drinks for her, and that could account for the witness inside claiming to have seen them. JM would not know if this other woman was HG or not, so he himself might believe that the woman we talked to was HG when confronted later about it. This mystery woman could not have been HG herself, since HG was on the street minutes before and there would be insufficient time to allow for a social interaction prior to buying drinks. If JM had been talking to this other woman in the bar, he might believe now that it was HG and that, combined with all the other evidence pointing at him that LE have been releasing, made him fearful, and that could account for his subsequent behavior over the next few weeks.
Inside the bar we apparently have one witness who claims to have seen them inside, even though the doorperson checking ID didn't see either of them re-enter. And then you have the doorperson who claimed to have seen them outside after closing. But again, there are issues with the doorpersons overall account, since she claims to remember JM clearly from his behavior outside the club which caused her to remember seeing him walk by later with HG outside, but not see the exact same guy walk back into the club right past her minutes later, so according to her he didn't come back in. My guess is that she developed that account BEFORE the CC transaction involving JM inside the bar was known, and if that is true then her account could be impeached.
We also have the claims that the bar owner said that there was another customer who looked vaguely similar to HG at the bar that night. It is possible that JM may have been interacting with her, might have bought drinks for her, and that could account for the witness inside claiming to have seen them. JM would not know if this other woman was HG or not, so he himself might believe that the woman we talked to was HG when confronted later about it. This mystery woman could not have been HG herself, since HG was on the street minutes before and there would be insufficient time to allow for a social interaction prior to buying drinks. If JM had been talking to this other woman in the bar, he might believe now that it was HG and that, combined with all the other evidence pointing at him that LE have been releasing, made him fearful, and that could account for his subsequent behavior over the next few weeks.