Ghostwheel
Pyrrhonist
Interesting theory. Then by this thought, someone did not like SC and decided to set him by leaving the clothes near where the truck was stuck? Or SC was just the convenient scapegoat? And this person who set up SC knew exactly where the truck was stuck and where to leave the clothes? And stopped Charli after Twin Falls, but before she got into her house. I don't know if they can tell if her car got to her house or not, but assume someone could have stopped her as she got out of her car at her house and before Nala got out. They would either have had to sit there in wait, happened upon her at whatever time, or someone called to say she was coming. It should be around 10:55 if she made it to her house, or 10:26 if she made it to Twin Falls at this point, since SC says that he was picked up at 8:30, it took about 10 minutes to fix his car and about 60 minutes to get to the area where the truck was stuckWhile in some ways I agree with you, I am not sure what part of his alibi is so ridiculous. It also does not strike me as odd that he would think he was the prime suspect, even before it was officially announced as a homicide. At the point of the interview she had been missing for at least a week, of course he would think all eyes would be on him.
On the hot new girlfriend, they had been dating for a few months by this point. That's all I can really find as far as factual information, and it seems neither one thought it was that serious. I can find no hard information that states she told him she didn't want to be a step-mom.
Phone pings referenced on the Study facebook page are only an if. Main point is we don't know when her cell phone last pinged. We don't know what pings occurred before the last ping either.
Sure, he does seem the most likely perpetrator of this crime, I can agree to that. However, someone with intimate knowledge of where she was going could have easily committed the crime and scattered evidence to make SC look questionable.
Ok... Here's my pure speculation: Maybe SC wasn't really the father. Maybe it was someone else who had something to loose if it came out who the father really was. Per SC interview, I got the impression that he was not fully convinced he was indeed the father. My guess is he would have wanted a paternity test to prove this was the case. Where would eyes have turned if he wasn't the father? Once again, unfounded pure speculation.
Just trying to examine all possibilities.
Here's were I have the problem with this one, though. Nala. I don't know Nala's personality. She might be the cringing type when the unknown happens. But most dogs, especially ones that people take with them in the car, are there for some protection. If there has been an altercation that Nala had seen between Charli and someone else, I cannot see her docilely riding in the car with that person to the location she was found at. But I can suspend that for now.
From Twin Falls to Charli's is around a half hour (29 minutes) one way trip.
Then Charli, being somewhere between Twin Falls and her house must be gotten rid of (unknown timeframe), the clothes to Nuaailua Bay (51 to 68 minutes by Google Maps), Nala dropped around Nahiku (35 more minutes by Google Maps), and drive back (assumption is that he/she did not take Charli's car, but their own) So this other person is either coming back to their general area of Haiku or Makawao at around 1:30-3 AM OR finding a place to sleep for the night OR continuing on to Hana or the like and staying there for the night and returning the next day. And maybe needs to move Charli's car or set fire to it (or has someone else do it). And there is nothing that points to this person at all. No one knows/mentions that this other person could be the father of Charli's child, or that this person was out that night (if they live alone, maybe no one would know).
Is that kind of how this theory might go? Or were you thinking something different?