So piecing through the PCA and timeline a bit:
Approx 4am X's doordash is delivered. I'm guessing she goes downstairs to get it, goes back upstairs and eats it in her room while scrolling through TikTok.
at 4:04am BK is attempting to park by the house, fails, completes a three point turn comes back and parks. So at the very earliest, he enters the house maybe at 4:05am. He may have sat in his car for a few minutes getting up the nerve. Eventually he enters through the sliding door on the second floor. We can assume X did not see him so he most likely entered shortly after she retrieved her DD and was eating it somewhere she could not see him.
Approx 4am D wakes up to the sound of "K playing with her dog." We can assume now that this was actually BK upstairs so again, sometime after 4:05am. It seems as though the dog did NOT bark during this time as wouldn't that have been noted on the neighbor's video as well? The dog was also found in K's room when M and K were murdered in M's bed. He may have locked the dog in K's room before or after murdering the girls. Given we know they were both killed in M's bed and there is no mention of D hearing anything upstairs, I am guessing they were both killed in their sleep. Maybe this is why the dog didn't bark - there was no real noise. BK leaves the sheath there.
After the "playing with the dog sounds" D hears someone say "there's someone here." D says she thought it was K but the police speculate it could have been X as X was awake until at least 4:12am. I'm guessing the investigators suspected K was already dead by then which is why they think it was X.
Something to note - X's DD bag was seen by the kitchen sink the next morning so at some point, she was in the kitchen. Maybe it was then that she said "someone's here." Maybe the door in there was open? Maybe she could hear something going on upstairs? She could have said it to herself in the kitchen or maybe went back to the room and said it E.
When D hears "there's someone here" she opens her door and doesn't see anyone. Meaning BK is likely still upstairs. Or if X was in her room when she said this, maybe BK is already around the corner to her bedroom and out of D's sightline.
Now remember X is on Tiktok until 4:12am. So everything next likely comes after that.
D hears crying from X's room. She opens her door again and sees nothing. At this point we can assume BK is in X's room. She hears a male voice say "it's okay, I'm going to help you." Unknown if this was E or BK.
At 4:17 the neighbor's camera picks up whimpering from X's room, a thud and a dog barking. Let's assume this is the murder of X and E which fits with X being on TikTok until 4:12am.
D opens her door a third time and sees BK walking towards her with a mask on. She shuts her door and locks it. Police have stated he likely left through the sliding glass door immediately after this. His car is seen pulling away at 4:20 so he probably walked out around 4:19am (fits with the 4:17 sounds).
Did BK encounter X in the kitchen? Maybe M was the target, K was killed because she was in the bed and X was awake and spotted. Maybe X ran back to her room, BK followed her and killed her and E. The interesting thing is it doesn't seem as though X ever screamed. I feel if she'd spotted him in the kitchen and ran to her room, she would have screamed at some point. Maybe BK heard her say "there's someone here" and attacked her because of that. Or maybe he intended to kill her and E as well and went to their room intentionally.
The timeline is so tight, it's unbelievable. I feel so awful for D having to hear that. I hope she gets the help she needs to recover from this.
What do other people think about the sequence of events?
This sounds about right. I do wonder if E was the in bathroom and that was when X stated to him that someone was in the house. It seems like she would have had to state it either to herself (in the kitchen) maybe hoping that D would hear, or, to E.
If E was with her, there would likely have been a response (from him), or maybe they would have left the house together, or knocked on D's door. That didn't happen.
So, maybe E was in the bathroom, X mentions someone being in the house loudly enough for him to hear & heads back to her room. We don't know if she locked her door or not. It's possible that BK was already in the room. If she was murdered right then, E might have come from the bathroom, said to her that he would help and was then killed by BK who was lurking nearby. That bedroom is so small, I don't remember if there is even a closet in there.
Or, when X returned to her room E was already deceased, BK grabs her when she enters, covers her mouth and says a creepy line about being there to help before killing her.
I am guessing that if BK entered the room and E & X were both awake and in bed, there would have been a lot more noise and screaming, yelling etc..
It's all disturbing and I feel like 1 or more of the women was an intended target, not all 4 people, especially at once. I do think he stalked them for months with the intent of drawing this out, he was enjoying having control over when he might actually interact with them.
Also, I don't know much about TikTok. Can the app just be open and running & this is why they said X was actively on it? Maybe she fumbled with her phone trying to call out and hit the app, or was looking at it as she entered the room. Maybe it was accidentally opened. It will be interesting to see any additional information on this and how it affects the timeline.
I haven't really been on here since the summer of the Watts case. I've seen a few other posters who returned due to this case. I'm saying hello!