Again, LE seems to be disputing that in multiple places. Here's just one:
http://www.nbcnews.com/news/us-news/...o-cops-n463116
But even going with your insistence that LE is wrong and Amanda and her home were targeted, it seems to me the fact that they DID NOT break in there first also disputes that scenario.
If the Blackburn home was the target, why would someone risk getting caught breaking into a different home first?
He wouldn't know LE wouldn't be called or an alarm wouldn't go off or someone might not notice.
He wouldn't be able to be sure even if he hit house one that he could still make it to the Blackburn home without getting caught.
And if he really was targeting Amanda and the house and knew Davey's schedule, why wouldn't he simply arrive AFTER Davey left in order to go in and not risk anything else? Or at least not 45 minutes early?
I just don't see how any of that makes any sense, even if you discount what LE has said. :dunno: