My 2 cents on the "mystery man." First, what I think is an accurate recitation of facts:
- Witness claims seeing LS with mystery man on or around the steps at 10th and College at precisely 3:38AM
- Precise timing of witness account is reasonable given that there is a large clock immediately overhead
- LE have confirmed that they have no video of LS after 2:51 and that the individual with her at that time is known to them (they don't use names but we all effectively know that he is CR). In reaching that conclusion, LE reviewed tape of the corner of 10th and College or areas very close nearby. However, we don't know the precise location (and by this I mean not location on a map but location on a building), target or variety of cameras at/near that location.
- LE have acknowledged the possibility that, camera evidence aside, the witness may have seen LS. That might be because a) the witness saw LS at her bar (which may or may not be "Sports"; do we know?), but did not see LS and any mystery man (either saw some other drunk girl or is making it up), or b) the witness may have seen LS and the mystery man where she claimed but her report cannot be corroborated through camera data because the camera did not look at the right place (at the right time, perhaps).
Second, my alternate theories, based on the facts:
1. This is a worthless report about an event that either has nothing to do with LS or never actually happened. LE has nevertheless acknowledged it in ambiguous fashion, including pointed references to an individual on camera that is known to them, because they wish to muddy the waters for one or more POIs, including JR, who is presumably responsible for the time period in question.
2. This is a substantive report that LE regards as potentially credible, even if it cannot be verified through camera evidence, and possibly even important to their investigation. LE nevertheless has sought to downplay the report, to conceal what they know, by not including it on the timeline and providing vague responses at the news conference, in order to muddy the waters for one or more POIs, including JR, who is presumably responsible for the time period in question.
3. This is a report that is unlikely to be credible given the nature of the camera evidence, but theoretically could be true, even if not verifiable. Nevertheless, LE does not regard it as important to their investigation, and Qualters' answers at the news conference are intended only to best inform the media and not send any messages to POIs.
I believe 1 or 3 are more likely than 2, but can't rule 2 out by any means. In fact, 2 may well be consistent with my potentially far-fetched theory of the case, which involves an overdose during the post-3AM time period, and disposal of the body by, with the aid, or at the direction of an unidentified individual associated with a criminal drug enterprise, almost certainly with the knowledge or participation of JR.