Greetings, fellow sleuths! I've been following this board for months, and the case since the get go (I was living in Bloomington at the time), but have been too lazy to register until now.
Much has been said and speculated, but for me the most telling piece of information in this case (and one which I feel is often underplayed), is HOW SOON LAUREN'S FRIENDS REPORTED HER MISSING. It was the NEXT DAY - around 2 PM or so. From what I know, it is simply UNHEARD OF to report somebody missing that soon. (Correct me if I'm wrong, but I think the police have a policy that they will not even begin investigations until it has been 24 hours). If I was a college student and couldn't track down my girlfriend/friend the day after partying as much as Lauren had been, I would be thinking she was a.) In bed with some guy. b.) Passed out or hungover on a friend/random person's couch c.) Pissed off for the day and decided to take a random car/shopping trip. d.) Any other dozen number of possibilities. The last thing I would do would be to file a police report AND call LS's parents back in NY telling them that she's "missing" - which is exactly what JW and the others did.
The fact that they decided to go to the police this soon really only leaves two possibilities, as I see it:
1.) They themselves were in fact responsible for whatever happened to Lauren, and were reporting her as a cover up. (Less likely, given that Lauren's dad has basically ruled out JW as a POI)
2.) They must have already had pretty good reason to believe that some EXTREMELY shady stuff had gone down the night before with LS and her company, and that LE should be immediately involved. (More likely)
Basically, I believe that those who reported her missing already had a pretty clear idea of whatever it was that happened - otherwise why go to the police so soon? This fact alone makes the possibility of a random abduction virtually Nil, in my opinion.
So what is going on here? While it is true that Mr. and Mrs. Spierer still seem sincerely duped as to what happened to her daughter, they still must know a LOT more than the public knows.
Some points for thought:
What WAS JW's and the others' reason for reporting Lauren's missing so soon? What led them to believe she was in such danger?
I remember reading a long time ago that CR, when asked what happened to Lauren, said "I have my suspicions"..what WERE they?
A few weeks ago Mr. Spierer was quoted as saying "I believe that if she never met CR, she would be alive today". This says a LOT.
I feel like they already know who did it, and are quite sure of it. They just have no proof..
You make an observation that is one of the more interesting things to be noticed in a while. Early on there was some discussion about CR and roommate asking around if people had Seen LS. It was definitely suspicious that he would be up so early after such an intense case of partying and punch-in-the-face Amnesia. After a night like that, most people have trouble getting out of bed, much less out of the house looking for someone.
LS's parents do not seem very duped to me. I just read an article dated last month and LS's dad seemed to have reached the same conclusions that many on this board reached a long time ago, and they have the benefit of PI's, and communicate with LE. He said "CR is a Liar and a Coward". He also said that JR was not telling the whole story. In that article LS's Dad also mentions that JR had showed up to Kilroy's while CR and LS where there for their roughly 1 hr brief interlude there where LS' phone and shoes got left behind. I had not heard that before and found it quite interesting. Why would JR show up there? Yet they all did not leave together.
And then later she supposedly is back at his place?
I never believed JR's line about her leaving at 4:30 and rounding the corner.
Still strongly intuit that what happened to her, happened very shortly after she passed through that alley and the last time she was seen on video, and lost her keys and small purse. LS's Dad doesn't buy the Amnesia story and neither do I. CR was right there with her the last time it can be proven that anyone else was with her. But he won't talk... He knows more.
He may know everything, or enough. JR covered with the 4:15 call and 4:30 story. CR and JR know what was going on and who was involved because of this cross connection.
Personally it's still my feeling that whatever happened to her (and I do think she is dead, but don't entirely rule out other possibilities, just think they are highly unlikely) involved drugs. There seems to be little question that she took drugs and was at the very least drunk. What we don't know was really what did she take that night, voluntarily, involuntarily or a combination. To me there is a strong possiblity that she OD'd or died accidently by a fall, siezure, cardiac arrest due to combination of stuff. Something more sinister could have happened, but if it did, I feel it happened in that 3:00 to 3:30 time span.
I think that by 4:30 am whatever happened had already been cleaned up.
At the very least CR and JR both know a lot more about what happened. So there is a conspiracy going. It's more about WHAT they are covering up and what they are afraid of.
Whether she took drugs voluntarily or involuntarily, whether she got them from CR, JR, her own cabinet or elsewhere, by the time of exiting Kilroy's was way out of it. Exiting her elevator on the way to CR's she's observed having trouble exiting the elevator[according to same article]. By the time she's coming out of the alley her keys and purse just slip right out of her hand without noticing?
That seems to me like she was pretty much unconscious, could easily have passed out right after that. I wonder just where is JR and DR at this point(3AM)? Who is there? Because within minutes someone comes by and picks up her keys/purse and puts it on a short wall. But he notices no people around! Is she in someone's car? In someone's place or is someone carrying her off at light speed? CR's room mate says she was there, helped him put CR to bed and left.. that sounded fishy every time I heard it too. They put CR to bed... when she was likely even more messed up than CR at this point! Not buying it.
Then she wants to go to JR's for more partying? I don't think so. She didn't know what she was doing any more and this seems like a story pointed at painting her into being a wild girl. Why paint that picture?