VeryVeritas
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I started following Lauren's case when it first happened in June 2011. Everyone seemed to be focused on 5N, but I was struck by the insincere and seemingly inaccurate depiction of Lauren and JW's relationship. This was obviously a girl who had broken up with JW, or was at least flirting with and seeing other guys. The narrative that was put out by JW and his circle was that him and Lauren were in a loving long-term relationship, and that she was staying in Bloomington for the summer while he took classes. Later on the day of her disappearance, he was supposedly the concerned boyfriend, who notified the authorities that she was missing. He professed that she was "the love of his life". But this depiction of the nature of their relationship at the time of her disappearance did not stand up to even the minimum amount of scrutiny.
Certainly, given her actions in the week leading up to her disappearance, it does not appear that Lauren had the same opinion of their relationship either.
Meanwhile the people at 5N were heavily scrutinized. Why? Lauren disappeared almost without a trace. There are the statements that the 5N residents gave. There is the video of her in the alley. But nobody witnessed her abduction; or nobody has come forward who witnessed her die of an overdose for that matter, either. There is hardly any physical evidence of her disappearance and she has never been found. There simply isn't much to go on other than the fact that she was last with CR, MB, and JR, and they acknowledge that. Since that was all LE and the media and the family and anyone has ever been able to certifiably, undeniably latch onto 100%, all scrutiny came down upon them. They do not seem like the most savory of characters if you ask me; I would not want my daughter associating with them in any way shape or form. But, I have never seen them do anything after Lauren disappeared that raised a red flag in my book. Their actions following Lauren's disappearance seem entirely normal to me given the position they are in. They were obviously breaking the law and drugs were involved. A girl they were last seen with went missing. Anyone in their position should hire an attorney and they will often follow their attorney's advice. Did they take lie detector tests? I read somewhere that JR's lawyer claims he took and passed a lie detector test with Bloomington P.D. I believe that's true, otherwise I assume Bloomington P.D. would have refuted the assertion, since it was publicized in the media. They gave statements. They submitted for DNA testing. If they've done anything suspicious that would betray guilt since Lauren disappeared, then I would like for someone to point it out to me. Then I might reassess my position.
JW, on the other hand, acted very suspiciously. He was apparently in an argument with HT shortly before he called police. He misrepresented the status of his and Lauren's relationship in the days and weeks following her disappearance. His father flew out to Indiana THAT DAY and arrived even before the missing girl's parents did. He supposedly loved Lauren but abandoned the search for her after just a few days and fled to New York. Where he made often hyperbolic professions of love and edited his "relationship status" with her--a girl who had either dumped him or was cheating on him. A few years later, while the 5N residents and their families have remained relatively silent except for saying "please stop harassing us", JW's parents went to the media to call the Spierer's liars and basically say that Lauren deserved to die because she was a drug addict.
Is that the story of a man with nothing to hide?
You asked me what I think happened Yeahbabs, and here is my theory:
Lauren had dumped JW. She was flirting with CR in the week leading up to her disappearance. He was bragging to everyone that he wanted to hook up with her. They were apparently keen for each other. When they went out on the night of June 2, they partied together and probably planned to hook up. It's what young people do. They became extremely intoxicated, high, or both, and when they attempted to return to Lauren's residence, they were confronted by JW's friend ZO and his enforcer crew. JW's friend ZO punched CR in the face and just about knocked him out. That was a message from JW, or at least done as a service for a friend.
Unable to make it to Lauren's residence without further altercation, perhaps at her suggestion, perhaps at his...Lauren and CR walked back to his place at 5N. Perhaps she planned on staying the night with him. Camera footage of them in the alley is the last time she was verified to have been seen. I believe CR passed out as he said. I believe MB, probably the most credible witness at 5N, wanted nothing to do with her and passed her off to JR, who was her friend. Simple deductive reasoning, of which I can expound on in a further post if you would like, leads me to believe that there is no possibility of CR or MB being involved in Lauren's disappearance. None. An overdose and dumping of the body by the entire group can also be dismissed out of hand. I cannot rule out JR and/or his guest doing something malevolent to Lauren, or disposing of her body after a medical incident, but I think it's unlikely.
What I think happened is that the person most statistically likely to have been involved in her disappearance, the one with the motive, and no alibi, who acted dishonestly and erratically in the days that followed--her recently dumped ex-boyfriend, JW--was involved in her disappearance. I believe he was aware that ZO punched out CR that night. I believe ZO notified him of the incident, and that JW was jealous and stalked Lauren until he confronted her later that night. I believe their relationship was over, terminated by her, and that he accosted her with jealous rage.
I believe he notified his father he was in trouble and that his father arrived even before Lauren's own family did. I believe after hiding her body or temporarily hiding her body, he went through a charade the next day. Texting her phone, going to her residence, calling the police. When his father arrived, they went over to 5N (so obviously he knew where CR lived) and assaulted or attempted to assault CR again despite not having any evidence of him having done anything. CR wasn't even the last person to see Lauren alive.
I believe JW feigned searching for her just a few days, then left to New York.
And that last part is damning. People like to focus on prior actions, character of suspects and witnesses and the like--but I like to focus on what they do in the immediate aftermath of traumatic events. How do they behave? Like someone who is telling the truth, or someone who has something to hide?
JW left Lauren missing or dead in Indiana. He took to social media and made hyperbolic posts about his love for her and then went on with his life. That act of leaving someone behind, and then saying you love them, is the common psychological hallmark of someone who has committed a murder in jealous rage. It is their way of distancing themselves and letting go and saying goodbye.
I don't know anything about this other than what was reported in the media. If I had to guess, I would say it's unconnected. A jailhouse tip or something that didn't pan out. It's been such a long time with no further development, that I find it unlikely to be related.
Anyway, I hope Lauren returns safe to her family. It's unlikely, we all know, but it's not unprecedented. At the very least, I hope her fate is resolved, and closure can be brought to her family soon.
God be with you, LS family.
Wow, it's like no one reads the posts on this thread after all of these years. Lauren was clearly in no condition to leave 5N. That's if she even made it there!! There are many pages of posts on WS's where (and tremendous inconsistencies between them, their public statements and lawyer's statements) of those living at 5N and claiming to be the last to see her (or not remembering what happened) were exposed. Statistically it's the last person to see someone alive who is responsible, that usually is the significant other. In this case, they are different people. There is not one shred of evidence that JW knew where Lauren was or that he came over to Smallwood or near 5N, not on any cameras, not seen by any witnesses. Lauren was not only on drugs and highly intoxicated, she also was critically injured after leaving Smallwood first cracking her head so hard on concrete that it could be heard by friends inside their apartment who were looking out at her. Then again when she falls face down into gravel without trying to even block her fall with her hands as was seen on camera. This was all thoroughly explored and discussed for years. It's very difficult to walk around over there and not be seen on a camera. If JW were looking for her, he would likely be seen on the Smallwood camera, the Alley cam, or someone would have seen him at 5N, etc... No one saw him at all. Very simple things like JR's description of Lauren's injuries match someone who is critically or fatally injured. His description of her attempting to use another object thinking it was a phone but it wasn't, indicate that she was in no condition to go anywhere. But there were 2 phone calls made from his place, and he attributes them to Lauren. 1 call was to someone she took drugs with earlier that evening who was too incapacitated to even answer the phone and who left the party long before she did. The other call remains a mystery known only to LE. If that call were to JW, it certainly would be curious. But since it seems Lauren was incapable of making a call, much less standing on her own 2 feet, it's much more likely that JR made those calls for other reasons. It's also been repeated so many times that its sicking that some how ZO came to Lauren's rescue when she came into Smallwood with CR. As recorded on camera, she couldn't even stand up in the elevator without falling down, and ZO did NOTHING at all to help her. He clearly had another agenda with CR and that had nothing to do with Lauren. He demonstrated that he didn't care about her well being at all. So it was first reported that Lauren helped CR out of Smallwood, when in fact the opposite was true. Both were in bad shape, but cameras clearly showed that Lauren was way worse off than CR even after having been clocked by ZO. And that is BEFORE her head cracking on concrete and then later falling face down into a gravel lot. If you are fixated on JW and yet there is no evidence at all pointing to him, while at the same time ignoring the piles pointing to 5N people it seems very strange. Well not strange, because there have of course been people repeating that line since the very beginning. Their motives for doing so, are what I find interesting.