Firstly, I have seen in this thread that someone stated a journalist said the latest body found in Manorville (by the jogger on March 21, 2012) was said to have been there a week. I am not sure where this reference is supposed to have originated from but I have seen no such date mentioned and there was not a date of a week given in the video link. The closest thing to a solid date that I have found was that the body had been estimated to have been there months instead of years. When the reporter said the body was not decomposed, he meant not ENTIRELY decomposed as in the case of the skeletal remains found elsewhere. It is impossible to give any sort of a solid date at any rate before a formal study by an ME, and without a skilled professional weigh in even attempts at guessing are shaky.
Secondly, concerning the STALK profile, I really do not agree with the major conclusions of those who have drawn up this profile on several major points.
1. As there has been no evidence of an established connection, I am still not convinced that Shannan Gilbert's death has anything to do with the death of the others.
2. The stress of the profile on the so-called social skills and finesse of the unknown offender(s), I believe to be a misnomer. As in the Pickton case in Canada, I think that this is probably a case of addiction overcoming common sense, not that the offender(s) is so socially skilled and adept. Also, the very seeking out of sex trade workers in itself implies non-social adaptation. He can't have normal relationships, thats why he seeks out sex trade workers. These ARE his relationships.
3. In number 2 above I am referring to the offender(s) who are responsible for the death of the four sex trade workers found on Gilgo Beach. I do not believe that the dismembered bodies and these four bodies are related. I do believe that both sets of bodies were put there by disorganized killers, not organized ones. The killer of the older dismembered victims I believe to be fueled by rage, whereas the killer of the four Gilgo victims I believe to be fueled by a methodical mission. As I believe both to be suffering from sort of psychotic disorder and delusional, I consider them both disorganized. In the off chance that this is one offender, I would suggest that the dismemberment/rage killings were completed while the offender was not medicated and the other killings while he was medicated. Again, however, I seriously doubt this to be true for one glaring reason: The offender(s) who killed the four women found at Gilgo Beach is obviously mission oriented, highly delusional, and a religious or pseudo-religious fanatic with grandiose notions of himself as an pious exterminator of sorts. This type of delusion would not likely remain intact with medication given for a psychotic condition. Without medication, the picquerism and other pathologies present that initiate dismemberment do not just fade away. Hence, at least two offenders.
3. I also think that the age range is wrong and both of the offenders at work here (or one if there is only one) are older, in the 40-60 year range.
4. I think that both these offenders (or again, one if there is only one) are drug users, probably of stimulant drugs, and law enforcement should focus on this aspect. It is my belief that the lure of drugs is how he is getting these women to overcome their own safety alarms and his crimes are probably committed during binges of his own and he probably has a local person that he buys from. I would think that it would be fruitful to attempt to find and question local drug suppliers of stimulant drugs to try to establish regular buyers against the time frames of the disappearances.
5. There are aspects of these killings that lead me to believe that this offender(s) has a full blown psychotic disorder, such as schizophrenia or bipolar disorder, and probably also has a comorbid personality disorder--mainly Antisocial Personality Disorder as well as sadomasochistic tendencies and one or more fetishes. These are not disorders that can be hidden. Somebody knows something. I think that law enforcement needs to stress to the public the characteristics of this offender, just how dangerous he really is to everyone (including those who think they are safe from him), and somehow find the funding to raise the reward amount. I do not think that taunting this offender(s) is going to do anything to help this case. He is way too delusional to be concerned with law enforcement. I believe that the way to solve these crimes is to appeal to the public and those who have information to come forward before it is too late for them too.
6. On the subject of the amount of offenders: This is a difficult estimation. As I mentioned before, there are definite reasons to consider the possibility of two offenders working separately. However, there are also other possibilities. It cannot be ruled out that this is one offender purposefully altering signatures. It cannot be ruled out that there is one offender with either episodes of psychotic cycling or true multiple personality disorder. It cannot be ruled out that there may be two offenders but that these two are working together. There are perhaps things known only to law enforcement that I am not privy to which would weigh the scales decidedly in either direction, but with the information given there is just no way to say decidedly if there is one, two, or even more than two offenders at work here.
What is evident in this case, however, is that he is not going to stop and that the characteristics shown in these crimes reflects the fact that there is so much pathology at work here, so much delusion and narcissism and sadistic tendencies, that no one is safe. And for those who may have information about this case, that includes you. Get some help, tell what you know, before its too late for you too.
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