itsrak
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- Aug 10, 2014
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Hey there, I've been following this case for a long time. You can see my compilation posts about details in earlier months. But I wanted to reply that I think there is another single explanation that explains both questions.
That Brian snuck out to participate in a dangerous activity
I.e. He purposefully leaves under cover to buy drugs and the deal went bad.
I.e. He purposefully leaves to do drugs and OD'd.
I am willing to wager far more people die in bad drug deals or OD-ing than of being buried in secret crevices of buildings.
I stay open to all possibilities, but I think him intentionally sneaking out for some activity that proved dangerous is more likely than him being buried in concrete.
Why would anyone think he would be buried in concrete? That would pretty much have to be intentional. Accidentally under concrete is far more likely. Of the 15 leading causes of death in the U.S.,
15 Most Common Causes of Death in the United States
only 3 are really possibilities for Brian Shaffer - accident, suicide, and homicide. Accident is far more likely statistically than the other 2. I accept LE's premise that someone seems not to have left the building that evening/morning. I believe that Brian disappeared that morning, and I think he died that morning. I accept detective Hurst's conclusion that Brian probably entered the 'completely dug up' construction area that morning. No need to conjure up nefarious activity and a homicide, especially a body-less homicide, when the facts and investigation point to the statistically more likely outcome - the accidental death of the individual who seemed not to have left the building and simultaneously permanently disappeared. There is only one location on the planet that could be searched with a greater than miniscule probability of success - the building where Brian was last seen the morning he disappeared. But a new search would cost money and, if successful, could expose certain parties to bad press and risk of liability and litigation.
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