I believe the SK is on a mission driven by a hatred of prostitutes. He might have been very hurt in life and feels that he was a victim of one (or more). He feels entitled to kill and gets satisfaction punishing and ridding society of them.
That would make him a house cleaner type, a sub species of the common Angel of Death type. And then his victimology would show cross-ethnicity because the primal selection pattern would be "prostitute". He also wouldn't have killed MBB, since she was at the bus terminal, unless he would have stalker her for a while, which is pretty unlikely because she came only in the morning to NYC.
He stalks and/or is acquainted with his victims. I think he carefully pre-plans his attacks but also is an opportunist if the circumstances allow.
Translated, he is either at the same time organized and not or he is in his peak phase and at the same time already pretty down the spiral. For a stlaker, stalking is part of the ritual. It's nothing, he would give up so easily, just for an opportunity strike.
He is more comfortable with LI than AC which could explain the different speed-kill and clothed victims (or he had different motive for the AC4).
That's more than a stretch, that's like ripping the fabric of the universe. And all, to find a construct that explains on a mere formal level a connection between AC and LI. I mean, we talk here not about a small speed up in killings, we talk here about factor 25. The kill speed in AC is at least 25 times as high as the one for LISK. This has nothing to do with feeling comfortable unless you claim, LISK holds his victims for about 4 months each. And by the way, the term is "kill-speed", not "speed-kill"
And a different motive? SKs kill for a reason. That reason is what makes them SKs. All other reasons would be necessity kills to avoid connection. There can't be another motive because another motive would take the motive from him, that made him an SK in the first place.
He has more time and is very familiar with LI, probably lives, works, vacations, grew up, etc., and has connections there and in NYC.
He lives on a short timeline there because he is most of the year not there. If he would be, the murders wouldn't be concentrated on the time July to September. That gives him 12 weeks. In that time, he has to find his victims, stalk them, snatch them, rape them and drop them.
The term speed-kill has been referred to in many posts as an essential characteristic in considering POIs.
Again, the term is kill-speed. And it's part of a profile, it's nothing that can be directly applied to any POI since you don't know if a POI has killed, how often and in what frequency over time.
IMO there are many things that can affect the LISKs speed-kill that renders it not important and also results in changes in MO.
Well, that is your constitutional right.
Above is one example. Other instances are that all of his victims bodies have not been found, changes in his particular situation at the time, unexpected or inopportune problems arising, his own health, unforeseen emergencies and, even, the weather.
You didn't look at LISK's kill graph. He was in the ramp up. So other old bodies will be in other parts of the country, newer bodies than 2010 will be in LI and wherever he spent the winter. There is nothing to indicate LISK changed his MO and even less, he changed his signature except for the unexplainable urge to construct artificially a connection between AC and LI.
Someone should not be ruled out as a POI because of his speed-kill or differences in MOs in serial killings.
NO POI can be ruled out based on KILL-SPEED because KILL-SPEED can't be applied to POIs in the first place. I slowly get the impression, you misinterpret the term. KILL-SPEED is the number of kills per time unit for a serial killer. For example 4 in 8 weeks. It can't be applied to a POI, since you don't know whether this person has killed, how often and in what time. This is the reason why I didn't dismiss POIs on that base, because it's impossible.
Paradoxical undressing is another term that IMO does not apply to SG death that night. It is just too far-fetched and very, very rare in real life to be considered plausible in the SG case, especially since her belongings and clothes were found all together in one spot and her nude body so far away near Ocean Parkway.
Mathematically, we call a probability of over 50% the "most likely" because no other scenario can beat that 50%. However, that is only valid as long as not "beliefs" and "bias" are involved in the arguments, because they don't care about facts anyway. I take it, you didn't follow the mild-hypothermia discussion?
Taking into account all the events/stories/reports of that night, I believe that she was a victim of homicide. :moo:
The Constitution entitles us to have own opinions and express them, The Constitution doesn't ask to bring scientific arguments, reason or even check on the technical possibility. So well, it's your opinion.
As everyone on this board agrees, we just do not have any or enough important information to really properly sleuth the LISK case. Our own common sense and gut feelings are so far the best resources we have.
Speak for yourself, I disagree.
I told, in the radio show and in mails to SCPD, they would find him on the traffic cam tapes. But SCPD didn't react, now the tapes are probably deleted. I posted in the "local help" thread a description of the place where to find him (valid till mid of September) and in what areas to look for that place. So yes, I think, we have enough to catch him, we only don't have enough on LE to make them move.
Note to Truthspider Youre familiar with the residents of Oak Beach. Ive had in the back of my mind that the only unbiased witness to the events of May 1-2 could be a newspaper delivery person. They deliver at my home between 5 and 6AM, 7 mornings a week. The timing would have been perfect to witness the happenings in Oak Beach that early morning. Any thoughts? Also their mailman would be aware of some of the goings on there also even though he/she would not have been delivering mail at that time.
So, you exclude Coletti from "unbiased witness"? The ME? SCPD? Especially the officer who arrived first at Oak Beach? Dispatch? They are all part of the conspiracy and therefore "biased"? Fine, ask the mailman what he saw or the paper boy, but in the end, if they don't say, what you want to hear, will you add them into your big box of "biased" witnesses too? Just asking?
)