i'm still going with #15(old list)/#7(new list) - kidnapped her to keep her. i think about it like this -
whoever did this planned it out. they didn't break into her house, they didn't snatch her in public, they didn't do anything sloppy like that. they waited until she was "alone" and most vulnerable, when they thought they'd have all the time in the world. i keep seeing folks asking why the perp was so leisurely and i think it's because he knew how the bobo family worked and he thought it would be hours before anyone noticed her missing. i've read that she had class twice a week, so the morning he took her was only one of two when she left at that time and i don't think it was random "luck" that he happened upon her that morning.
thinking he had all the time in the world, if this was just a simple sexual assault he could have done whatever he wanted to at her house or in her house. he didn't. instead he likely waited in the woods for her to exit her house and he got to her in the thirty seconds it takes a person to walk out their front door and get into their car. that's not a sign of being unprepared, it again points to someone who had this planned out.
this was probably not the first time he sat in the woods watching the house. he knew where to hide, he knew where to park, he had a plan for spiriting her away. when he approached her at the car he took his time talking to her. he wasn't in a hurry. in hindsight we know that law enforcement, cb, neighbors, etc were on the scene within ten to twenty minutes of this, yet he managed to get away and get her away with him...and not just "away", but so well managed that even though he thought he had all the time in the world he still hasn't been caught after a year and a half and no sign of her has been found in that time. that's another red flag of someone who had a plan a, plan b, plan c.
it's my belief that whatever articles of hers have been found have been planted by him, and he still hasn't been caught. there's no denying he's calculated, careful, exacting.
there's no part of the above m.o. that says this was random. there's no part of the above that says this was simple sexual assault, simple revenge, or trying to get rid of competition/someone who saw too much. in any of those cases you get the job done and you get out of town. you don't bother walking a hostage through the woods, you don't make sure she takes all of her stuff with her, you don't manage to disappear in twenty minutes, you don't hide her/her body so well that no one has found a trace of it in a year and a half. you don't manage to plant items of hers around town without getting caught.
once you look at how this guy operates and eliminate the options that don't make sense with his careful planning, his ability to be calm (and take ten minutes talking to her) in the middle of enacting his plan, his ability to blend in with others (such that he can plant her items without being noticed) then i don't know how you can think he's not capable of having kidnapped her as his "prize" to keep her and frankly none of the other options make sense to me. she may not be alive now, a year and a half later, but whatever he did was well planned and well executed and to me you only go to that effort if you're planning to kidnap her to keep her. :twocents: