Oscar. Reeva. What a horrific waste of two lives.
The guy obviously has serious freakin issues.
When he gets out of prison, I can see him going one of three ways:
1) With zero personal prospects of fully-independent self-sufficiency, become a permanent ward of and dependent on the familial generosity of Uncle Arnie, work quietly for the family businesses and/or special projects, shun the public.
2) Defiantly ditch any and all pretense of efforts towards reform and rehabilitation, gravitate toward his underworld buddies (after all, as a killer ex-con, hed fit right in) and resume his wild, playboy, adrenaline-fueled lifestyle. With no athletics career to anchor him with social and financial security and the glories of his old life long gone, reviled as a social pariah, what would he have to lose? He would fully embrace his official, ex-con Bad Boy image and it wouldnt be pretty.
3) A combination of 1 and 2, the best of both worlds. The security of the Pistorius home with frequent, drunken, disorderly ventures to the wild side. (Wonder how long Uncle Arnie would put up with that?) Im not sure whos the worst influence on OP - his pathologically coddling, enabling family or his high-flying, dubious-at-best, mafia-esque associates?
I take that back - theres a fourth option.
4) Actually get his sh#t together, do a total 180 and re-invent himself in a completely new direction. Turn his self-inflicted losses and horrific, destructive choices into creative tools to share, create, give back and do good. Not only a new-and-improved Oscar, but a genuinely regenerated Oscar. (Hey, way stranger things have happened.) He could actually be an even GREATER inspiration than he was before. What could be more powerful than learning cautionary tales from a transformed man whos experienced the extreme highs and lows of physical disability, elite sports, mental/emotional issues, prison and conquered his demons? This would indeed be a spectacular success story - the old sports hero Oscar Pistorius would pale in comparison.
What odds do I put on these four options?
1) 33%
Hell likely go this route initially, if only for public consumption and to lick his prison wounds. Eventually, though, the sedate, straight-and-narrow lifestyle would chafe him and he would rebel to 2) or 3).
2) 33%
This lifestyle might be extremely tempting to him. As a convicted killer in a nation and world that hates him, hed think, f### it, might as well go bad all the way. This rough, dangerous crowd represents POWER and STATUS - exactly what he lost, exactly what his arrogance craves.
3) 33%
Equally tempting. He wouldnt want to lose the Pistorius financial security and family social status but his aggressive, narcissistic, Type-A, thrill-seeking personality (not modified or corrected) would demand he also seek excitement and danger by attempting to re-capture as much of his previously reckless, hedonistic lifestyle as he could outside family confines. The Good Boy and the Bad Boy would be at continual war.
4) 1%
This should be his #1 choice but Im afraid Oscar may be too far gone mentally, emotionally and socially to be capable of this daunting option. It would be a massively long haul - years in the effort - and Im not sure hes got it in him to conquer his social stigma, to win hearts and new public respect as a truly reformed, better man. It would be a terrific long shot but not impossible.