I wholeheartedly disagree with this post. While your individual examples hold water, the totality of the evidence points in one direction. I did not pick a theory and force the evidence to match it. Instead, I looked at all of the evidence that has been made available to us and drew a conclusion based on that. It's easy to cherry pick a few examples where information could be used to support both sides, but when everything is taken as one body of evidence, one theory makes a far stronger case.
We obviously have incomplete information so anything is possible. However, I would be SHOCKED if this turned out to the a B&E gone wrong. I have read every post, the total number of posts being around 45,000, relating to MB's case, and I still have not seen these two questions answered. Assuming this was a B&E,
1) Why did SP not flee? Instead of simply running away, why did SP instead murder a woman? SP turned what was likely a misdemeanor stroll through an empty church into a death penalty case. Why? Most petty criminals are not okay with the massive leap to murder.
2) Why was nothing damaged in the SW corridor? SP had no problem damaging other parts of the building. In the NE and N parts of the building, SP had no problem smashing glass (both in an apparent attempt to gain entry and just for the heck of it when he was inside), ripping a handle off an exterior door, and damaging a window. When he came upon a stubborn door in the SW hall, why did SP simply move on? IMO, that is the biggest clue.
It's not about showing that any one piece of evidence could support a theory, but rather it is about looking at all of the evidence in its totality. When that is done, there is no ambiguity about which theory is more likely to have occurred.
Respectfully, I have read as many posts as you have, fwiw. And even the questions you ask can be answered a way that would have been a burglary-gone-wrong rather than a targeted killing. (And frankly, I have seen these questions answered the other way in the various posts in this forum, but I'll do it again since you apparently read past them.)
"I still have not seen these two questions answered. Assuming this was a B&E,
1) Why did SP not flee? Instead of simply running away, why did SP instead murder a woman? SP turned what was likely a misdemeanor stroll through an empty church into a death penalty case. Why? Most petty criminals are not okay with the massive leap to murder."
-First, you probably don't realize it, but this whole line of questions works from your
assumption (and one that I'm not sure is even a fact) that "Most petty criminals are not okay with the massive leap to murder." But even if we assume that is true, how would we know that this burglar was a "petty" criminal, or that this burglar was like most. Those are
assumptions, not facts. Fact is, a burglar here could have been a hardcore who happened to think this church was a great place to go looking for money or pawnable equipment, or he could have been petty but still didn't mind killing to get away. We just can't know what we don't know.
-Second, you make the
assumption that the burglar had the opportunity to flee without being caught if that was his preference - but again, that's just an
assumption, not a fact we know. We can certainly offer scenarios in which he could have fled, but others that he couldn't. There are MANY possible scenarios in which the burglar could have been trapped or cornered, and only been able to escape with a fight.
-Third, within the above question you make the
assumption that MB could only have been killed by someone who intended to kill, whereas her death could actually have started with an attempt to flee, and then a fight or a struggle in which one thing led to another, rather than a perp who was trying to kill. Maybe the perp tried to knock out MB to flee, and then hit her so hard she was seriously injured and in the moment he felt he better kill her so she couldn't talk. We can't say what was in the mind of the killer, or why they killed, because we just don't know.
2) Why was nothing damaged in the SW corridor? SP had no problem damaging other parts of the building. In the NE and N parts of the building, SP had no problem smashing glass (both in an apparent attempt to gain entry and just for the heck of it when he was inside), ripping a handle off an exterior door, and damaging a window. When he came upon a stubborn door in the SW hall, why did SP simply move on? IMO, that is the biggest clue.
You
assume nothing was damaged in the SW corridor, and everything was damaged elsewhere, but we don't know that. Reports said there was glass everywhere around and even under MB's body. You
assume SP simply moved on with minor effort at one SW door, but we have cams that shut on and off, with edited footage, and we don't have the time stamps so we don't know how long he took. And what would he have done if there had been glass in that door? We don't know he wouldn't have busted it, because there wasn't glass in that door like there was in the other, so he had no choice. We do see him break ONE glass elsewhere, in a door that was locked, but we don't know what he ultimately did or didn't do in lots of other places. One event does not give us a pattern.
Apparently he tried to enter at the NE (most secluded) doors, failed, and then went to the closest place from there to try, and succeeded. There was damage in the attempt to enter. It's certainly easy to see why a burglar would do that without some ulterior plan in play, but if we
assume a plan then we can see (or think we see) more there. Did he have a plan that forced him to the N/NE other than an attempt to break in? We can't objectively know.
At the end of the day, I'm not saying any or all of your assumptions are wrong. They might be right. But if someone else makes different assumptions, the "evidence" then is able to be seen very differently, with just as good a chance of being right. And we have nothing objective to force us to see them either way. It's all dependent on knowing the perp's intentions, from which we can then make sense of the tiny bit we can see, but unfortunately we don't know that.