Found Deceased UK - Nicola Bulley Last Seen Walking Dog Near River - St Michaels on Wyre (Lancashire) #13

[WestLondoner]

Maybe meaning that it never left the bench between 9:10-9:20...

Simplest explanation is that she was sitting on the bench with the dog off the lead, dog goes to edge of bank and maybe slips / appears to be in trouble, she goes to assist, dog reappears from bank and she then falls over the dog. The dog remains where she was last seen, phone remains dialled into call.

The problem with this - and any other scenario involving a fall into the river - is that if this is what happened, you would think she'd have been found by now. It's not that the police assumption is inherently unlikely; it's that there's no evidence in support of it, and there should be.

The speed of the current, the meandering course, the weir and the water being tidal below it should have combined to prevent her moving very far. Instead, it appears she moved, submerged and unobserved throughout, a distance of about 10 miles until reaching the sea, and then disappeared.

I'm not an expert in any way but I find that astonishing.

 

[Dowls90]

"Nicola listed as high risk due to having vulnerabilities as told by her partner" - Live Presser

Interesting.

 

[Purplepixii]

Graded as "high risk" due to "specific vulnerabilities described by PA". What though?

 

[MollyHarps]

Press conference on going.

She was treated straight away as a high risk - does this suggest possible mental healthy issues?

 

[Firstsnow4]

high - the risk of serious harm to the subject or the public is assessed as very likely
versus
medium – the risk of harm to the subject or the public is assessed as likely but not serious

I can see why it was high.

I still wonder whether there was a mental health element with this disappearance to suggest it was high risk. As said before you just don’t know what’s going on in someone’s head. JMO.

 

[Mr X]

Graded as "high risk" due to "specific vulnerabilities described by PA". What though?

Suicide IMO. It makes sense. Previous indicators will be known to family.

 

[MollyHarps]

This lady doing the press conference is taking no messing

 

[Sw18jp]

The police officer mentioned something to do with info from NBs husband which meant she was immediately branded high risk. Do we know what that is?

 

[vchk]

Graded as "high risk" due to "specific vulnerabilities described by PA". What though?

hope someone pokes about this during q&a!!!

 

[Cuko]

high - the risk of serious harm to the subject or the public is assessed as very likely
versus
medium – the risk of harm to the subject or the public is assessed as likely but not serious

I can see why it was high.

“Specific vulnerabilities that we were aware of” ??

 

[Fishwick]

Suicide IMO. It makes sense. Previous indicators will be known to family.

People don't commit suicide by jumping into water walking their dog.

 

[Purplepixii]

Suicide IMO. It makes sense. Previous indicators will be known to family.

I agree it's either that or voluntary disappearance. Unfortunately those have been my thoughts since this whole sorry story appeared.

 

[ginnyw]

Press conference on going.

She was treated straight away as a high risk - does this suggest possible mental healthy issues?

Very interesting: 'specific vulnerabilities' mentioned in press conference.

 

[DickieDumDum]

Oh dear. Specific vulnerabilities doesn't sound good, though I suppose it may mean some physical conditions that would make her vulnerable, a need for medication etc. I hope we get some clarification. I didn't expect this case to have a good outcome but it just got a bit sadder.

 

[Dan Cooper]

Oh dear. Specific vulnerabilities doesn't sound good, though I suppose it may mean some physical conditions that would make her vulnerable, a need for medication etc. I hope we get some clarification. I didn't expect this case to have a good outcome but it just got a bit sadder.

It could be literally anything. She may need insulin.

 

[wackyw]

In this article it looks like a different location

Nicola cops search river pumping station after scouring caravan site

POLICE searching for missing mum-of-two Nicola Bulley are scouring a pumping station close to where she was last seen. Officers were this morning spotted exploring the site in the village of St Mic…

www.thescottishsun.co.uk

A while back someone posted an old OS map from 1850's or so. The big old house over the river was then noted as the vicarage, and close-ish by and due south of there was a building simply noted as "Pump". Looking at the building it could be that maybe ?

PS - It was AnalyticalMind that posted it

 

[Fishwick]

What do you mean? I'm watching a nervous woman stumbling over her words (deepdale?) & repeating herself in a rather amateur way.

She's been incredibly clear and articulate.

 

[Firstsnow4]

People don't commit suicide by jumping into water walking their dog.

No but she could have left the area via the path with no cctv and done it elsewhere. JMO.

 

[Sarahlou]

Suicide IMO. It makes sense. Previous indicators will be known to family.

This is what I've thought the police thought from the start. Their reaction to it made it seem like that to me. JMO.

 

[SleuthRob]

So it was ONE of their working hypotheses from the get go that it could be criminal, yet they did not corner of the area???

How strange