2025 Hurricane and Tropical Weather

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  • #1

Hurricane season officially begins June 1, and just like every season there are 21 names available for use.


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In Detail: Notables About 2025's Names

  • A New "D" Name: Dexter will take over on this season's list for 2019's Hurricane Dorian, which was the only retired name from that year. Dorian devastated Grand Bahama and Great Abaco Islands as a Category 5, causing catastrophic storm surge and wind damage. It then took a close swipe at the Southeast U.S. Coast before making landfall in North Carolina's Outer Banks as a Category 2.
  • Two Names Never Used: Van and Wendy are the only two names from this year's list that haven't been previously used for an Atlantic storm. The list was first used in 1983, which is just a few years after the naming process was overhauled to include both female and male names. We should note that several of the names that were on the original 1983 list have been retired since then.
 
  • #2

"We expect 19 storms to form in 2025, nine of which will become hurricanes and four of which will reach Category 3 status or stronger," the release stated.

"Sea surface temperatures across the eastern and central Atlantic are generally warmer than normal, but not as warm as they were last year at this time," a release from Colorado State reads.
 
  • #3
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  • #6

Snip
The current outlook predicts a 60% chance of an "above-normal" hurricane season, with between 13 to 19 named storms. Six to 10 of those are expected to strengthen into hurricanes, and three to five could become major hurricanes, forecasters said.

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  • #7
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  • #10

Slight Chance of development off the southeast coast later this week.

NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 PM EDT Mon Jun 2 2025

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:

1. Offshore of the Southeastern U.S. Coast
A non-tropical area of low pressure is forecast to form near or offshore of the southeastern U.S. coast during the next couple of days. If the system remains offshore, the low could gradually develop some subtropical or tropical characteristics later this
week while moving northeastward at 10 to 15 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...10 percent.
 
  • #11

The Air Force Reserve’s 53rd Weather Reconnaissance Squadron, aka the Hurricane Hunters, flew its first operational mission of the season on Wednesday heading to gather data on Hurricane Erick in the Eastern Pacific. The WC-130J Super Hercules aircraft departed Keesler Air Force Base in Biloxi, Mississippi kicking off the first mission of an active storm season.
 
  • #12
Tropical Tidbits FB post

Tropical Storm #Andrea has formed, the first of the Atlantic season. The National Hurricane Center determined that the area of low pressure in the northern Atlantic became organized enough to be briefly classified as a tropical storm. However, Andrea is already moving into cold waters and will be short-lived, expected to dissipate over the next 24 hours. Andrea is not a threat to any populated areas.

 
  • #13
Tropical Tidbits tracking a messy storm in the Bay of Campeche.

🌀 We're tracking Invest #91L in the Bay of Campeche, as a weak circulation has developed from a tropical wave there. Rotation of the low-level clouds is evident in the satellite loop, with some deep thunderstorm activity on the south side.

🌀 Conditions are not fully optimal for tropical development, as upper-level westerlies are opposing low-level southeasterlies, causing significant wind shear. However, a little more organization could lead to a tropical depression or weak tropical storm briefly forming over the next day or so. The National Hurricane Center currently puts development chances at 50%.

🌀 A ridge over the Gulf will steer 91L west-northwestward into #Mexico in the vicinity of #Tampico in 24-36 hours. Heavy rains and potential flash flooding are likely to be the primary hazards from this system.

 
  • #14

TD TWO Forms in the Bay of Campeche. A Tropical Storm Warning is up for the Gulf coast of Mexico from Boca de Catan southward to Tecolutla.
#TDTWO #TropicalStormBarry #91L

Tropical Depression Two Advisory Number 1
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL022025
400 PM CDT Sat Jun 28 2025

...TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWO FORMS IN THE BAY OF CAMPECHE...


SUMMARY OF 400 PM CDT...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...19.3N 94.2W
ABOUT 240 MI...385 KM ESE OF TUXPAN MEXICO
ABOUT 130 MI...210 KM E OF VERACRUZ MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...30 MPH...45 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 290 DEGREES AT 7 MPH...11 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1011 MB...29.86 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

The government of Mexico has issued a Tropical Storm Warning for
the Gulf coast of Mexico from Boca de Catan southward to Tecolutla.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...
* Gulf coast of Mexico from Boca de Catan southward to Tecolutla

A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are
expected somewhere within the warning area within 36 hours.

For storm information specific to your area, please monitor
products issued by your national meteorological service.


DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 400 PM CDT (2100 UTC), the center of Tropical Depression Two was
located near latitude 19.3 North, longitude 94.2 West. The
depression is moving toward the west-northwest near 7 mph (11 km/h)
and this motion is expected to continue for the next day or two. On
the following track the depression is expected to make landfall
along the Mexico coast on Sunday night and move further inland on
Monday.

Maximum sustained winds are near 30 mph (45 km/h) with higher gusts.
Some intensification is forecast over the next day or so, and the
depression is forecast to become a tropical storm before reaching
the coast of Mexico.

The minimum central pressure estimated by Air Force Reserve
Reconnaissance data is 1011 mb (29.86 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
Key messages for Tropical Depression Two can be found in the
Tropical Cyclone Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDAT2 and WMO
header WTNT42 KNHC.

RAINFALL: Tropical Depression Two is expected to produce rainfall
totals of 3 to 6 inches, with maximum totals of 10 inches possible
across the Mexican states of Veracruz, San Luis Potosi, and
Tamaulipas. This rainfall may produce isolated flash and urban
flooding.

For a complete depiction of forecast rainfall and flash flooding
associated with Tropical Depression Two, please see the National
Weather Service Storm Total Rainfall Graphic, available at
hurricanes.gov/graphics_at2.shtml?rainqpf

WIND: Tropical Storm conditions are expected in the tropical storm
warning area beginning Sunday afternoon.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next intermediate advisory at 700 PM CDT.
Next complete advisory at 1000 PM CDT.
 
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Tropical Tidbits Facebook Post

🌀 #TD3 has been upgraded to Tropical Storm #Chantal, as max winds have increased to about 45 mph as measured by @hurricane_hunters aircraft.

🌀 These winds, along with the heaviest rains, are confined to the northeast side of Chantal's circulation due to persistent wind shear, which is also limiting Chantal's strength. While @nwsnhc_hurricanes projects landfall near Georgetown, #SouthCarolina Sunday Morning, impacts will be felt much more near and east of this landfall location than to the west of it.

🌀 Tropical Storm force winds, potential for flash flooding, and high surf and rip currents will affect coastal #SouthCarolina and #NorthCarolina Saturday night and Sunday. Pay attention to your local U.S. National Weather Service (NWS) offices for the latest information for your location.

 
  • #17
I'm through getting prepared for Chantal. My location is on the coast of Brunswick County in Southeast NC.
 
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  • #18
My bonus girl (my oldest daughter’s best friend) is in North Charleston SC. She works at the SC Aquarium in downtown. She and her husband are home and they’re all set too. She said it looks like it’s slowed down and is expected to come ashore just north of them. I told her to be careful of flooding if she has to go to the aquarium.
 
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