1. Based on the FB video authorized by the mods of the nighttime drive from the "party site" to the beach, it
takes about 6-7 minutes to drive from the "party site" to the beach off which Kiely was found
2. The last ping from Kiely's phone at 12:33 am was within 50 feet of where she was found:
Mystery over how SUV of missing teen Kiely Rodni ended up in a reservoir
3. Kiely would have had to leave the party by 12:26 or 12:27 to get to the reservoir by 12:33 am, and that's assuming there were zero obstacles in her path e.g., other cars trying to leave the party on super narrow roads
In addition to other facts not computing, the math does not compute my friends.
I appreciate the work you are doing to reconstruct these movements here. Respectfully, I can’t quite agree that everything you presented is 100% known fact, so I have a couple comments here (which might also explain why I’m not with you in the in the “looks like foul play” camp at this time):
1) Kiely’s mom said Kiely texted at 11:30 that she was leaving at 12:15, (
'I extended her curfew. I had done it before and felt safe. She texted me at 11.30pm to say she would be leaving at 12.15am to come home.) but we do not know for a fact that Kiely actually intended to depart for home at that exact time. Her mom had said Kiely should wake her up when she got in, so many of us earlier in this thread hypothesized/agreed that Kiely *may* have thought she could get away with stretching her curfew out way longer, knowing that her mom was going to sleep; we also know
(Based on statements that mom made in the news) that mom did not wake up until 8am the next day, when she realized Kiely had not returned and sounded the alarm. When you combine that with the fact that her mom also said she always granted Kiely the curfew extensions whenever she requested them, it becomes very plausible that a fudging of curfew happened from time to time, and that Kiely would take a little advantage of the curfew flexibility afforded by a sleeping parent, especially if she [Kiely] had been drinking.
So, Kiely may not have been racing all the other cars to get out of there, but instead planned to hang out for awhile before driving.
2) We absolutely do not know the route that Kiely’s car took to get into that reservoir. There were so many cut throughs, etc., in that little unofficial paved road/OHV area, IMOO it is just not possible to derive a “factual” timeline on details of her car travel that we just do not know. All we know is where one person pointed to where her car was parked, and by eyeball, it looks like she could have taken a straight cut to the beach from the parking area in a couple minutes, but we don’t actually know if the car left one spot and moved more than once, etc. We just don’t know.
3) Location of the last ping is general,
as much in land as in water, according to the Sheriff. I don’t think they gave precise coordinates.
4) The phone pings may have stopped because the phone went into the water at that time. OR the phone pings may also have been extinguished because her battery died again and her car went into the reservoir at a later time.
In other words, though it’s possible, we don’t know for certain that her car heading into the reservoir at 12:33 is what caused her phone to stop pinging. It is possible she took a little longer to get to her car, to sober up, etc., and if her phone battery were dead already it would have stopped pinging at that time. We were told by SS that the charge on the phones was low and that the teens were charging their phones throughout the evening. My thought on how she ended up in the reservoir is she waited around for awhile, phone died, fiddling with phone or charger while driving out, and unfortunately ended up in the water as a result of distraction/possible impairment/disorientation.
I don’t personally think we have even circumstantial evidence of foul play yet, but I’m not ruling out some gross negligence/accidental situation… and certainly if I were a friend who left her there alone, my heart would weigh heavily with this incident for the remainder of my life.
The MAIT report can’t come soon enough for any of us, to be sure.
** All opinions expressed are MOO, in the spirit of constructive discussion/debate.
Edited by me for a couple typos.