I think it was a hit. He lived in Irvine, a pretty densely populated area in Orange County -- definitely not an easy area to shoot someone and get away with it. He goes to an isolated campsite and is shot in the head right before daybreak. I would think the shooter was probably very close. They should be able to estimate the distance.
And yet people do. We just had a bombing in a Aliso Viejo at a business. Killed two people.
For me, a hit under these circumstances seems improbable.
They'd have to know: where he was going and then know what space he was in and then what tent he was in. Because I doubt you can see space numbers in the dark and he and his brother in law were feet apart from one another. Hard to tell which tent is which.
They'd also have to know when he was going to be there.
They'd have to be able to surprise him in his tent. So be able to not make noise. - No vehicles driving up.
So they'd have to have good knowledge of the area because it would be hard to walk in and out without detection.
They'd also have to not care about the little girls in the tent and/or be hired by someone who didn't care they were there and could get accidentally hit and totally traumatized.
They'd have to know who was in the tent and what they looked like so they could shoot the right target.
They'd have to be confident there would be no witnesses at a crowded campsite nor that their escape would be captured on surveillance anywhere near the area.
That's a lot of stuff that would have to come together for it to be a hit. And none of it seems like it would fit hit type scenarios I can think of.
Someone from work or in that world could maybe poison him. Or get him in a parking garage like that crazy woman did to the young nursing student Michele Le, if they wanted to stage a hit.
I guess time will tell.