• #821
It looks like the US government is gradually getting people comfortable with the idea of a long war in the Middle East. It started with 2-3 or 5 days, then 4-5 weeks, now it might be far longer.

"The U.S.-Israeli attack on Iran and wide-scale Iranian reprisals expanded Monday as the United States pledged to send more troops to the region. Speaking in the White House’s East Room, President Donald Trump said the U.S. military projected that the operation in Iran could take four to five weeks but has “the capability to go far longer than that.”

The U.S. military expects to endure additional casualties in its operation, Joint Chiefs Chairman Dan Caine said in a rare on-camera news briefing, adding that accomplishing objectives will take “some time” and, “in some cases, will be difficult and gritty work.”

When was there NOT war in the Middle East?
 
  • #822
  • #823
But isn't that exactly what seems to be happening? I don't seen any wholesale destruction of the Iranian infrastructure. Do you have links to information about infrastructure destruction? The goal seems to be to cut the head off to allow the people their chance. Revolutionary Guard unfortunately controls sooo much, and their capabilities have to be degraded . I suspect IRG will begin fading into the crowds now to save themselves.

I have posted many links. So have others. You would have to read something other than the filtered (imo) US news.

The govt offices, the military offices, hospitals, schools .... and they are only in Day Three of the attack.


Eg:
In Tehran, an air strike targeting 72 Square in the eastern neighbourhood of Narmak damaged a high school with authorities reporting that at least two children were killed.

According to Iranian authorities, the Aboozar Children’s Hospital in western Iran’s Ahvaz and three medical emergency centres in the provinces of East Azerbaijan, Sistan-Baluchistan and Hamedan were also damaged.

On Monday afternoon, fighter jets conducted bombing runs across Tehran once again. Attacks damaged the main building of the province’s medical emergency services, located in Iranshahr Street in the downtown area. Videos released by state-affiliated media showed staff evacuating, and the state-run Tasnim news agency said several staff members were injured.


This MSM has reporters in the Middle East and in Israel - it is based out of Qatar.
 
  • #824
I don't see this in the same way. It may have been different if this was a military operation that went in quick, wiped out the leaders, and left. Then used 'diplomacy' to help bring in another government.

What I don't like is turning their homeland into rubble. Because it will make it that much harder for any new govt to form. Civilians may actually hate the attackers for destroying their infrastructure.

imo
It's been two days. Let's give it a couple of weeks and then see where we're at vis-a-vis goal attainment.

Regular progress updates from the administration would be helpful, and I expect we'll be getting them.

It sounds to me as if we've been focused on taking out all the military installations, weaponry, IR infrastructure, and hidey-holes of all the known bad actors.

I do not think Israel and the US will be laying waste to entire cities or indiscriminately carpet bombing large population centers. They've advised civilian Iranians to shelter in place for now given the fact that the IRGC is still taking out opposition in the streets.

I think most Iranians, at least those who aren't militant islamists, will welcome the opportunity to shed the oppressive rule they've been living under and will be willing to role up their sleeves and work to rebuild the country, both societally and physically.

If it turns out that a majority of Iranians still want to live under militant islamism, well, then, we'll have nothing to do with helping them recover whatsoever.

JMO.
 
  • #825
When was there NOT war in the Middle East?
I don't know. In 2003 the US launched war against Iraq. Has the US waged war against other countries in the Middle least since then - other than the current war in Iran?

I assumed it was understood that I was discussing US war in the Middle East.

I should have said: "It looks like the US government is gradually getting people comfortable with the idea of a long US war in the Middle East."
 
  • #826
I don't view it as Spain siding with Iran. I do however view it as Spain not supporting the US. I think many in the US see it this way as well, and will remember.

Re: "many people in the UK and EU no longer view the US as a reliable ally", I think the feeling is mutual.

Jmo
Cool, but please enlighten me…did the UK threaten to ‘take’ an allied territory and did the UK’s government leader disrespect US servicemen and women? Because if they did I must have missed it

IMO
 
  • #827
I don't know. In 2003 the US launched war against Iraq. Has the US waged war against other countries in the Middle least since then - other than the current war in Iran?

I assumed it was understood that I was discussing US war in the Middle East.

I should have said: "It looks like the US government is gradually getting people comfortable with the idea of a long US war in the Middle East."
I didn't get the impression that the US is getting people ready for a long war. The fact that most of Iran's neighbors are engaging Iranian assets now as well, that Lebanon is seeking the end of Hezbollah, etc that the entire region is ready for change in Iran. I don't think there will be a long US war here at all.
 
  • #828
Gas on southeastern US Sun 2.69 today 3.09 per gallon.
I don’t mind paying 5.00 per gallon if Irans nuclear program is destroyed. I want my grandkids to have a safer future.
Moo

Agreed, but having said that, I do want the government keeping an eye on the oil companies to make sure they're not price gouging just to line their pockets.

A genuine shortage is one thing. Profiteering is another.

Gotta' keep these oil companies honest.
 
Last edited:
  • #829
New: The US is preparing for a “major uptick” in attacks on Iran over the next 24 hours, a senior US official tells me.
The US has assessed that a first round of attacks has achieved the goal of weakening Iranian defenses, and the next phase will heavily focus on destroying the country’s missile production, unmanned aerial vehicles and naval capability, the official said.

President Donald Trump previewed escalating attacks in an interview with CNN earlier Monday, saying, “We haven’t even started hitting them hard. The big wave hasn’t even happened. The big one is coming soon.”

 
  • #830
  • #831
I didn't get the impression that the US is getting people ready for a long war. The fact that most of Iran's neighbors are engaging Iranian assets now as well, that Lebanon is seeking the end of Hezbollah, etc that the entire region is ready for change in Iran. I don't think there will be a long US war here at all.
My comment specified that the US government initially said the US-Israel war against Iran could be over in less than 5 days, depending on killing the leader. Then, the timeline was expanded to 4-5 weeks. Now, it is announced that it could go much longer.

That is what has been reported by the US government.

My conclusion, based on the lengthening timeline, is that the US government seems to be gradually getting people comfortable with a longer war. It's my opinion. We can revisit this in 4-5 weeks and see whether the war has ended, or whether, as reported today, it could go much longer.

"The U.S.-Israeli attack on Iran and wide-scale Iranian reprisals expanded Monday as the United States pledged to send more troops to the region. Speaking in the White House’s East Room, President Donald Trump said the U.S. military projected that the operation in Iran could take four to five weeks but has “the capability to go far longer than that.”

The U.S. military expects to endure additional casualties in its operation, Joint Chiefs Chairman Dan Caine said in a rare on-camera news briefing, adding that accomplishing objectives will take “some time” and, “in some cases, will be difficult and gritty work.”​

https://www.washingtonpost.com/worl...updates/#link-X2E7R3IK6BC6TIBJQVQDSSRUYE[/URL
 
  • #832
Are you suggesting that we are letting missiles through on purpose? If so I will see myself out of this conversation because my son is currently working in missile defense shooting down Iranian missiles and drones and to suggest they would let some through ?
Preposterous, isn't it?
 
  • #833
Massguy is quite calm and reasonable in his discussions.
Calling someone a Nazi for expressing a different opinion isn't calm and reasonable. Seriously?
 
  • #834
President Trump spoke by phone with Kurdish leaders in Iraq on Sunday to discuss the U.S.-Israel war with Iran and what might come next, three sources with knowledge of the calls told Axios.

Why it matters: The Kurds have thousands of soldiers along the Iran-Iraq border and control strategic areas that could be significant as the war develops. Iraq's Kurds also have close ties to Iran's Kurdish minority.

Zoom in:
Trump spoke to leaders from the two main Kurdish factions in Iraq — Masoud Barzani and Bafel Talabani — a day after he authorized the Saturday bombing campaign, two of the sources said.

-
  • Kurds govern an autonomous region of northern Iraq that was made possible by the 2003 U.S. invasion that toppled dictator Saddam Hussein.
  • Kurdish fighters called "peshmerga" — which means "those who face death" — have decades of combat experience from fighting in Iraq and against ISIS in Syria.
The big picture: A group of battle-hardened, boots-on-the-ground fighters would add a crucial war-fighting dimension to the U.S.-Israeli bombing campaign that began Saturday.

 
  • #835
Despite the impressive-sounding Comprehensive Strategic Partnership agreement signed by Russia and Iran last year, this has never been a trusting relationship, but rather an alliance of convenience, characterised by pragmatic, limited and transactional cooperation.

And Russia no more wants to see Iran acquire a nuclear weapons capability than does Israel or the United States (for all the support it has historically provided for development of Iran’s civil nuclear energy facilities). Indeed, Moscow was a key party in diplomatic negotiations leading to the Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action (JCPOA) in 2015.
 
  • #836
  • #837
You said "terror", which would exclude WWII, not to mention that it was over 70 years ago. Of the other modern era entities you name, they all were supported by one or more theocracies. I think history shows that it matters.

Jmo
the white house's claim is "More Americans have been killed by Iran than any other terrorist regime on Earth." japan used kamikazes, nazi germany had the SS. how were they not terrorist regimes?

and where did this rule come from that it had to be in the last 70 years? nothing about that in the white house's statement. you're whittling down the definitions to rescue their claim from the facts.
 
  • #838
I have posted many links. So have others. You would have to read something other than the filtered (imo) US news.

The govt offices, the military offices, hospitals, schools .... and they are only in Day Three of the attack.


Eg:
In Tehran, an air strike targeting 72 Square in the eastern neighbourhood of Narmak damaged a high school with authorities reporting that at least two children were killed.

According to Iranian authorities, the Aboozar Children’s Hospital in western Iran’s Ahvaz and three medical emergency centres in the provinces of East Azerbaijan, Sistan-Baluchistan and Hamedan were also damaged.

On Monday afternoon, fighter jets conducted bombing runs across Tehran once again. Attacks damaged the main building of the province’s medical emergency services, located in Iranshahr Street in the downtown area. Videos released by state-affiliated media showed staff evacuating, and the state-run Tasnim news agency said several staff members were injured.


This MSM has reporters in the Middle East and in Israel - it is based out of Qatar.
Leaders of the regime were all in government buildings and private homes/compounds that have been destroyed. Launch sites and other military targets have been destroyed and/or damaged. Can't possibly be done without collateral damage. Clearly the intent is not widespread destruction of the country. If the goal was to hit civilian targets, the losses would be devastating, like the slaughter of the protesters ordered by the now dead Auatollah.

I would expect that the list will grow but it does not show what some claim.

Damaged one high school, 2 children killed
Damage to Aboozar Children's Hospital
Damage to 3 medical emergency centers, three different provinces.
Iranshahr St, main building of province's medical emergency services damaged, several staff members injured
 
  • #839
Leaders of the regime were all in government buildings and private homes/compounds that have been destroyed. Launch sites and other military targets have been destroyed and/or damaged. Can't possibly be done without collateral damage. Clearly the intent is not widespread destruction of the country. If the goal was to hit civilian targets, the losses would be devastating, like the slaughter of the protesters ordered by the now dead Auatollah.

I would expect that the list will grow but it does not show what some claim.

Damaged one high school, 2 children killed
Damage to Aboozar Children's Hospital
Damage to 3 medical emergency centers, three different provinces.
Iranshahr St, main building of province's medical emergency services damaged, several staff members injured

To be clear, that is completely understood.

My point was that the collateral damage will grow. More infrastructure will be damaged. People who do and don't support the Ayatollah's regime are being harmed, with schools and medical facilities sustaining collateral damage.

This will affect their lives negatively, and I am really not sure that the population - as a whole - ascribes to that. Which may affect their opinions about the ongoing attacks.

Other people - outsiders - making their decisions for them.

imo
 
  • #840
justtrish said:
I don't think anything is 100% and as hard as we try to intercept missiles and drones, we are never going to be 100%. I'd rather be safe than sorry.

if we were actually trying there wouldn’t be this much death.
What actual education and experience do you have to judge the ability and effectiveness of missle interception and what military expertise do you have, not based on internet conspiracy websites, that makes you think someone is not "actually trying"? This is when actual rocket scientists can weight in, not political conspiracists.
 

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