EARLIER DEATH THEORY
I cannot take any credit for this theory and the research done on it plus the mobile phone and creche records on two other large forums since the PJ case files were released. The originator no longer posts on these forums as the revelations were too out of left field for other posters to accept even though he supplied circumstantial evidence but also because it had not appeared in the MSM. He was often threatened with being banned. I was one of the posters who posted with him but I was never banned. I have the utmost respect for his passion in getting justice for Maddie. His research probably began about 2009 so it is very complex. Only this year, he sent it to the PJ as he did not trust NSY.
He only posts on twitter now and has been very open about what he states. His last tweets were:
"Kate and Gerry are toast. Expect them to make a dash for exile quite soon. Unsustainable."
See what Spanish TV shows about 2 minutes in:
http://www.rtve.es/m/alacarta/video...-fue-secuestro-planificado/2066428/?media=tve
"If Smith sighting wasn't Gerry, he'd have welcomed it as proof Maddie had been abducted just before 22.00. He suppressed it. It was Gerry."
Smith's statement:
http://www.mccannpjfiles.co.uk/PJ/MARTIN_SMITH.htm
Smiths have not changed their view. But Martin Smith phoned the PJ in September, 2007 to tell them that he was 60-80% sure it was Gerry McCann.
The Smiths were never reinterviewed by the police after the case was shelved in 2008. There is nothing official about them changing their witness statements. Amaral intended to get them back to Portugal to make a statement but he was taken off the case before he had a chance to do this.
This BS aboiut the McCanns not being suspects is to be classified along with the McCanns being told they were not suspects or that the PJ believes their daughter is still alive. Same stuff.
Martin Smith Commenting re the Crimewatch documentary which was broadcast on Monday night he added: “The only new thing in the investigation is the elimination of Jane Tanner’s sighting.
“Apart from that from our point of view everything else remains the same in relation to what we said to the police and the media at the time. We have nothing more to add.”
But whether Gerry McCann was carrying Maddie's dead body or posing as the abductor carrying another child (probably sedated) hoping to be seen but not recognised in the dark of the night is not yet known. Was Gerry really in the Tapas Bar at 10pm as the waiters told the PJ that they were all gone from the dinner table much earlier eg 9.30 to 9.40pm. (See their statements). One waiter even went into hiding later.
However, due to my following of Kikoratton's research for many years, it is speculated that the child was either Jane Tanner's child or Amelie wearing Maddie's pyjamas.
Others think that Martin Smith and Jane Tanner were following the same script in their description of the abductor as there are 17 similarities in what they said except for the colour and length of the hair. So were they in collusion? It appears that Martin Smith originally made his statement to protect Murat who had been accused of being the abductor by Jane Tanner and tapas friends.
Kikoratton believes it was Gerry carrying out a faked abduction.
For those who are open to the earlier death scenario, Gerry was not carrying Maddie's dead body as her death did not occur on that night. Her body was probably already in a fridge/freezer probably in 5J before the GNR dogs came to search the other apartments when it was moved. But where that fridge was in unknown. It had to have been frozen because of what was found in the boot of the Renault Scenic which revealed the body had been frozen.
This is a very complex case so I cannot state everything here.
But one of the problems with this earlier death scenario was that the nannies said Maddie was there and that she had been signed in and out on most of the 5 days.
Most of what the McCanns say about that week is to back up the fact that they want us and the PJ to believe Maddie was still alive eg the crying episodes.
They even had to admit to neglect as otherwise the abductor would not have had free access on May 3. However, Amaral found out that all the children had been put into one apartment/villa and one of them acted as the babysitter. The only hair DNA found in apartment 5A was from three men - GM, ROB and MO. So why wasn't any DNA of the twins and Maddie found there? Maybe Kate's DNA was found there but cannot remember now. So did the McCann family actually stay in 5A that week? Or did they only use 5A for the faked abduction scenario as it was close to the street with easy access far the abductor? Most agree that Maddie's body was there in 5A earlier in the week having been brought back there in the blue sports bag when she had an accident somewhere else and then died in 5A. But nothing is sure there. There are many theories of how she died but spinal fluids were found in the car.
(The reason IMO for Oldfield's "pretend checkings" is that he had already asked Gerry McCann to be a witness at his upcoming trial for hospital negligence where he was in charge of a team which made a late diagnosis and the patient died. So IMO he felt obliged to help Gerry out.)
So as far as the creche records are concerned, Kikoratton identified that Gerry's handwriting was similar against two of the children's names as if he signed two girls into the creche. I will not reveal the names of those girls. You can find the creche records and see for yourself on
www.mccannfiles.com.
Then he found the signature of one of the fathers online and compared it to his supposed signature on the creche records. He even phoned that father who was noncomittal. Kikoratton found out that one of the girls had a friend whose name was also Madaline but note it is spelt differently that is why the McCanns said that their daughter was never called "Maddie" as this girl was never called "Maddie". This girl whose picture I have seen is blonde, and looks like Maddie. So Madaline was signed in as "Maddie" and Gerry forged the other father's signature as Madaline would not go to the creche alone without her friend. But both parents gave Gerry permission to take them.
It is therefore speculated that this girl was the substitute child who attended the creche all days of that week. So Maddie never attended the creche and the nannies did not lie. They assumed that Madaline was "Maddie". This is why there are few photos of Maddie and those we have been seen have mostly been photoshopped if they are supposed to be Maddie at PDL.
But at first, Kikoratton had focused on analysing the mobile phone records to make connections with who was phoning who, checking with their statements and their locations. The PJ had been refused by the British not to access earlier records and to concentrate on May 3. So they had not done this analysis. Then when Kiko found many discrepancies, he then looked at the creche records where other posters had been working on the creche records and also found many discrepancies over the years. But it was kiko who found out about the forged signature.
This research therefore points to premeditation as substitute Madaline was already there to begin at the creche at the beginning. It would not have worked if she took over later.
It also points to an earlier death - either 29 or 30 April. IMO the motive could have been something to do with Maddie's health as they realised she was not going to be the perfect trophy child that narcissistic parents want to show off about to their friends. Maddie's medical records were never made available to the PJ who asked for them.
In summary,
Who was responsible for Maddie's death is unknown - Gerry, Kate or someone else known to them?
How did she die? IMO strangulation because of the spinal fluids found in the boot of the Scenic. Jane Hill from the BBC once announced this in September, 2007 but it was whooshed from the internet a few hours later.
Where did she die? Apartment 5A.
When did she die? IMO 29 or 30 April, 2007 according to what I have said above.
Why did the tapas7 lie to cover it up? IMO because they felt sorry for the McCanns because Gerry claimed it was an accident but was it?
Why did she die? IMO Maddie could have been an unhealthy unwanted child after their perfect twins came along and Gerry saw an opportunity to make her into a cash cow by faking the abduction to attract public sympathy and setting up the fund.
Who knows where her body is? The McCanns and they have made sure it will never be found.
Why have SY and PJ claimed recently that the McCanns are not suspects? IMO this is because this is a new investigation with new police personnel so they are starting from the beginning again and will have to re-interview all witnesses as well as new ones especially if they have agreed with Kiko's research of an earlier death and timeline. They also want and need to keep the McCanns onside.
What about Amaral's libel trial? IMO he should win as he only wrote about his own investigation up to September, 2007 using the case files. He was just about to get the Smiths back to PDL to make another statement but he was removed from the case. The SY and PJ are starting now from where Amaral left off and it has taken them two years to get to the same place whereas Amaral took six months while having to tolerate political pressures as well.
Also, his book cannot be blamed for disrupting the search for Maddie as the McCanns kept this Smith sighting and E-fits secret for five years so they damaged the case themselves and there is no medical evidence of psychological injury of the McCanns or the twins as a result of his book. This last revelation helps Amaral's case.
All my own opinions
You can follow kikoratton at
https://twitter.com/search?q=kikoratton&src=savs
but still that fact managed to be kept from the public for 15 years...till right now? 
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