Madeleine McCann: German Prisoner Identified as Suspect, #40

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  • #361
And timelines made by JT man OB could have implanted false memories in all the group.
This is what I meant by corrupted - indisputable, IMO.
 
  • #362
IIRC, JT’s statement was corrupted by conversations with the wider tapas group from the outset.
JT’s statement about the man she saw on 4th May was broadly consistent with her later statement of 10th May and she was vindicated by the discovery of Dr Totman whose appearance and movements that night closely matched her initial statement (in all but one respect, which remains unexplained to us but which presumably were checked out by the Met investigators to their satisfaction).
 
  • #363
I walked the streets of PdL in a May 3 night between 9pm an 11pm. It was almost desert.
Nevertheless, it would be stupid to walk an abducted child through your home town. I don’t think CB is this stupid.
 
  • #364
JT’s statement about the man she saw on 4th May was broadly consistent with her later statement of 10th May and she was vindicated by the discovery of Dr Totman whose appearance and movements that night closely matched her initial statement (in all but one respect, which remains unexplained to us but which presumably were checked out by the Met investigators to their satisfaction).
What happened - and it did happen - is precisely what police don’t want. They want to form a theory from individual witness accounts. In this case, they received a group theory that may or may not have been influenced by dominant members of the group. Given the risk of prosecution by having left their children unattended, it’s easy to understand the motivation.

We are not going to agree on this and I’m okay with that. But, IMO, collusion between the group is so obvious, I’m troubled that I have to state it.
 
  • #365
The S family were at Dolphins restaurant, then at Kelly's bar, and then went to Hotel walking Rua da Escola Primaria and crossing Rua 25 de Abril, where they saw the man with a child.
Sorry, I got the bar name wrong… stereotyped the name of an Irish bar!
 
  • #366
The abductor initially had three choices. 1. Towards Tapas bar entrance. Unlikely. 2. Towards West climbing to Primero de Maio avenue, and meet some traffic there. Unlikely. 3. To the East, as JT said, to enter the walker passages, and then to the Southwest doing a round trip. S family sighting 700 meters from there.
I struggle to understand why an abductor would first walk east if his destination was southwest.
 
  • #367
JT’s statement about the man she saw on 4th May was broadly consistent with her later statement of 10th May and she was vindicated by the discovery of Dr Totman whose appearance and movements that night closely matched her initial statement (in all but one respect, which remains unexplained to us but which presumably were checked out by the Met investigators to their satisfaction).
Perhaps the met have more of an understanding, they don’t think the sighting is credible.

It is hard to explain how JT walked past GM and JW (Jez?) without being seen and why JT was walking in the opposite direction to Tannerman.

These things have been discussed ad infinitum and I have no interest in going over it again.

Safe to say, I think the sighting has many issues and some of those are not resolved by OG’s dismissal of the sighting as irrelevant.
 
  • #368
Waiters at OC did not have the need to know the OC apartments to do their job. OC was not a closed resort. It was scattered throughout PdL. That is why HCW is not clear when he says close to the Ocean Club.
But employees do have access to locations throughout their employment as part of their duties… run this up to room 5A for me please!

Above anything else, I believe CB was a prolific and very competent burglar. I can’t take it seriously that he would commit to surveillance on 5A to steal a camera - he didn’t need to!
 
  • #369
A bit more detail here in regards to possible entry /exit points from 5a.
From 06.10


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  • #370
A bit more detail here in regards to possible entry /exit points from 5a.
From 06.10


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It’s a good documentary for those who haven’t seen it.
 
  • #371
  • #372
I read that burglars tend to park their vehicles in relatively close proximity but not typically within view of the places they’re targeting. IMO the abduction wasn’t premeditated, so whatever his pattern was (up until the abduction) would have been very similar to how it was on the other recent occasions he was out stealing, imo
Do you really think it was not premeditated?
IMO it was well planned. I think it was, days before near the apartment lurking around, watching parent's routine. Even if with some luck, no trace. Also the way we wrote his strange letters, strange questions. I really can't see as unplanned or planned for a robbery then escalated. Also time window was too short for that.
 
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  • #373
The abductor initially had three choices. 1. Towards Tapas bar entrance. Unlikely. 2. Towards West climbing to Primero de Maio avenue, and meet some traffic there. Unlikely. 3. To the East, as JT said, to enter the walker passages, and then to the Southwest doing a round trip. S family sighting 700 meters from there.
Do you think he could have headed west on R.Dr.Agostinho da Silva ... then crossed R.1° de Maio ... onto R.da Escola Primaria ?
 
  • #374
I struggle to understand why an abductor would first walk east if his destination was southwest.
Maybe deviate, avoid eyes on him first, to get "far" from OC, then get into the flow and dilute attention?! Even though being Smithman wasn't too risky to be likely?! And how he can then get away easily to a secondary road? I would see he avoiding any option of potential police presence.
 
  • #375
Maybe deviate, avoid eyes on him first, to get "far" from OC, then get into the flow and dilute attention?! Even though being Smithman wasn't too risky to be likely?! And how he can then get away easily to a secondary road? I would see he avoiding any option of potential police presence.
Look into to your rear view mirror when driving and see a police car; you drive more correctly for the fear of getting pulled over.

No matter who you are, carrying a stolen child, the first thought is to reach a safe place avoiding being caught. The consequences are high as us the loss of reward.

IMO, the exit route for Smithman is out of 5A patio doors, turn right and right again along the pathway in front of the apartment buildings, right into the car park and the over the road to primary school street.

It’s direct and meets the requirements of someone wanting to avoid danger.
 
  • #376
Maybe deviate, avoid eyes on him first, to get "far" from OC, then get into the flow and dilute attention?! Even though being Smithman wasn't too risky to be likely?! And how he can then get away easily to a secondary road? I would see he avoiding any option of potential police presence.
Look into to your rear view mirror when driving and see a police car; you drive more correctly for the fear of getting pulled over.

No matter who you are, carrying a stolen child, the first thought is to reach a safe place avoiding being caught. The consequences are high as us the loss of reward.

IMO, the exit route for Smithman is out of 5A patio doors, turn right and right again along the pathway in front of the apartment buildings, right into the car park and the over the road to primary school street.

It’s direct and meets the requirements of someone want
 
  • #377
Nevertheless, it would be stupid to walk an abducted child through your home town. I don’t think CB is this stupid.
I do not think CB is stupid but I do know there is evidence that he goes on jobs for which he has made thorough preparation.
  • He wore a mask at DM's rape
  • he 'blindfolded her with painted swimming goggles brought with him
  • he carried weapons
  • he carried a video camera which he used to record events
  • he passed her villa frequently on the way to and from his residence to the beach
  • he was familiar enough with it to know she had a cat which he tried to blame for leaving his forensic evidence on the bed
  • no one knew of CB's existence until evidence relating to MM was passed to the police in 2017
There was only one witness to the outrage and that was DM herself who was able to say exactly what happened to her in her police statement 2005 and. to give evidence to CB's trial for aggravate rape in 2019
 
  • #378
I do not think CB is stupid but I do know there is evidence that he goes on jobs for which he has made thorough preparation.
  • He wore a mask at DM's rape
  • he 'blindfolded her with painted swimming goggles brought with him
  • he carried weapons
  • he carried a video camera which he used to record events
  • he passed her villa frequently on the way to and from his residence to the beach
  • he was familiar enough with it to know she had a cat which he tried to blame for leaving his forensic evidence on the bed
  • no one knew of CB's existence until evidence relating to MM was passed to the police in 2017
There was only one witness to the outrage and that was DM herself who was able to say exactly what happened to her in her police statement 2005 and. to give evidence to CB's trial for aggravate rape in 2019
All which have nothing to do with the yet unsubstantiated allegations concerning CB and MM.
 
  • #379
All which have nothing to do with the yet unsubstantiated allegations concerning CB and MM.
I think the implication is that CB planned the MM attack. Prefer a more direct approach myself.
 
  • #380
Do you think he could have headed west on R.Dr.Agostinho da Silva ... then crossed R.1° de Maio ... onto R.da Escola Primaria ?
No. IMO he crossed R. 1 de Maio heading West on R. Ramalhete, then R. da Escola Primaria toward R. 25 de Abril. He left R. Agostinho da Silva asap. Round trips are a good escape strategy.
 
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