• #14,881
I'm not sure that allowing this sheriff (who I have a lot of empathy for, btw) to fill time with no new info, and answer a bunch of questions off-the-cuff, would lead to additional clarity anyway. Probably for the best that they don't have press conferences until they are ready to share new substantive information, IMO.

I agree. I just don't understand why they picked that particular day. Maybe the simple answer is that it was exactly one week away from that current presser.
 
  • #14,882
Wild RUMORS floating on Social Media right now and while I'm not a mod I want to remind you all for the mods to not post anything until you have a valid source. It WILL get the thread shut down.
If it's the one I think you're referring to, I think the link to that "story" is a bot link and not credible.
 
  • #14,883
That has crossed my mind as well.
If it is family involved - it might be that they are going to wait until Thursday for any announcements of an arrest hence the Sheriff's comment about there won't be any more press conferences until Thursday unless warranted.
Could it be that: They know it's family (or someone else), they see that the family is considering paying without POL, which they would like to wait and watch, since they know that either family or an accomplice wrote the ransom note? That way, there will be an "extra" crime to charge, which is for accepting the ransom $$$!?!?
 
  • #14,884
I agree. I just don't understand why they picked that particular day. Maybe the simple answer is that it was exactly one week away from that current presser.
I don't think they did pick that particular day. Did I miss something? These posts from their official account simply say that there is no press briefing scheduled. I haven't seen any official statements that one will happen on Thursday, but please correct me if I'm missing info.

Screenshot 2026-02-09 at 14.21.57.webp
 
  • #14,885
I was under the impression she attended virtually via Zoom or similar. Do we know?

From the New York Times article saying that it was noticed she wasn't seen in the pews.

Hi there, I checked the NYT article you mentioned. It was last updated today at 3:52 pm ET. Here is a gift link so you can read the article yourself.

Here's the relevant part about the church member:
Ms. Guthrie, whom friends have described as a devoted Christian, was expected at church that Sunday morning. But when someone at St. Andrew’s Presbyterian did not see her in the pews, they called her family to check in.

Alerted, Ms. Guthrie’s family rushed to her home, the authorities said. They found her phone, wallet, hearing aid, daily medication and car. But they did not find her. They called 911.

imo
 
  • #14,886
BBM. January 31, 2026 is a 24-hour period from 12 am on Saturday until immediately before 12 am on Sunday. NG may have been seen inside her residence by anyone she had inside during those hours (friend, family member, service person). The statement does NOT indicate that NG was seen by her family members inside the residence on January 31 after 9:48 pm.

As for the statement about "contact" from the church, LE had a statement from a member of NG's family that this contact occurred and they may have depended upon that statement for the Callela Criminal Complaint (dated February 5). It does not mean that they consider that a reliable statement at this time as more investigation has likely occurred in the intervening 4 days.

At the present time LE is neither confirming nor denying the contact about NG not being at church as expected; they are not addressing the subject.

I am feeling like it is important to be VERY PRECISE about evidence because IMO there may be substantial misdirection involved in this case and we are learning that officers who may been the earliest at the scene of NG's home and interviewing family members did not likely have substantial years of experience (see Tricia's live YouTube last night, where she played video of Brian Entin's interview of a retired detective who recently retired after 20 years with the Sheriff's office there and 7 of those years as a homicide detective). Early statements taken as truth may have not survived that determination as true after greater scrutiny and investigation by more experienced LE.
I guess my point is, I don’t think these statements should be taken as gospel (pardon the pun). Despite best efforts, I don’t think they are always 100% accurate or worded well for a variety of reasons, and often are based on facts available at the time. For example, I seem to remember some factual inaccuracies in some of the early Bryan Kohberger docs.
 
  • #14,887
They were in the house 41 minutes. They knew the camera were not alerting the police when the deactivated them It has to be someone in her circle. I know people that have a cellphone backup incase intruders take down the wifi. It has to be someone she knows or knows the property.
I tend to agree it is someone in her circle, but I don't think we can be certain they were in the house only 41 minutes. All we know is that was the time that passed between disconnect of a doorbell camera and disconnect of NG's pacemaker from her phone/Apple Watch. The doorbell camera disconnect time may involve staging to misdirect LE.

We know the time of disconnect of one camera and that a camera sensor apparently was triggered indicating movement shortly after. We know there must have been at one time a NEST camera at the front door given the mount seen there on photos. We do NOT know which cameras the "reported on timeline" disconnect and sensing of movement involved (front door? back door?) or whether there was any camera at all around her garage door or the entry to her house from inside the garage.
 
  • #14,889
  • #14,890
Because he knows it’s over. He knew it already when he went to the basketball game.
Totally agree. Believe they are gathering evidence and carefully following procedures so that they can get a conviction.
 
  • #14,891
What do you think the outcome/result is? (why it's already over?)
No press conference. No FBI announcements. No increased reward. No urgency. No monitoring the house. No new searches. I believe those involved know she is no longer alive.
 
  • #14,892
I could still see it being someone who is obsessed with/wants attention from/wants to hurt or inflict pain on SG. They are local to Tucson and can't reach SG in New York, so they decide to target her family. Maybe they've been stalking both her sister and her mother for a while now. They pick last weekend ahead of SG leaving for Italy and abduct NG.

Sending ransom notes to TMZ ensures maximum publicity of SG's pain. If they really wanted money, they would've contacted her privately and told her not to involve LE. But the way they went about it (TMZ and two local stations) feels like the person wants attention that they can watch on TV and they also want SG to make videos pleading for them to let NG go. It's not really about money--its about spectacle and control and inflicting pain on a person they've become fixated on (the reason could be quasi-political, romantic, or some kind of delusion we couldn't guess).
I agree with this. I watched an analysis of some crime expert of how this reeked of attention seeking on the part of the perp (or at least the person/s sending the ransom notes, if separate)
 
  • #14,893
Please delete if I can't say this, but early on someone else pointed out that AG is hiding her ring finger between her legs during the 2nd video. Did anyone see her wedding ring?
 
  • #14,894
While I don't this case has anything to do with cartels, there is a "presence" of cartels along ALL border states, and spill-over crime, and it is disingenuous to say otherwise though can get why residents get defensive. An AZ Sheriff near Tuscon was raided by the Feds recently for working with and providing intel to the cartels.

The FBI in Tucson has 9 different squads, including counter-terrorism, and each one is impacted in some way by the border.

Now there is also cartel influence in many other US cities especially drug trafficking hubs. I was surprised how much there was in Tulsa, Oklahoma then found out that was a Grand Central hub for trafficking routes.

Again, I don't think there's any direct link in this case, though if you go the random small time bugling kidnapper theory, I suppose an "associate" may be involved of their own accord.
Your comments are quite helpful. Thank you.
 
  • #14,895
What does the ransom deadline tonight have to do with announcing an arrest or anything though? Tbh I don't really get the significance of the deadline, maybe why Brian Entin doesn't know the exact time either *shrug*

EDIT: I'm also not sure I understand the significance, if any, of the next scheduled press conference until Thursday.

Sorry if I'm being thick! I just am viewing through the lens of LE wanting to find NG asap and make an arrest asap.
 
  • #14,896
So do Authorities pivot toward recovery rather than rescue today?
 
  • #14,897
“That video doesn’t talk about any sort of deadline,” Winter said of Savannah’s latest video. “There’s no longer any discussion of that.

“There’s a discussion of bringing Nancy home to us so we can have celebration with her. There is no further request for proof of life,” he said.


“We beg you now to return our mother to us, so that we can celebrate with her,” Savannah said in the heart video as she sat by her sister Annie and brother Camron. “This is the only way we will have peace. This is very valuable to us, and we will pay.”

 
  • #14,898
No press conference. No FBI announcements. No increased reward. No urgency. No monitoring the house. No new searches. I believe those involved know she is no longer alive.
Tragically, yes, but by whose hands?
 
  • #14,899
Those people weren’t kidnapped from their own homes though, were they? Those were sex crimes too.
Not to mention less than 1percent of all murders are statistically committed by a serial killer.
 
  • #14,900
So if haven't been able to by now, I feel this implies there is no kidnap or ransom situation. USA technology is world-leading; the fact they could enter Venezuela without detection and abduct Maduro demonstrates the level of sophistication we are talking about. I'm pretty sure they can track domestic criminals, if they actually exist here.
I agree with you about the implication there is no "kidnapping plus ransom" situation; however, NG is missing, so there is abduction of the woman (or abduction of her body after at the very least SOME level of injury).

I tend to think the ransom demands involve an opportunist who has piggybacked upon a separate crime.

ETA: That said, if my mother were still alive and this involved her, I'd probably want ABSOLUTE knowledge of that before refusing to negotiate. If this is an unrelated crime, it is cruel and subjects an already extremely distressed family to even greater agony.
 
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