AZ Nancy Guthrie, 84, (mother of TODAY Show host Savannah Guthrie) missing - last seen in the Catalina foothills area on Jan 31, 2026

[Former Reporter]

DNA mismatches:

Washington state woman had two children with not the same DNA as her. Court case attempting to take her children. She was pregnant with third child, and jury members watched the birth. Same results. Not her DNA. Jury actually accused her of being a surrogate. Enter DNA specialist. Woman had two DNA present in her body. She kept her children.

DNA accused man of murder, but he was 100% in prison at time of murder. He had a twin. Identical twin's DNA did not match his either. Prosecutors had no idea. Dropped charge.

Alaska man needed a bone marrow transplant, but he had atypical DNA. Match found in Germany. Surgery to his arm. Four years later the man had completely become the donor's DNA - completely.

The Lydia Fairchild case (Washington state woman - The Case of Lydia Fairchild and Her Chimerism (2002) | Embryo Project Encyclopedia ) is fascinating to me. In a criminal sense, chimeras (organisms, including some humans that have two different sets of DNA, or the genetic material that contains instructions for the development and functioning of an organism, present in their bodies - What Is Chimerism?) would make it nearly impossible to identify suspects via DNA. This article from NIH discusses its ramifications in forensic science. The impact of chimerism in DNA-based forensic sex determination analysis - PMC

It's VERY statistically unlikely that NG's perp has this condition, but it is possible. JMO.

 

[wibbleflea]

Do we have any sense of what occurred at 1:47? Disabled what? Disrupted wifi? Disrupted electricty? Disabled A camera but not ALL cameras?

I have questions.

JMO

Good questions, but I’ve never seen answers.

Here’s what I think we know, from the media reporting and official information. It’s all linked and discussed up thread so I’m not including all the links again – just putting the info in one place.

The 1:47 am camera disconnection event mentioned early on in the timeline from the sheriff was said to involve the “doorbell camera”. The report of a disconnection was likely an alert on NG’s iPhone – my speculation, coming from the fact that the timeline was made public too early to have come detailed analysis.

NG had multiple cameras. We know some of them were collected later and there’s still work being done to recover server-side footage, per sheriff’s interviews yesterday.

TMZ claimed to have confirmed that the video footage we see of the perp came from the later 2:12 am event. (Edit: it clearly came from the doorbell camera that was previously said to have disconnected at 1:47 am.)

That footage was recovered from Google’s servers, meaning that the real doorbell camera was online and transmitting perfectly well some time at or after 2:12 am. The doorbell camera itself hasn’t been recovered.

So no answers about what exactly happened at 1:47 am. A temporary Wi-Fi jamming event? Someone inside rebooting the router? Brief loss of broadband from the supplier?

 

[shonyakay]

1000 POSTS LATER, people speculating on AI vs real images and 2 perps...I dont think there were 2 perps. As everyone knows by now, I have felt from the beginning this was a kidnapper who had a delusional fascination with SG. She is his fantasy girlfriend .He is a marginalized, socially inadequate, man who has a poetic soul and finds his meaning in life through movies and TV. He is fixated on SG. Probably has an area in his home, like an altar, that has her photo, articles about her etc. He thinks when she is on the TODAY show that every word she speaks is CODE, directed at him. He became restless and decided he must have her but he can't. He went for her mom, instead. NOW HE HAS SG's attention. He also has a trophy..SG's mom. He may also have other trophies he took from the home, family photos, or lingerie from SG's old bedroom, for example.

MOTIVE will solve this case, imo. Obsessed stalker. Someone knows him and his devotion to SG. Watching the Today show daily, saving every program she is on, perhaps mentioning her during casual conversations once too often. This is not a 2 perp crime. This guy acted alone. MOO JMO

The only thing that makes me not vigorously consider this theory is the ransom demand. If obsession - why ask for millions in Bitcoin?
Why not negotiate to meet with Savannah (his obsession) in person etc. ?

I mean this theory could work though if you don't believe the perp sent the first ransom note.

 

[scaredtopost]

DBM, already posted. Late as usual, thanks work.
JMO, MOO, etc.

 

[wibbleflea]

It's VERY statistically unlikely that NG's perp has this condition

Agreed, but wow! What an incredible phenomenon. New to me.

 

[scaredtopost]

Take off your glasses Jason. Let’s have a look at those eyes. Inserting yourself into the investigation? Kidding mostly.

 

[RayVon]

Is there a way to compile as much information as possible and get an expert in AI to run algorithms to come up with new information that may not have looked at yet. Just a thought from left field.

Probably a good use of AI.

 

[SMK777]

https://twitter.com/x/status/2024204007145881919

 

[Jade]

Good afternoon everyone, catching up with what's happened today. I see there is another email to TMZ but didn't HL just yesterday say they weren't going to talk publicly about any further communication from this person or persons? What am I missing?

Possibly the new communication, and maybe the others as well, indicated that the information should be broadcast.

I don’t think one would contact TMZ unless they plan to have it spread all over the place as its TMZ’s nature to tell the dirt on everything

If it’s “Napoli’s stalker” he for sure want to make sure he is getting some attention to show how clever he is, imo.

Unless, of course, my obsessed, love sick stalker is the true perp! He would have read that book! Kidnapping NG would be part of playing the game SG and her sister and friends played on the mom, in reverse..JMO

all imo

 

[Napoli]

Practically nothing is safe, though. However, let us say someone broke into a DNA company and found two close cousins of a criminal and through them, the criminal. Who can then prevent these cousins from suing both the company and LE? The company may say that their DNAs were not “critical” in the process, but: if they know that the cousin has been arrested, they understand that their DNAs and maybe, their trees had to be examined in the process, and it is enough to say: you looked at my DNA without my consent. Not because these cousins care about the criminal. They may be happy that he is caught. But at the same time, they didn’t give their written consent for a 3d party to look at their personal DNAs.

IF we live our lives realizing that virtually NOTHING is confidential anymore..even hospital data bases have been breached, Credit monitoring companies, etc etc.. that there are people also foolish enough to put their lives on Facebook and you can google just about anyone and find their address and phone number, you will understand that written consent and privacy, as we knew it or thought we knew it, is a dying concept. JMO

 

[BetteDavisEyes]

Sheriff tells BBC he believes Nancy Guthrie being held close to her home

Watch: Sheriff tells BBC he believes Guthrie being held close to her home

Sheriff Chris Nanos, who is leading the hunt, said he was confident they would find her - whether it took "10 days, 10 months, or worse".

bbc.com

I doubt that an 84-year-old woman with health issues could survive 10 months in captivity. We don't even know if she survived 10 days.

 

[Bluewing3102]

Good afternoon everyone, catching up with what's happened today. I see there is another email to TMZ but didn't HL just yesterday say they weren't going to talk publicly about any further communication from this person or persons? What am I missing?

Maybe he said that to see if a prankster who's doing it for publicity would stop sending them knowing it wouldnt get posted? But I agree the timing of HL saying he's stopping and then next morning he announced new ransom note- sent is weird. That wouldn't set a good precedent if you're trying to determine if they're fake or not.

jmo

 

[SMK777]

I doubt that an 84-year-old woman with health issues could survive 10 months in captivity.

And that a criminal would continue to give her care for that amount of time.

 

[thefragile7393]

I think this likely is not based on evidence that they have uncovered.

It's likely base on evidence that they haven't been able to find or doesn't exist. JMO

I like the way you phrased this. Excellent way of wording.

 

[Hapworth]

Who presents a “kidnapping for ransom “ event , approx 18 day duration, without never sending proof of the victim being alive ( tied up, blindfolded, on a bed or chair) and the standard “ pay up or else” threats . Something is not adding up .

 

[LetsSolvIt]

I’ve cropped the screenshots to approximate the same perspective as the unbackpacked man image. I tried to grab several of the same area for comparison. Hopefully obviously, I’ve not altered the images except bring up contrast and circling the area of interest.

Look at the differences.

I’ve added a postfacto screenshot from the other side that was on Fox News: Blood drops visible on the porch of Nancy Guthrie’s home | Fox News Video

What is it your have circled (in garden) in the photos?

 

[Sessiebo]

1000 POSTS LATER, people speculating on AI vs real images and 2 perps...I dont think there were 2 perps. As everyone knows by now, I have felt from the beginning this was a kidnapper who had a delusional fascination with SG. She is his fantasy girlfriend .He is a marginalized, socially inadequate, man who has a poetic soul and finds his meaning in life through movies and TV. He is fixated on SG. Probably has an area in his home, like an altar, that has her photo, articles about her etc. He thinks when she is on the TODAY show that every word she speaks is CODE, directed at him. He became restless and decided he must have her but he can't. He went for her mom, instead. NOW HE HAS SG's attention. He also has a trophy..SG's mom. He may also have other trophies he took from the home, family photos, or lingerie from SG's old bedroom, for example.

MOTIVE will solve this case, imo. Obsessed stalker. Someone knows him and his devotion to SG. Watching the Today show daily, saving every program she is on, perhaps mentioning her during casual conversations once too often. This is not a 2 perp crime. This guy acted alone. MOO JMO

I partially agree with your theory. Mainly that it is one guy. I base this on the internet searches done prior to the kidnapping.
Based on those searches my theory is that a person from Arizona wanted big money and planned this months before.
He found a celeb's mom living close enough in an area that he is familiar with.
He scoped the area both online and in person, i think.
Before i knew about these internet searches i really thought robbery gone wrong and Nancy is sadly no longer amongst us.
Now however, i start to believe that there is a possibility she is being kept alive in AZ en that this was a planned kidnapping for ransom.
Why else would someone so specifically websearch her house (both her adress and pictures) and the salary of SG?
This case has me going in circles continuously.
JMO

Source info on websearches:

Internet user searched for Nancy Guthrie's address and daughter's salary before 'Today' host's mother vanished

Google searches for Nancy Guthrie's address occurred weeks before the suspected kidnapping of Savannah Guthrie's mother in Tucson, Arizona.

www.foxnews.com

 

[SMK777]

Who presents a “kidnapping for ransom “ event , approx 18 day duration, without never sending proof of the victim being alive ( tied up, blindfolded, on a bed or chair) and the standard “ pay up or else” threats . Something is not adding up .

%
Definitely not adhering to the kidnapping for ransom narrative at all.

 

[SaraSmile]

DNA mismatches:

Washington state woman had two children with not the same DNA as her. Court case attempting to take her children. She was pregnant with third child, and jury members watched the birth. Same results. Not her DNA. Jury actually accused her of being a surrogate. Enter DNA specialist. Woman had two DNA present in her body. She kept her children.

DNA accused man of murder, but he was 100% in prison at time of murder. He had a twin. Identical twin's DNA did not match his either. Prosecutors had no idea. Dropped charge.

Alaska man needed a bone marrow transplant, but he had atypical DNA. Match found in Germany. Surgery to his arm. Four years later the man had completely become the donor's DNA - completely.

I remember an episode of Criminal Minds like that! Blood taken from one part of body was one DNA, another part of body was another DNA. It confused investigators at first, but then they got it, arrested perp.

Memory, JMO

 

[steff13]

I went through the early PCs recalling the sheriff saying exactly that. Could not find that PC yet. Perhaps someone can chime in on it.
During the PC a journalist had asked how it could be that the bell cam had been disconnected and yet showed movement again minutes later. The sheriff explained the cam may have been taken off the bracket reaching from the inside through the open front door. He replied to the journalist, that the cam (off the bracket now) had been laid down and picked up again later.

I will keep looking for that PC. I was not aware that the cam may still record after taken off the bracket.

Cheers,
Nin

In my opinion, it's only logical if they had access to the inside of the house from the back door or wherever that they would disable the camera from the inside.

So I think either there was only one person and that's who we saw on the camera, or if there were two people the guy we saw on camera was the first guy and the second guy was down the street in a vehicle or something waiting for the first guy to get into the house before he came in. MOO