This is begging the question.
In most jurisdictions culpable homicide is murder where the accused must have foreseen the risk of death but proceeds to commit an illegal act.
Decided case law in south africa supports this view.
So for example, if whilst hunting, you shoot at an animal and accidentally hit your colleague who was behind the target but you did not see him - that would be manslaughter due to the negligent act, but you did not actually foresee death.
Compare to a situation where in a crowded bar, you fire a warning shot to scare a gang rival, which then kills a stranger who you did not intend to hit.
The later situation has been held to be murder because the risk of death is actually foreseen, even if the shooter is actively trying to only shoot near the target.
For policy reasons, courts tend not to narrow foresight in the manner you suggest.
Because after all, even a child, let alone an experienced shooter, understands the risks of shooting near a person.
This knowledge does not disappear mysteriously in the heat of the moment.